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Post by batman on Jun 18, 2024 23:25:14 GMT
That is incorrect. Most pollsters registered a very sharp drop in the Tory lead as the campaign progressed, and some got the result almost spot on. Not everybody did though.
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Post by hullenedge on Jun 25, 2024 12:59:15 GMT
Perusing the tables and 80%(!) say that they will definitely vote.
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Post by batman on Jun 25, 2024 14:12:55 GMT
We are not finding many non-voters canvassing but of course that will vary greatly from constituency to constituency
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,009
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 25, 2024 14:18:55 GMT
Perusing the tables and 80%(!) say that they will definitely vote. A likely story, but I remain sceptical of those predicting/hoping for a record low turnout. |
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nodealbrexiteer
Forum Regular
non aligned favour no deal brexit!
Posts: 4,456
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Post by nodealbrexiteer on Jun 25, 2024 14:20:42 GMT
Perusing the tables and 80%(!) say that they will definitely vote. A likely story, but I remain sceptical of those predicting/hoping for a record low turnout.party like it's 1918! |
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,144
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Post by cogload on Jun 30, 2024 9:31:01 GMT
Party like it's MRP time...
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carolus
Lib Dem
Posts: 5,779
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Post by carolus on Jun 30, 2024 9:38:08 GMT
Party like it's MRP time... North Ayrshire & Arran, Lothian East, Bathgate & Linlithgow, Motherwell &c all to be won by... the Liberal Democrats. One for ntyuk1707? And Edinburgh South West going LD, while Edinburgh West is a Labour gain, as are Caithness etc and Fife North East. Over in Wales, we're gaining Blaenau Gwent, while Plaid break through in Bridgend, Cardiff and Clwyd, but lose everywhere else I think I won't be using this as a signal for my betting. Actually I suspect now they've got the rows messed up in their table and in Scotland and Wales they're all offset by one from the constituency names - then it makes a bit more sense. |
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Post by ntyuk1707 on Jun 30, 2024 9:47:59 GMT
Lib Dems winning some of their wo Party like it's MRP time... North Ayrshire & Arran, Lothian East, Bathgate & Linlithgow, Motherwell &c all to be won by... the Lieral Democrats. One for ntyuk1707 ? And Edinburgh South West going LD, while Edinburgh West is a Labour gain, as are Caithness etc and Fife North East. Over in Wales, we're gaining Blaenau Gwent, while Plaid break through in Bridgend, Cardiff and Clwyd, but lose everywhere else I think I won't b using this as a signal for my betting. Actually I suspect now they've got the rows messed up in their table and in Scotland and Wales they're all offset by one from the constituency names - then it makes a bit more sense. Lib Dems winning in some of their worst performing areas in Scotland but losing their strongholds? This is the least plausible MRP result I have seen for Scotland yet. |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,913
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 30, 2024 9:52:55 GMT
I suspect carolus has hit on the right explanation there.... |
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Post by greenrichard on Jun 30, 2024 9:55:08 GMT
It’s hard to take any prediction of 2024 seats accurately when the graphic shows a ‘prediction’ of 2019 seats as well and they get the Green seats wrong. If you can’t predict the past, you should give up predicting the future.
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Post by hullenedge on Jun 30, 2024 10:03:30 GMT
The ST seat forecasts are out of sync (because of Chorley?).
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carolus
Lib Dem
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Post by carolus on Jun 30, 2024 10:05:46 GMT
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Post by hullenedge on Jul 1, 2024 15:40:27 GMT
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Post by batman on Jul 1, 2024 18:51:11 GMT
all 3 polls show the same percentages for Lab & Con tonight.
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,144
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Post by cogload on Jul 1, 2024 18:54:19 GMT
all 3 polls show the same percentages for Lab & Con tonight. |
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Post by hullenedge on Jul 2, 2024 15:44:24 GMT
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jul 2, 2024 20:30:23 GMT
The pearl clutching in the replies to that tweet is a joy to behold  |
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Post by hullenedge on Jul 3, 2024 18:23:17 GMT
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Post by Andrew_S on Oct 16, 2024 15:24:30 GMT
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Post by swanarcadian on Oct 16, 2024 21:31:20 GMT
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