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Post by Robert Waller on Oct 28, 2021 22:44:19 GMT
Bromley Cross (Bolton) by-election result:
CON: 70.0% (+6.8)
LAB: 16.5% (-5.6)
GRN: 6.7% (-1.4)
BFC: 4.0% (+4.0)
LDEM: 2.7% (-3.8)
Conservative HOLD.
Currock and Upperby (Carlisle) by-election result:
LAB: 57.5% (+20.7)
CON: 37.2% (+22.2)
GRN: 5.3% (-6.3)
Labour GAIN from UKIP.
No UKIP as prev.
Gresford East and West (Wrexham) by-election result:
CON: 42.7% (-30.3)
LDEM: 20.1% (+10.1)
PC: 19.8% (+19.8)
LAB: 16.1% (-0.2)
REFUK: 0.7% (+0.7)
GRN: 0.6% (+0.6)
Conservative HOLD.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 28, 2021 22:54:16 GMT
LUTON South
Fatima BEGUM (Labour Party) 547
Nigel John MARSHALL (Liberal Democrat Focus Team) 332
Abid AZIZ (The Conservative Party Candidate) 198
Marc SCHEIMANN (Independent) 134
Markus KEANEY (Communist Party of Britain) 28
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Post by andrewteale on Oct 28, 2021 23:00:09 GMT
BOLTON Bromley Cross Amy Marie COWEN (The Conservative Party Candidate) 1,732 Emily MORT (The Labour Party) 409 Liz SPENCER (Green Party) 165 Laura ARMSTRONG (Bolton For Change) 99 James Peter HASLAM (Liberal Democrats) 68 A nice bounceback from a disappointing result earlier this week. The Dunscar Conservative Club quiz league team lost a high-scoring match on Monday night. (No, they weren't playing my team.) |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 28, 2021 23:07:23 GMT
SOUTH KESTEVEN Stamford All Saints
Richard James CLEAVER (Independent) 496
Amanda Jayne SCHONHUT (The Conservative Party Candidate) 214
Anthony John STORY (Independent) 114
Maxwell Graham SAWYER (Independent) 46
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 28, 2021 23:16:27 GMT
SOUTH STAFFORDSHIRE Kinver
Geoffrey Patrick SISLEY (The Conservative Party Candidate) 865
Bernadette Marie McGOURTY (The Green Party Candidate) 154
Michael Thomas Martin VAUGHAN (Labour Party) 149
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Post by Robert Waller on Oct 28, 2021 23:24:32 GMT
Stamford All Saints (South Kesteven) by-election result:
IND (Cleaver): 57.0% (+57.0)
CON: 24.6% (-37.5)
IND (Story): 13.1% (+13.1)
IND (Sawyer): 5.3% (+5.3)
Independent GAIN from Conservative.
No Labour (-37.9) as prev.
South (Luton) by-election result:
LAB: 44.1% (+4.3)
LDEM: 26.8% (+26.8)
CON: 16.0% (+0.1)
IND: 10.8% (-0.2)
COM: 2.3% (+2.3)
Labour HOLD.
COMM: Communist
No Grn (-18.9) and UKIP (-14.4) as prev.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 28, 2021 23:24:56 GMT
SOUTH STAFFORDSHIRE Wombourne South East
Mark Edmund EVANS (The Conservative Party Candidate) 370
Claire McILVENNA (The Green Party Candidate) 323
Denis BEAUMONT (Labour Party) 42
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,435 
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Post by iain on Oct 28, 2021 23:25:22 GMT
CARLISLE Currock and Upperby Christopher Alan WILLS (Labour Party Candidate) 636 Robert Geoffrey MITCHELL (Conservative Party Candidate) 412 Thomas George Hartwell ADAMS (Green Party) 59 Pretty decent Labour result there, particularly compared with their performance in the Carlisle by-elections this May, which was absolutely dire. |
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Post by andrewteale on Oct 28, 2021 23:32:25 GMT
Kinver: C 865 Grn 154 Lab 149
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 28, 2021 23:35:17 GMT
SOUTH KESTEVEN Grantham Arnoldfield
Kathleen Mary RICE-OXLEY (The Conservative Party Candidate) 460
Stuart FAWCETT (Labour Party) 136
Michael James TURNER (Green Party) 112
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Post by Robert Waller on Oct 28, 2021 23:49:20 GMT
Grantham Arnoldfield (South Kesteven) by-election result:
CON: 65.0% (-8.9)
LAB: 19.2% (-6.9)
GRN: 15.8% (+15.8)
Conservative HOLD.
Wombourne South East (South Staffordshire) by-election result:
CON: 50.3% (-22.7)
GRN: 43.9% (+43.9)
LAB: 5.7% (-21.3)
Conservative HOLD.
Kinver (South Staffordshire) by-election result:
CON: 74.1% (+29.3)
GRN: 13.2% (-15.9)
LAB: 12.8% (+12.8)
Conservative HOLD.
No LDem (-26.2) as prev.
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Post by middleenglander on Oct 29, 2021 0:04:12 GMT
Bolton: Bromley Cross - Conservative hold | Party | 2021 B votes | 2021 B share | since 2021 | since 2019 | since 2018 "top" | since 2018 "average" | since 2016 | | Conservative | 1,732 | 70.0% | +8.4% | +7.5% | +6.8% | +8.1% | +13.3% | | Labour | 409 | 16.5% | -11.8% | +0.5% | -5.6% | -6.6% | -7.2% | | Green | 165 | 6.7% | +0.3% | -0.5% | -1.4% | -2.3% | +2.4% | | Bolton for Change | 99 | 4.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Liberal Democrat | 68 | 2.7% | -0.9% | -3.1% | -3.8% | -3.2% | -1.8% | | UKIP |
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| -8.3% |
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| -10.7% | | Total votes | 2,473 |
| 56% | 60% | 53% | 59% | 57% |
Swing: Labour to Conservative 10% since May, 3½% since 2019, 6¼% / 7½% since 2019 and 10¼% since 2016 Council now: 21 Conservative, 18 Labour, 5 Liberal Democrat, 5 Farnley & Kearsley First, 4 Independent, 4 Horwich & Blackrod First, 2 Bolton Independent, 1 One Kearsley Carlisle: Currock & Upperby - Labour gain from UKIP who did not defend seat| Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | | Labour | 636 | 57.5% | +20.6% | +24.1% | | Conservative | 412 | 37.2% | +22.2% | +22.3% | | Green | 59 | 5.3% | -6.2% | -7.1% | | UKIP |
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| -25.6% | -27.6% | | Liberal Democrat |
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| -10.9% | -11.7% | | Total votes | 1,107 |
| 51% | 55% |
Swing: both Labour and Conservative see share increase by circa 22%, little swing between tham Council now: 19 Conservative, 14 Labour, 2 Independent Group, 2 Independent, 1 Liberal Democrat, 1 Green Luton: South - Labour hold | Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | | Labour | 547 | 44.1% | +4.3% | +7.0% | -8.3% | -8.2% | | Liberal Democrat | 332 | 26.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Conservative | 198 | 16.0% | +0.1% | +0.4% | -13.7% | -12.6% | | Independent | 134 | 10.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Communist | 28 | 2.3% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Green |
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| -18.9% | -20.2% | -17.9% | -19.1% | | UKIP |
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| -14.4% | -15.4% |
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| -11.0% | -11.7% |
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| | Total votes | 1,239 |
| 53% | 56% | 34% | 36% |
Swing: not meaningful Council now: 31 Labour, 13 Liberal Democrat, 3 Conservative, 1 vacancy South Kesteven: Grantham Arnoldfield - Conservative hold | Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | | Conservative | 460 | 65.0% | -8.9% | -8.5% | +15.6% | +18.4% | | Labour | 136 | 19.2% | -6.9% | -7.3% | +3.5% | +2.9% | | Green | 112 | 15.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | UKIP |
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| -21.2% | -22.3% | | Independent |
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| -13.8% | -14.9% | | Total votes | 708 |
| 80% | 82% | 29% | 32% |
Swing: Conservative to Labour 1% / ½% since 2019 but Labour to Conservative 6% / 7¾% since 2015 Council now: 37 Conservative, 11 Independent, 3 Labour, 2 Liberal Democrat, 2 Independent Unaligned, 1 Unaligned South Kesteven: Stamford All Saints - Independent gain from Conservative | Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | | Independent Cleaver | 496 | 57.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Conservative | 214 | 24.6% | -37.5% | -36.9% | -13.6% | -10.8% | | Independent Story | 114 | 13.1% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Independent Sawyer | 46 | 5.3% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Labour |
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| -37.9% | -38.5% | -18.4% | -19.4% | | Stamford Independent |
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| -22.4% | -23.0% | | UKIP |
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| -21.0% | -22.1% | | Total votes | 870 |
| 96% | 98% | 30% | 32% |
Swing: not meaningful Council now: 37 Conservative, 11 Independent, 3 Labour, 2 Liberal Democrat, 2 Independent Unaligned, 1 Unaligned South Staffordshire: Kinver - Conservative hold amended Labour and Green votes initially reported wrong way round | Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | | Conservative | 865 | 74.1% | +29.3% | +30.6% | +0.7% | +1.9% | | Labour | 154 | 13.2% | from nowhere | from nowhere | -13.5% | -14.7% | | Green | 149 | 12.8% | -16.3% | -17.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Liberal Democrat |
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| -26.2% | -26.8% |
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| | Total votes | 1,168 |
| 51% | 52% | 30% | 31% |
Swing: Green to Conservative 22¾% / 23¾% since 2019 and Labour to Conservative 7% / 8¼% since 2015 Council now: 36 Conservative, 8 Independent, 3 Green, 1 Labour, 1 UKIP South Staffordshire: Wombourne South East - Conservative hold | Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | 2015 result | | Conservative | 370 | 50.3% | -22.7% | -24.6% | 2 seats unopposed | | Green | 323 | 43.9% | from nowhere | from nowhere |
| | Labour | 42 | 5.7% | -21.3% | -19.3% |
| | Total votes | 735 |
| 79% | 87% |
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Swing: not meaningful Council now: 36 Conservative, 8 Independent, 3 Green, 1 Labour, 1 UKIP
Wrexham: Gresford East & West - Conservative hold | Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2017 | since 2012 | since 2008 | | Conservative | 351 | 42.7% | -30.3% | +14.3% | +8.6% | | Liberal Democrat | 165 | 20.1% | +10.1% | -15.6% | -17.8% | | Plaid Cymru | 163 | 19.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Labour | 132 | 16.1% | -0.2% | -19.9% | -12.0% | | Reform | 6 | 0.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Green | 5 | 0.6% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Independent |
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| -0.9% |
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| | Total votes | 822 |
| 65% | 94% | 81% |
Swing: shares and swings all over the place Council now: 18 Independent, 11 Labour, 8 Conservative, 8 Wrexham Independent, 5 Plaid Cymru, 2 Unaligned
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Post by listener on Oct 29, 2021 10:57:12 GMT
Pedant's corner
The Kinver result reported above by Middle Englander is at odds with the Declaration of Result of Poll, which shows Labour polling 154 and the Green Party polling 149.
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Post by middleenglander on Oct 29, 2021 11:36:18 GMT
Pedant's corner The Kinver result reported above by Middle Englander is at odds with the Declaration of Result of Poll, which shows Labour polling 154 and the Green Party polling 149. A rare and unusual mistake by David Boothroyd in the initial report of the result. Now corrected. |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
Member is Online
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Post by The Bishop on Oct 29, 2021 11:54:44 GMT
CARLISLE Currock and Upperby Christopher Alan WILLS (Labour Party Candidate) 636 Robert Geoffrey MITCHELL (Conservative Party Candidate) 412 Thomas George Hartwell ADAMS (Green Party) 59 Pretty decent Labour result there, particularly compared with their performance in the Carlisle by-elections this May, which was absolutely dire. I did notice there were some Tory wins in the prediction competition for this one - prudently refrained from commenting at the time but they raised my eyebrows. I wonder if some were influenced by the May byelection results you refer to, or maybe just "added" the Tory and UKIP vote together - even though the latter only stood one person for the 3 seats? Dropping that seat was a major shock for Labour in 2019, and they will be pleased to have rectified it. |
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Post by evergreenadam on Oct 29, 2021 13:05:58 GMT
SOUTH STAFFORDSHIRE Wombourne South East Mark Edmund EVANS (The Conservative Party Candidate) 370 Claire McILVENNA (The Green Party Candidate) 323 Denis BEAUMONT (Labour Party) 42 Very good performance for the Greens. Almost did it. |
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Post by andrewteale on Oct 29, 2021 15:26:29 GMT
Pedant's corner The Kinver result reported above by Middle Englander is at odds with the Declaration of Result of Poll, which shows Labour polling 154 and the Green Party polling 149. A rare and unusual mistake by David Boothroyd in the initial report of the result. Now corrected. Not David's mistake: the council did originally publish a declaration with the Greens in second, because I saw it myself. They then put up a corrected declaration. |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 29, 2021 16:25:05 GMT
Thanks for confirming that memory. I was sure I had double-checked.
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Post by greenhert on Nov 2, 2021 22:11:59 GMT
The salient point about South Staffordshire district itself is particularly important. Had Seisdon Rural District not merged with Cannock Rural District then in all likelihood Wolverhampton would have absorbed the area around Penton with Dudley absorbing the area around Wombourne, with Tettenhall having been absorbed into Wolverhampton in 1966. Broxtowe would have suffered a similar fate in Nottinghamshire had two otherwise disconnected parts not banded together (all but Eastwood would have faced absorption into the city of Nottingham). |
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Post by listener on Nov 3, 2021 16:02:30 GMT
As a postscript to last week's results, the turnouts were very low - only Wrexham came in over 25%, with 4 of the 8 results below 20% and Luton below 12%.
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