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Post by andrew111 on Sept 29, 2021 21:12:42 GMT
Tory complacency in areas where they enjoy strong support is endemic in my experience. It is often manifested in an arrogant assumption that they have a right to be in charge and that people will always vote for them because they are the "natural party of government". Watching Graham Brady knock up Green-voting households was my highlight of polling day 2018. They were just going to the big houses and assuming. Probably a reasonable assumption in the 2017 and 2019 general elections though, when the "Green voting households" were not voting Green |
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Post by owainsutton on Sept 29, 2021 21:13:49 GMT
Occam's Razor says a solid campaign, no Labour activity, and probably very complacent Tories. Lib Dem vote was also up significantly, which in this case probably helped the Greens win. Plague on the big two houses Appears to have been calculated from a Wikipedia oddity, the only single-candidate party in 2019 was the LDs. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Broadland_District_Council_election#Brundall |
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Post by carlton43 on Sept 29, 2021 21:18:28 GMT
Occam's Razor says a solid campaign, no Labour activity, and probably very complacent Tories. Tory complacency in areas where they enjoy strong support is endemic in my experience. It is often manifested in an arrogant assumption that they have a right to be in charge and that people will always vote for them because they are the "natural party of government". But the whole concept of British Democracy is built around that statement being true and widely accepted, as our record shows. This was a minor blip. We will erase you on the next occasion. They will probably have a turn of the vapours well before full term and enhance our opportunity. |
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Post by andrew111 on Sept 29, 2021 21:30:02 GMT
MiddleEnglander calculates on top vote as is customary here, and also on average. Lib Dem vote was definitely up |
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Post by greenchristian on Sept 30, 2021 3:48:56 GMT
Tory complacency in areas where they enjoy strong support is endemic in my experience. It is often manifested in an arrogant assumption that they have a right to be in charge and that people will always vote for them because they are the "natural party of government". But the whole concept of British Democracy is built around that statement being true and widely accepted, as our record shows. This was a minor blip. We will erase you on the next occasion. They will probably have a turn of the vapours well before full term and enhance our opportunity. |
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Post by owainsutton on Sept 30, 2021 10:20:38 GMT
Watching Graham Brady knock up Green-voting households was my highlight of polling day 2018. They were just going to the big houses and assuming. Probably a reasonable assumption in the 2017 and 2019 general elections though, when the "Green voting households" were not voting Green General elections are a different kettle of fish, yes. Big houses maybe were a safe assumption for the Tories in 2017. GE2019 was bizzaro world, there was on paper barely any swing in this constituency, but in reality it was two huge swings from different demographics in opposite directions. |
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Post by andrew111 on Oct 1, 2021 10:31:18 GMT
Probably a reasonable assumption in the 2017 and 2019 general elections though, when the "Green voting households" were not voting Green General elections are a different kettle of fish, yes. Big houses maybe were a safe assumption for the Tories in 2017. GE2019 was bizzaro world, there was on paper barely any swing in this constituency, but in reality it was two huge swings from different demographics in opposite directions. True. Big houses tend to be occupied by Remainers |
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Post by andrew111 on Oct 1, 2021 10:35:19 GMT
But the whole concept of British Democracy is built around that statement being true and widely accepted, as our record shows. This was a minor blip. We will erase you on the next occasion. They will probably have a turn of the vapours well before full term and enhance our opportunity. "months of fruitful work" |
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