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Post by Robert Waller on Jun 18, 2021 10:43:41 GMT
East gariioch first preference percentages are on Britain elects Twitter
I’m on my mobile so don’t know how to copy
But that is one place LDs didn’t do very well this time ...
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Post by michael2019 on Jun 18, 2021 10:47:11 GMT
East gariioch first preference percentages are on Britain elects Twitter I’m on my mobile so don’t know how to copy But that is one place LDs didn’t do very well this time ... East Garioch (Aberdeenshire) first preferences: CON: 34.9% (+3.4) GRN: 27.1% (+8.3) SNP: 27.1% (-0.2) LDEM: 7.9% (-10.7) LAB: 3.1% (-0.8) Council seat change: Conservative GAIN from Liberal Democrat |
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Post by andrewp on Jun 18, 2021 10:49:03 GMT
East Garloch first preference numbers
Con 1240
SNP 963
LD 281
Green 130
Lab 111
The Green number has been corrected from 963 to 130
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Post by justin124 on Jun 18, 2021 10:49:10 GMT
Yes - this can be seen from the 2019 district results where she finished 300 votes ahead of her 2 running mates. That was always likely to be the biggest difference between the 2 results. Indeed. What the two Sewell results also show is that here, as in many other cities, there is a large overlap between Green and Labour voters, and when given the opportunity to have more than one vote, they will happily split their votes between the parties. The Greens were greatly helped by protest votes from disaffected Corbynites and the disappearance of the LD vote.Had the election gone ahead as planned on May 6th, I suspect that Labour would have held both seats. |
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Sandy
Forum Regular
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Post by Sandy on Jun 18, 2021 10:52:17 GMT
East gariioch first preference percentages are on Britain elects Twitter I’m on my mobile so don’t know how to copy But that is one place LDs didn’t do very well this time ... East Garioch (Aberdeenshire) first preferences: CON: 34.9% (+3.4) GRN: 27.1% (+8.3) SNP: 27.1% (-0.2) LDEM: 7.9% (-10.7) LAB: 3.1% (-0.8) Council seat change: Conservative GAIN from Liberal Democrat The Green figure is wrong. It’s since been corrected on Aberdeenshire Council Twitter. |
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Post by markgoodair on Jun 18, 2021 10:54:09 GMT
East Garloch first preference numbers
Con 1240. 45.5%
SNP 963. 35.3%
LD 281. 10.3%
Green 130. 4.8%
Lab 111. 4.1%
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Post by middleenglander on Jun 18, 2021 10:59:36 GMT
Other Local Council By-electionsAberdeenshire: East Garioch - Conservative gain from Liberal Democratbased on first preference votes | Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2017 | | Conservative | 1,240 | 45.5% | +14.0% | | SNP | 963 | 35.3% | +8.0% | | Liberal Democrat | 281 | 10.3% | -8.2% | | Green | 130 | 4.8% | -14.0% | | Labour | 111 | 4.1% | +0.1% | | Total votes | 2,725 |
| 60% |
Swing: SNP to Conservative 3% since 2017 Council now: 19 Conservative, 17 SNP, 13 Liberal Democrat, 9 Aligned Independent, 3 Alba, 3 Independent, 2 Democratic & Green Group, 1 Labour, 1 Unaligned Independent, 1 Libertarian, 1 vacancy Caerphilly: Aber Valley - Plaid Cymru hold after being returned unopposed Council now: 49 Labour, 18 Plaid Cymru, 6 Independent Mid Devon: Upper Culm - Conservative hold | Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2015 ^ | | Conservative | 361 | 44.5% | +8.1% | +6.0% | Row 2 column 6 | | Liberal Democrat | 346 | 42.6% | -7.2% | -3.7% | from nowhere | | Green | 74 | 9.1% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Labour | 31 | 3.8% | -10.0% | -11.4% | from nowhere | | Independent |
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| -33.0% | | UKIP |
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| -23.7% | | Total votes | 812 |
| 61% | 67% | 50% |
^ three candidates for two seats Swing: Liberal Democrat to Conservative 7¾% / 4½% since 2019 Council now: 20 Conservative, 11 Liberal Democrat, 8 Independent, 2 Green, 1 not specified Somerset West & Taunton: Old Cleve & District - Liberal Democrat hold | Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | | Liberal Democrat | 500 | 44.9% | -0.4% | +0.2% | | Conservative | 494 | 44.3% | +13.6% | +13.5% | | No Description | 120 | 10.8% | -13.2% | -13.7% | | Total votes | 1,114 |
| 67% | 68% |
Swing: Liberal Democrat to Conservative 7% / 6¾% since 2019
Council now: 29 Liberal Democrat, 13 Independent, 10 Conservative, 3 Labour, 2 Green, 1 non-aligned, 1 vacancy
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 18, 2021 10:59:37 GMT
The Tandridge result hasn’t been commented on. The two independents doing very well and getting 73% between them. The Conservatives dropping 43%. I note that the winning Indy came across as very embedded in the community and the Conservatives had a young candidate. I thought this might be Home Counties decent territory for the Lib Dem’s as well but they managed 12 votes- although I did note that the Lib Dem candidate lived some way away. Don't think there have been figures posted for this one yet? |
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iang
Lib Dem
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Post by iang on Jun 18, 2021 11:00:10 GMT
East gariioch first preference percentages are on Britain elects Twitter I’m on my mobile so don’t know how to copy But that is one place LDs didn’t do very well this time ... Perhaps all the LDs were helping in C&A... |
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Post by andrewp on Jun 18, 2021 11:04:51 GMT
The Tandridge result hasn’t been commented on. The two independents doing very well and getting 73% between them. The Conservatives dropping 43%. I note that the winning Indy came across as very embedded in the community and the Conservatives had a young candidate. I thought this might be Home Counties decent territory for the Lib Dem’s as well but they managed 12 votes- although I did note that the Lib Dem candidate lived some way away. Don't think there have been figures posted for this one yet? They are in the table. Ind Moore 264 Ind Taylor 159 Con 128 Lab 18 LD 12 |
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Post by andrew111 on Jun 18, 2021 11:06:31 GMT
East Garloch first preference numbers Con 1240. 45.5% SNP 963. 35.3% LD 281. 10.3% Green 130. 4.8% Lab 111. 4.1% And actually the Greens were squeezed even more than the Lib Dems, in what should really be characterised as a Con hold |
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Post by middleenglander on Jun 18, 2021 11:15:55 GMT
Countermanded Elections
Kent: Elham Valley - Conservative hold | Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2017 | | Conservative | 1,809 | 50.1% | -4.2% | | Green | 1,335 | 37.0% | +24.6% | | Labour | 247 | 6.8% | -3.4% | | Independent | 221 | 6.1% | from nowhere | | UKIP |
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| -12.8% | | Liberal Democrat |
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| -10.3% | | Total votes | 3,613 |
| 72% |
Swing: Conservative to Green 14½% since 2017 Council now: 62 Conservative, 7 Labour, 6 Liberal Democrat, 4 Green, 1 Swale Independent, 1 Resident Norfolk: Sewell - Labour hold | Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2017 | since 2013 | since 2009 | | Labour | 1,132 | 45.3% | -14.2% | +8.6% | +18.6% | | Green | 1,005 | 40.2% | +29.0% | +11.4% | +7.6% | | Conservative | 320 | 12.8% | -4.6% | -1.9% | -9.0% | | Liberal Democrat | 40 | 1.6% | -5.8% | -1.3% | -17.2% | | UKIP |
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| -4.4% | -16.8% |
| | Total votes | 2,497 |
| 93% | 114% | 99% |
Swing: Labour to Green 21½% since 2017 and 1½% since 2013 but 5½% Green to Labour since 2009 Council now: 57 Conservative, 12 Labour, 8 Liberal Democrat, 3 Green, 3 Independent, 1 vacancy Norwich: Sewell - Green gain from Labour| Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | | Green | 1,154 | 46.1% | -12.8% | +17.0% | | Labour | 995 | 39.7% | +17.9% | -12.0% | | Conservative | 316 | 12.6% | +1.1% | +0.9% | | Liberal Democrat | 39 | 1.6% | -6.1% | -5.9% | | Total votes | 2,504 |
| 91% | 104% |
Swing: Labour to Green 15½% / 14½% since 2019 Council now: 26 Labour, 10 Green, 3 Liberal Democrat Tandridge: Felbridge - Independent gain from Conservative| Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2019 | since 2015 | since 2011 | | Independent Moore | 264 | 45.4% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Independent Taylor | 159 | 27.4% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Conservative | 128 | 22.0% | -43.0% | -66.8% | -59.7% | | Labour | 18 | 3.1% | from nowhere | -8.1% | from nowhere | | Liberal Democrat | 12 | 2.1% | from nowhere | from nowhere | -8.4% | | Previous Independent |
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| -23.3% |
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| -11.7% |
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| -7.8% | | Total votes | 581 |
| 77% | 45% | 67% |
Swing: not meaningful Council now: 16 Independents & OLRG Alliance, 14 Conservative, 9 Liberal Democrat, 2 Independent Group, 1 newly elected Independent
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on Jun 18, 2021 11:21:33 GMT
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 18, 2021 11:21:48 GMT
Must admit I wasn't expecting the Greens to do so well in Norwich after their flop in Waltham Forest last week. Though they have won this ward/division before, so....
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Tony Otim
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 18, 2021 11:34:58 GMT
East Garloch first preference numbers Con 1240. 45.5% SNP 963. 35.3% LD 281. 10.3% Green 130. 4.8% Lab 111. 4.1% And actually the Greens were squeezed even more than the Lib Dems, in what should really be characterised as a Con hold TBH, i think its more the case that the Green vote in East Garioch is overwhelmingly a Martin Ford vote rather than a Green vote. Disappointed but not surprised just how much that is the case. |
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Post by justin124 on Jun 18, 2021 11:57:14 GMT
Must admit I wasn't expecting the Greens to do so well in Norwich after their flop in Waltham Forest last week. Though they have won this ward/division before, so.... Though that was in the 2009 County Council Election held at the height of the Expenses scandal - and ,of course, Labour was still in Government nationally and highly unpopular by that time. |
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Post by minionofmidas on Jun 18, 2021 12:27:57 GMT
And actually the Greens were squeezed even more than the Lib Dems, in what should really be characterised as a Con hold TBH, i think its more the case that the Green vote in East Garioch is overwhelmingly a Martin Ford vote rather than a Green vote. Disappointed but not surprised just how much that is the case. that's actually an amusing drawback of STV for the smaller parties given the way they're often structured around one 'strong campaigner' perennial candidate locally - you can't run him in the by-election if he's already on the council! |
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 18, 2021 12:29:04 GMT
Must admit I wasn't expecting the Greens to do so well in Norwich after their flop in Waltham Forest last week. Though they have won this ward/division before, so.... Though that was in the 2009 County Council Election held at the height of the Expenses scandal - and ,of course, Labour was still in Government nationally and highly unpopular by that time. They won it a few times at DC level as well. |
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Tony Otim
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 18, 2021 12:54:58 GMT
Though that was in the 2009 County Council Election held at the height of the Expenses scandal - and ,of course, Labour was still in Government nationally and highly unpopular by that time. They won it a few times at DC level as well. Nope - never. www.andrewteale.me.uk/leap/ward/7365/They came close a few times, but the only wards we ever held at district level were Nelson, Mancroft, Town Close, Thorpe Hamlet and Wensum. Sewell and Mile Cross were won at County level in 2009 but never at district. |
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Post by justin124 on Jun 18, 2021 13:41:30 GMT
They won it a few times at DC level as well. Nope - never. www.andrewteale.me.uk/leap/ward/7365/They came close a few times, but the only wards we ever held at district level were Nelson, Mancroft, Town Close, Thorpe Hamlet and Wensum. Sewell and Mile Cross were won at County level in 2009 but never at district. Unlikely that they would have won on 6th May. |
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