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Post by Merseymike on Aug 26, 2021 22:50:05 GMT
Is it fair to say that of the two Medway seats, Strood North is the more middle class?
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Post by greenhert on Aug 26, 2021 22:50:36 GMT
Princes Park result:
Conservative 961 (67.4%) Labour 313 (21.9%) Green 52 (3.6%) Independent (Durcan) 51 (3.6%) Liberal Democrats 49 (3.4%)
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Post by evergreenadam on Aug 26, 2021 22:51:26 GMT
Strood North: Labour 913 Conservative 728 Green 565 Independent 216 And Liberal Democrats 39. Percentages: Labour 37.1% Conservative 29.6% Green 23.0% Independent 8.8% Liberal Democrats 1.6% (rounded up to nearest 0.1%). Another good Green result in Kent.
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Post by olympian95 on Aug 26, 2021 22:52:36 GMT
LD gain in Cumbria
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Post by samdwebber on Aug 26, 2021 22:52:40 GMT
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Post by greenhert on Aug 26, 2021 22:54:03 GMT
And Liberal Democrats 39. Percentages: Labour 37.1% Conservative 29.6% Green 23.0% Independent 8.8% Liberal Democrats 1.6% (rounded up to nearest 0.1%). Another good Green result in Kent. Not as good as I was hoping for, although then again Medway is not good Green territory.
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Post by agbutler on Aug 26, 2021 22:55:43 GMT
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Post by BucksDucks on Aug 26, 2021 22:57:50 GMT
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Post by bjornhattan on Aug 26, 2021 23:01:01 GMT
Another good Green result in Kent. Not as good as I was hoping for, although then again Medway is not good Green territory. You're disappointed at getting a decent swing and a strong third place in a traditional Labour/Conservative marginal?
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peterl
Green
Congratulations President Trump
Posts: 8,473
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Post by peterl on Aug 26, 2021 23:17:07 GMT
Does anyone happen to have the full numbers for Newport?
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Post by andrew111 on Aug 26, 2021 23:18:16 GMT
Will that be in Farron's potential new seat if the bce proposals go through?
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,850
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Post by johng on Aug 26, 2021 23:19:41 GMT
Newport Graig
John Jones (Conservatives): 610 John Harris (Labour): 534 Jeff Evans (Liberal Democrats): 71
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Post by yellowperil on Aug 26, 2021 23:23:15 GMT
I was hearing good things about the Cumbria seat and the campaign there,enough to make me predict a narrow Lib Dem gain, but still fairly astonished by the scale of that win. I suppose the firm hold on the seat before by the Indy made it difficult to judge, but little sign from e.g the district elections.
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Post by middleenglander on Aug 26, 2021 23:23:52 GMT
Cumbria: Corby & Hayton - Liberal Democrat gain from IndependentParty | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2017 | since 2013 | Liberal Democrat | 857 | 71.0% | +60.8% | from nowhere | Conservative | 350 | 29.0% | -6.0% | +2.5% | Independent Graham |
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| -47.7% | -73.5% | Green |
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| -7.1% |
| Total votes | 1,207 |
| 69% | 82% |
Swing: Not meaningful Council now: 38 Conservative, 26 Labour, 16 Liberal Democrat, 2 Non-aligned Independent, 1 Green, 1 Independent Medway: Princes Park - Conservative hold Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | Conservative | 961 | 67.4% | +19.6% | +19.0% | +22.6% | +21.3% | Labour | 313 | 21.9% | -5.6% | -4.5% | -3.5% | -2.8% | Green | 52 | 3.6% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Independent | 51 | 3.6% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Liberal Democrat | 49 | 3.4% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | UKIP |
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| -24.7% | -25.1% | -28.3% | -27.5% | TUSC |
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| -1.5% | -1.6% | Total votes | 1,426 |
| 71% | 72% | 35% | 38% |
Swing: Labour to Conservative 12½% / 11¾% since 2019 and 13% / 12% since 2015 Council now: 32 Conservative, 21 Labour, 2 Independent Medway: Strood North - Labour gain from Conservative sitting as IndependentParty | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | Labour | 913 | 37.1% | +5.5% | +6.6% | +11.3% | +11.3% | Conservative | 728 | 29.5% | -2.4% | -1.9% | -7.9% | -6.8% | Green | 565 | 23.0% | +11.0% | +9.8% | +14.1% | +13.2% | Independent | 216 | 8.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Liberal Democrat | 39 | 1.6% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | UKIP |
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| -14.5% | -15.9% | -25.1% | -25.0% | Independents (3) |
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| -9.9% | -9.0% |
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| TUSC |
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| -2.7% | -3.0% | Total votes | 2,461 |
| 59% | 65% | 35% | Row 10 column 7 |
Swing: Conservative to Labour 4% / 4¼% since 2019 and 9½% / 9% since 2015 Council now: 32 Conservative, 21 Labour, 2 Independent Newport: Graig - Conservative hold Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2017 "top" | since 2017 "average" | since 2012 "top" | since 2012 "average" | Conservative | 610 | 50.2% | +3.5% | +3.4% | -0.2% | -0.9% | Labour | 534 | 44.0% | +6.4% | +7.0% | +3.8% | +5.1% | Liberal Democrat | 71 | 5.8% | -3.0% | -3.2% | -3.6% | -4.3% | Green |
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| -7.0% | -7.2% |
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| Total votes | 1,215 |
| 55% | 57% | 68% | 73% |
Swing: Conservative to Labour 1½% / 1¾% since 2017 and 2% / 3% since 2012 Council now: 31 Labour, 12 Conservative, 4 Newport Independent, 2 Liberal Democrat, 1 Independent
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 12,012
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Post by Khunanup on Aug 26, 2021 23:29:26 GMT
Will that be in Farron's potential new seat if the bce proposals go through? No, it's in the proposed Carlisle seat.
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Post by bjornhattan on Aug 26, 2021 23:34:04 GMT
Will that be in Farron's potential new seat if the bce proposals go through? No - along with most of the rest of Carlisle city's rural territory, it's being moved from Penrith and the Border into the new Carlisle constituency. Tim Farron would be contesting Penrith and Kendal - the northernmost division in that would be the Labour held Alston Moor (which stands out on that map as the red swathe in the far east of the county).
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,306
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Post by maxque on Aug 26, 2021 23:34:15 GMT
Will that be in Farron's potential new seat if the bce proposals go through? His proposed seat is pretty much Eden district + Kendal (and Sedbergh and Kirkby Lonsdale).
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,306
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Post by maxque on Aug 26, 2021 23:35:09 GMT
Will that be in Farron's potential new seat if the bce proposals go through? No - along with most of the rest of Carlisle city's rural territory, it's being moved from Penrith and the Border into the new Carlisle constituency. Tim Farron would be contesting Penrith and Kendal - the northernmost division in that would be the Labour held Alston Moor (which stands out on that map as the red swathe in the far east of the county). The seat proposed name seems to be Westmorland and Eden, through.
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Post by bjornhattan on Aug 26, 2021 23:42:27 GMT
No - along with most of the rest of Carlisle city's rural territory, it's being moved from Penrith and the Border into the new Carlisle constituency. Tim Farron would be contesting Penrith and Kendal - the northernmost division in that would be the Labour held Alston Moor (which stands out on that map as the red swathe in the far east of the county). The seat proposed name seems to be Westmorland and Eden, through. Right you are - that'll teach me to actually check the proposed constituency name and not just guess it after glancing at a map.
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Post by middleenglander on Aug 26, 2021 23:42:27 GMT
Compare and contrast Medway: Princes Park (12% swing to Conservative) and Medway: Strood North (4% to Labour)!! Does anyone have a solid explanation?
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