timmullen1
Labour
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Post by timmullen1 on Jul 29, 2021 23:55:56 GMT
BASILDON Pitsea North West Stuart Terson (Conservative) 794 Aidan McGurran (Labour) 430 Jake Hogg (Basildon Community Residents Party) 82 Martin Keith Howard (Liberal Democrats) 57 Daniel Charles Raymond Tooley (Reform UK) 23 Christopher David Bateman (The For Britain Movement) 19 Not the greatest result ever for Labour. Not even a particularly strongly Hindu area (~1%), and even less so Jewish (~0.5%). Labour don't even have the excuse of being in government and having to make difficult decisions that annoy people. I wonder what the brave knight of Holborn can do to reconnect with ordinary people in normal counties like Essex. 13% turnout doesn’t tell us much, Labour defended the seat in May, albeit with a swing to the Conservatives, and both the successful Conservative and the defeated Labour candidates stood in May, the latter winning one of the two seats in the County Division covering the Ward, so it just seems like a general shrug of the shoulders by-election with the Conservatives edging the GOTV operation such as it was on such a low turnout. It’s noticeable that I can’t find one campaigning Tweet using the Ward hashtag on Twitter, which is very unusual as somebody usually posts something about the brilliant response on the doorstep, or even vote x to stop y. |
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Post by middleenglander on Jul 30, 2021 0:18:19 GMT
Not the greatest result ever for Labour. Not even a particularly strongly Hindu area (~1%), and even less so Jewish (~0.5%). Labour don't even have the excuse of being in government and having to make difficult decisions that annoy people. I wonder what the brave knight of Holborn can do to reconnect with ordinary people in normal counties like Essex. 13% turnout doesn’t tell us much, Labour defended the seat in May, albeit with a swing to the Conservatives, and both the successful Conservative and the defeated Labour candidates stood in May, the latter winning one of the two seats in the County Division covering the Ward, so it just seems like a general shrug of the shoulders by-election with the Conservatives edging the GOTV operation such as it was on such a low turnout. It’s noticeable that I can’t find one campaigning Tweet using the Ward hashtag on Twitter, which is very unusual as somebody usually posts something about the brilliant response on the doorstep, or even vote x to stop y. Turnout was 14.9% not 13% (against 25.4% in May) but that does not change the thrust of your post. |
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
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Post by timmullen1 on Jul 30, 2021 1:21:42 GMT
13% turnout doesn’t tell us much, Labour defended the seat in May, albeit with a swing to the Conservatives, and both the successful Conservative and the defeated Labour candidates stood in May, the latter winning one of the two seats in the County Division covering the Ward, so it just seems like a general shrug of the shoulders by-election with the Conservatives edging the GOTV operation such as it was on such a low turnout. It’s noticeable that I can’t find one campaigning Tweet using the Ward hashtag on Twitter, which is very unusual as somebody usually posts something about the brilliant response on the doorstep, or even vote x to stop y. Turnout was 14.9% not 13% (against 25.4% in May) but that does not change the thrust of your post. Apologies, I do genuinely need to get a visit from Specsavers 🧐 |
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Post by andrew111 on Jul 30, 2021 6:43:17 GMT
Not the greatest result ever for Labour. Not even a particularly strongly Hindu area (~1%), and even less so Jewish (~0.5%). Labour don't even have the excuse of being in government and having to make difficult decisions that annoy people. I wonder what the brave knight of Holborn can do to reconnect with ordinary people in normal counties like Essex. 13% turnout doesn’t tell us much, Labour defended the seat in May, albeit with a swing to the Conservatives, and both the successful Conservative and the defeated Labour candidates stood in May, the latter winning one of the two seats in the County Division covering the Ward, so it just seems like a general shrug of the shoulders by-election with the Conservatives edging the GOTV operation such as it was on such a low turnout. It’s noticeable that I can’t find one campaigning Tweet using the Ward hashtag on Twitter, which is very unusual as somebody usually posts something about the brilliant response on the doorstep, or even vote x to stop y. Reading Andrew's previews, it seems the Tory candidate organises the local fete, while the Labour incumbent took his bat home only a month after being elected in what looks like a fit of pique at not being council leader any more. That is a sure way to keep your voters at home |
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Post by Merseymike on Jul 30, 2021 7:08:20 GMT
BASILDON Pitsea North West Stuart Terson (Conservative) 794 Aidan McGurran (Labour) 430 Jake Hogg (Basildon Community Residents Party) 82 Martin Keith Howard (Liberal Democrats) 57 Daniel Charles Raymond Tooley (Reform UK) 23 Christopher David Bateman (The For Britain Movement) 19 Not the greatest result ever for Labour. Not even a particularly strongly Hindu area (~1%), and even less so Jewish (~0.5%). Labour don't even have the excuse of being in government and having to make difficult decisions that annoy people. I wonder what the brave knight of Holborn can do to reconnect with ordinary people in normal counties like Essex. Nothing. This is more a case of views aligning with voting intention. There is a limit to how well Labour can ever do with people who are clearly right wing. Having said that, the turnout was very low and perhaps a more important question is why they don't seem able to enthuse those who do intend to vote for them. Clue. It begins with S, ends with R, and has TARME in the middle. |
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Post by hullenedge on Jul 30, 2021 8:03:36 GMT
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jul 30, 2021 8:06:21 GMT
Or in numbers:
BASSETLAW East Retford South
Mike INTRONA (The Conservative Party Candidate) 493
Helen Margaret RICHARDS (Independent) 488
James Trebor NAPIER (Labour Party) 247
A reminder that Helen Richards was the sitting councillor, elected for Labour.
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Post by Merseymike on Jul 30, 2021 8:49:30 GMT
Or in numbers: BASSETLAW East Retford South Mike INTRONA (The Conservative Party Candidate) 493 Helen Margaret RICHARDS (Independent) 488 James Trebor NAPIER (Labour Party) 247 A reminder that Helen Richards was the sitting councillor, elected for Labour. A NIMBY election by the look of it. Please build houses to deal with the housing shortage, but put them somewhere else. |
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Post by grahammurray on Jul 30, 2021 10:17:42 GMT
Gaywood South turnout: 17.32%
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Post by agbutler on Jul 30, 2021 10:19:29 GMT
Gaywood South turnout: 17.32% LD: 648 Lab: 561 Tory: 378 Ind: 35 Ukip: 28 |
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
Posts: 11,823
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Post by timmullen1 on Jul 30, 2021 10:19:30 GMT
Gaywood South: LD GAIN from Con
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 30, 2021 10:27:58 GMT
That's the sort of result where I don't mind that its really screwed my prediction entry
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ricmk
Lib Dem
Posts: 2,619
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Post by ricmk on Jul 30, 2021 10:30:10 GMT
Or in numbers: BASSETLAW East Retford South Mike INTRONA (The Conservative Party Candidate) 493 Helen Margaret RICHARDS (Independent) 488 James Trebor NAPIER (Labour Party) 247 A reminder that Helen Richards was the sitting councillor, elected for Labour. A NIMBY election by the look of it. Please build houses to deal with the housing shortage, but put them somewhere else. Strikes me that everyone has something to be happy about with that result. The Tories because they capitalised on the dissatisfaction within Labour to sneak through and win. Labour because the disloyal defector could not be allowed to win. Helen Richards because Labour are weaker on the Council to push the development through and she showed her personal vote was stronger than the Labour party brand. |
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Post by evergreenadam on Jul 30, 2021 10:30:56 GMT
That's the sort of result where I don't mind that its really screwed my prediction entry Crikey, where did that come from! |
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Post by markgoodair on Jul 30, 2021 10:32:32 GMT
GAYWOOD SOUTH
Lib Dem 39.3% +28.1%
LAB 34.0 -1.6%
CON. 22.9%-25.4%
IND 2.1%. +2.1%
UKIP. 1.7% -3.2%
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robert1
Conservative
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Post by robert1 on Jul 30, 2021 10:33:32 GMT
First time I can recall all by-elections changing hands when there are multiple contests
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 30, 2021 10:43:39 GMT
A real musical chairs week- all 5 elections producing a change of hands, nobody able to defend. Sign of the times?
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Post by andrewp on Jul 30, 2021 11:06:33 GMT
A real musical chairs week- all 5 elections producing a change of hands, nobody able to defend. Sign of the times? Somebody can probably tell me, but it does feel like the percentage of seats changing hands has increased significantly recently. I think there is, as previously noted, a general swing against the party that is currently forming the administration in all councils ( Basildon is an exception last night) because I would argue that it’s pretty difficult and unusual for a council to be popular. |
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 30, 2021 11:10:55 GMT
A real musical chairs week- all 5 elections producing a change of hands, nobody able to defend. Sign of the times? Somebody can probably tell me, but it does feel like the percentage of seats changing hands has increased significantly recently. I think there is, as previously noted, a general swing against the party that is currently forming the administration in all councils ( Basildon is an exception last night) because I would argue that it’s pretty difficult and unusual for a council to be popular. Generally this seems to be a vote against incumbency, and of course we had two actual incumbents fighting unnecessary elections last night? |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
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Post by The Bishop on Jul 30, 2021 11:16:24 GMT
BASILDON Pitsea North West Stuart Terson (Conservative) 794 Aidan McGurran (Labour) 430 Jake Hogg (Basildon Community Residents Party) 82 Martin Keith Howard (Liberal Democrats) 57 Daniel Charles Raymond Tooley (Reform UK) 23 Christopher David Bateman (The For Britain Movement) 19 Not the greatest result ever for Labour. Not even a particularly strongly Hindu area (~1%), and even less so Jewish (~0.5%). Labour don't even have the excuse of being in government and having to make difficult decisions that annoy people. I wonder what the brave knight of Holborn can do to reconnect with ordinary people in normal counties like Essex. The contests in Basildon and Norfolk had a significant factor in common. Do you know what that was? |
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