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Post by matureleft on Dec 25, 2021 14:44:18 GMT
Based on current polls looking like a rerun of the last one.
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Post by markgoodair on Jan 27, 2022 14:02:20 GMT
Looks like there is a move to the far right is on the cards
.https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2022/1/26/portugal-vote-far-right
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,815 
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jan 30, 2022 6:42:17 GMT
Last time the Portuguese pollsters performed perfectly, per party missing by less than 1%:  This turn will have been harder to poll, but the researched 3-5% lead for PS seems to be reasonable. |
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andrea
Non-Aligned
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Post by andrea on Jan 30, 2022 20:13:27 GMT
Exit poll
PS-S&D 37-42%
PSD-EP 30-35%
CH-ID: 5-8%
IL-RE 4-7%
BE-LEFT 3-6%
CDU-LEFT 3-5%
CDS/PP-EPP 1-3%
PAN-G/EFA 1-3%
L-G/EFA 1-3%
Seat projection:
#PS : 102-116
#PSD : 84-94
#CH : 7-13
#IL : 5-9
#BE : 3-7
#CDU : 3-7
#L : 1-2
#PAN : 0-2
#CDS-#PP : 0-2
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jan 30, 2022 21:30:33 GMT
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Post by jonnysaintsfan on Jan 30, 2022 21:42:21 GMT
Sitting in my local bar in southern Portugal now. Socialist supporters very happy. Tv predicted between 100 and 117 seat for PS. Looking at higher end now as 6 points up on last time. 116 needed for majority.
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Post by minionofmidas on Jan 30, 2022 21:55:51 GMT
Every vote counts.
Braganca district all in, PS wins 26495 to 26480 or 40.30% to 40.28%. Three member constituency splitting 2-1 thanks to those 15 votes.
That's a seat gain, too.
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Post by jonnysaintsfan on Jan 30, 2022 22:03:37 GMT
My Portuguese language teacher comes from Braganca. Hope she was one of the 15. Will ask her at my lesson on Tuesday. She is still registered in Braga ca and told us last week she was doing an absentee ballot at the local town hall.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 30, 2022 22:34:25 GMT
Every vote counts. Braganca district all in, PS wins 26495 to 26480 or 40.30% to 40.28%. Three member constituency splitting 2-1 thanks to those 15 votes. That's a seat gain, too. Was the strongest PS district last time, the only district where they broke 40% and the only mainland district where the combined right beat the combined left |
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Post by jonnysaintsfan on Jan 30, 2022 22:39:52 GMT
Every vote counts. Braganca district all in, PS wins 26495 to 26480 or 40.30% to 40.28%. Three member constituency splitting 2-1 thanks to those 15 votes. That's a seat gain, too. Was the strongest PS district last time, the only district where they broke 40% and the only mainland district where the combined right beat the combined left |
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Post by jonnysaintsfan on Jan 30, 2022 22:40:06 GMT
Was the strongest PS district last time, the only district where they broke 40% and the only mainland district where the combined right beat the combined left |
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Post by jonnysaintsfan on Jan 30, 2022 22:40:51 GMT
PSD I presume you mean.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Jan 30, 2022 22:43:10 GMT
Yes, sorry
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Post by minionofmidas on Jan 30, 2022 22:51:40 GMT
well the PSD's name is confusing! Sinistrism at its finest. |
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Post by jonnysaintsfan on Jan 30, 2022 22:58:05 GMT
Agreed. Very odd being in Portugal where the PSD are the Tories and the CDU are a communist/green union!!
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 30, 2022 22:58:18 GMT
Looks like PSD will fail to win a single mainland district, as all the ones they won last time seem to have voted for PS tonight. They have still won Made it a however (and there are no "rest of the world" results yet)
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Post by jonnysaintsfan on Jan 30, 2022 23:01:35 GMT
Earlier posts on this thread referred to Brenda from Braga, although in light of recent exchanges she was probably from Braganca. Overall disaster for the communists and Left Bloc (Corbynistas) who were turkeys voting for Christmas.
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Post by greenhert on Jan 30, 2022 23:23:38 GMT
With 199 seats counted the current scoreline is:
PS 107, PPD/PSD 65, CH 10, IL 5, BE 3, CDU (PCP-PEV) 4. Already the "hard left" are set for a severe drubbing, and both PAN (Portugal's Animal Welfare Party) and LIVRE (Portugal's "light green" party) are facing elimination from the Assembly of the [Portuguese] Republic.
Furthermore PS are topping the poll in every Portuguese region-even Villa Real and Braganca.
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andrea
Non-Aligned
Posts: 7,773
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Post by andrea on Jan 30, 2022 23:47:18 GMT
With 199 seats counted the current scoreline is: PS 107, PPD/PSD 65, CH 10, IL 5, BE 3, CDU (PCP-PEV) 4. Already the "hard left" are set for a severe drubbing, and both PAN (Portugal's Animal Welfare Party) and LIVRE (Portugal's "light green" party) are facing elimination from the Assembly of the [Portuguese] Republic. Furthermore PS are topping the poll in every Portuguese region-even Villa Real and Braganca. PS now up to 110 with 21 seats left to be assigned. LIVRE got a seat in Lisbon. |
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Post by mattbewilson on Jan 30, 2022 23:55:47 GMT
Earlier posts on this thread referred to Brenda from Braga, although in light of recent exchanges she was probably from Braganca. Overall disaster for the communists and Left Bloc (Corbynistas) who were turkeys voting for Christmas. generally speaking as I understand it the PS are fairly left wing themselves and many commentators compared the PS government as something Corbynistas wished to emulate |
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