Local Council by-elections 19th August 2021

[iang]

There seems to be a consensus amongst the predictors that in the straight fights, Dover will be a Tory hold but Rutland a Lib Dem gain. I got appeals for help from Rutland (bit far off to actually respond) which does suggest they are fighting an active campaign there

[andrew111]

Aug 19, 2021 9:21:39 GMT iang said:

There seems to be a consensus amongst the predictors that in the straight fights, Dover will be a Tory hold but Rutland a Lib Dem gain. I got appeals for help from Rutland (bit far off to actually respond) which does suggest they are fighting an active campaign there

Lib Dem candidate in Sandwich has an active FB page and seems very active in the community

[andrew111]

Tory is also very active. Chair of more organisations than I could have imagined existing in Dover

However he has put a video of Patel making empty promises to Afghan refugees on his feed.

[yellowperil]

Aug 19, 2021 9:21:39 GMT iang said:

There seems to be a consensus amongst the predictors that in the straight fights, Dover will be a Tory hold but Rutland a Lib Dem gain. I got appeals for help from Rutland (bit far off to actually respond) which does suggest they are fighting an active campaign there

Consensus among the predictors here is not always an entirely reliable guide

[Chris from Brum]

Andrew's Previews are here, though curiously mistitled.

[iang]

As erudite and informative as ever - BUT - you just might cover the events in Sandwich in 1216 in History GCSE. If you are lucky enough to have one of the best history teachers in the world, you will do the OCR History A course (OCR offers two History GCSEs) for which you can do as an option War and British Society, which covers essentially the Vikings through to the "war on terror". And this includes looking at civil wars in the Middle Ages ie Stephen and John. So you would touch on the events at the end of John's reign, the French invasion and the "Magna Carta" War. Can't guarantee that Sandwich specifically gets a mention (though Dover does) but the events of 1216 certainly feature

[evergreenadam]

Exhausted Greens apologise for not standing in Sandwich this time: doveranddeal.greenparty.org.uk/ddc-sandwich-by-election-sorry-we-cant-stand/

[Davıd Boothroyd]

DOVER Sandwich

FRIEND, Dan (Conservative) 721
FOX, Anne Elizabeth (Liberal Democrat) 676

[andrewp]

Ashford. Downs North

Green 273
Con 239
LD 15

[Tony Otim]

Aug 19, 2021 22:40:30 GMT andrewp said:

Ashford. Downs North

Green 273
Con 239
LD 15

Quite happy to have called that one wrong. Didn't think we'd manage to squeeze the Lib Dems quite that much.

[evergreenadam]

Aug 19, 2021 22:35:01 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

DOVER Sandwich

FRIEND, Dan (Conservative) 721
FOX, Anne Elizabeth (Liberal Democrat) 676

So damn close.

[greenhert]

Aug 19, 2021 22:42:04 GMT Tony Otim said:

Aug 19, 2021 22:40:30 GMT andrewp said:

Ashford. Downs North

Green 273
Con 239
LD 15

Quite happy to have called that one wrong. Didn't think we'd manage to squeeze the Lib Dems quite that much.

Percentages: 

Green 51.8%
Conservative 45.3%
Liberal Democrats 2.9%

[agbutler]

East Riding Council reporting the Tory has won on twitter, although the full result hasn't been published yet

[Toylyyev]

[timmullen1]

[andrewp]

[cogload]

[Rutlander]

(Only one East Riding Conservatives elected tonight)

[timmullen1]

Aug 19, 2021 23:27:24 GMT Rutlander said:

(Only one East Riding Conservatives elected tonight)

Dover?

[Rutlander]

Remarkably the new councillor in Oakham South, the Lib Dem Paul Browne, first stood as a Liberal candidate in the 1970 general election; this was in Rushcliffe when Ken Clarke began his long paliamentary career.