timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
Posts: 11,823
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Post by timmullen1 on Nov 6, 2020 13:02:29 GMT
The count starts at 1, results expected ‘from 4pm’ Thanks, I can go back to bed for a bit then Lucky you, I’ve had the joy of doing our weekly online grocery shop!
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peterl
Green
Congratulations President Trump
Posts: 8,473
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Post by peterl on Nov 6, 2020 13:17:14 GMT
According to [mention]andrewteale [/mention] Preview the count doesn’t start until 1pm. The count starts at 1, results expected ‘from 4pm’ Almost as bad as Nevada. If you are going to have a next day count, at least start at 9am. Democracy delayed is democracy denied.
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Post by markgoodair on Nov 6, 2020 14:40:04 GMT
3540 ballot papers verified 27% turnout
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Post by jollyroger93 on Nov 6, 2020 14:51:35 GMT
3540 ballot papers verified 27% turnout Shite turnout even for aberdeen.
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Post by robbienicoll on Nov 6, 2020 14:53:49 GMT
SNP win according to Northsound.
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Post by jollyroger93 on Nov 6, 2020 15:02:17 GMT
SNP win according to Northsound. SNP - 1661 (47.4%, +6.7) Con - 709 (20.2%, -1.3) Lab - 429 (12.2%, -5.3) Finlayson (Ind) - 367 (10.5%, -0.4) Lib Dem - 128 (3.6%, -1.6) Green - 58 (1.7%, +1.7) Other Inds x3 - 139 (4.0%, -0.3 vs diff inds) Vote Shares.
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Post by robbienicoll on Nov 6, 2020 15:02:22 GMT
Awaiting full results for the Independents and Libertarian but confirmed as SNP win (47%) with Conservatives in second (20%), Labour third (12%) and Finlayson (10.5%) best of the rest. Apparently the Libertarian candidate knocked out at first stage after a coin toss tiebreak to decide the lowest number of votes.
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Post by robbienicoll on Nov 6, 2020 15:07:01 GMT
SNP win according to Northsound. SNP - 1661 (47.4%, +6.7) Con - 709 (20.2%, -1.3) Lab - 429 (12.2%, -5.3) Finlayson (Ind) - 367 (10.5%, -0.4) Lib Dem - 128 (3.6%, -1.6) Green - 58 (1.7%, +1.7) Other Inds x3 - 139 (4.0%, -0.3 vs diff inds) Vote Shares. McLean (Ind) - 92 (2.6%) Belizzi-Houston (Ind) - 31 (0.9%) Libertarian - 16 (0.5%) Iroh (Ind) - 16 (0.5%)
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Post by No Offence Alan on Nov 6, 2020 15:37:24 GMT
SNP - 1661 (47.4%, +6.7) Con - 709 (20.2%, -1.3) Lab - 429 (12.2%, -5.3) Finlayson (Ind) - 367 (10.5%, -0.4) Lib Dem - 128 (3.6%, -1.6) Green - 58 (1.7%, +1.7) Other Inds x3 - 139 (4.0%, -0.3 vs diff inds) Vote Shares. McLean (Ind) - 92 (2.6%) Belizzi-Houston (Ind) - 31 (0.9%) Libertarian - 16 (0.5%) Iroh (Ind) - 16 (0.5%) The bottom 6 candidates total 341 votes - why not eliminate them all at once, to save time? Apart from the psephological interest, of course.
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Post by markgoodair on Nov 6, 2020 15:56:02 GMT
McLean (Ind) - 92 (2.6%) Belizzi-Houston (Ind) - 31 (0.9%) Libertarian - 16 (0.5%) Iroh (Ind) - 16 (0.5%) The bottom 6 candidates total 341 votes - why not eliminate them all at once, to save time? Apart from the psephological interest, of course. That would spoil all the fun!
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Clark
Forum Regular
Posts: 744
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Post by Clark on Nov 6, 2020 15:56:26 GMT
Changed days. Labour used to get around 70 / 80% of the vote in Kincorth / Nigg "back in the day" Although Cove wouldn't have been included back then where Labour has few votes
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Post by middleenglander on Nov 6, 2020 16:20:48 GMT
Aberdeen, Kincorth / Nigg / Cove - SNP hold - based on first preference votes Party | 2020 votes | 2020 share | since 2017 |
| since 2015 B | since 2012 | since 2007 | SNP | 1,661 | 47.4% | +6.7% |
| -13.6% | +13.2% | +15.3% | Conservative | 709 | 20.2% | -1.3% |
| +10.4% | +14.8% | +13.0% | Labour | 429 | 12.2% | -5.3% |
| -6.8% | -25.6% | -20.2% | Independent Finlayson | 367 | 10.5% | -0.4% |
| from nowhere | -1.1% | from nowhere | Liberal Democrat | 128 | 3.6% | -1.6% |
| -2.9% | -4.5% | -20.6% | Independent McLean | 92 | 2.6% | from nowhere |
| from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Green | 58 | 1.7% | from nowhere |
| -1.9% | from nowhere | from nowhere | No Description | 31 | 0.9% | from nowhere |
| from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Independent Iroh | 16 | 0.5% | from nowhere |
| from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Libertarian | 16 | 0.5% | from nowhere |
| from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Previous Independents |
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| -4.3% |
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| -2.9% | -3.0% | Solidarity |
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| -1.0% | Total votes | 3,507 |
| 68% |
| 110% | 86% | 60% |
assumes boundary unchanged over the period
Swing Conservative to SNP 4% since 2017; if meaningful SNP to Conservative 12% since 2015 by-election, ¾% since 2012 but Conservative to SNP 1% since 2007
Council now 19 SNP, 10 Conservative, 9 Aberdeen Labour, 3 Independent Alliance, 3 Liberal Democrat, 1 Independent
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Post by yellowperil on Nov 6, 2020 16:24:06 GMT
The bottom 6 candidates total 341 votes - why not eliminate them all at once, to save time? Apart from the psephological interest, of course. That would spoil all the fun! Plus if this is done electronically there is no significant time saving involved.
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Post by Arthur Figgis on Nov 6, 2020 16:27:13 GMT
I see @boogieeck made all the difference.
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Post by froome on Nov 6, 2020 17:16:42 GMT
I see @boogieeck made all the difference. I would be surprised if he voted more than 15 times.
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Post by jollyroger93 on Nov 7, 2020 11:57:27 GMT
decent vote share for the Blues and the Nats, again a bloody nose for the reds.
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Post by Merseymike on Nov 7, 2020 12:25:25 GMT
decent vote share for the Blues and the Nats, again a bloody nose for the reds. Isn't that because even in local elections the vote divide is independence Vs unionist? And a significant part of the former Labour vote wants independence?
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Post by jollyroger93 on Nov 7, 2020 12:44:31 GMT
decent vote share for the Blues and the Nats, again a bloody nose for the reds. Isn't that because even in local elections the vote divide is independence Vs unionist? And a significant part of the former Labour vote wants independence? potentially, or people are sick of SLAB shenanigans.
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Post by Merseymike on Nov 7, 2020 12:45:55 GMT
Isn't that because even in local elections the vote divide is independence Vs unionist? And a significant part of the former Labour vote wants independence? potentially, or people are sick of SLAB shenanigans. You don't get that sort of shift on those grounds alone. Elections appear to be about lines on maps, and that alone. Look at the shenanigans in the SNP? Makes no difference.
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Post by jollyroger93 on Nov 7, 2020 12:52:06 GMT
potentially, or people are sick of SLAB shenanigans. You don't get that sort of shift on those grounds alone. Elections appear to be about lines on maps, and that alone. Look at the shenanigans in the SNP? Makes no difference. well there Shenanigans have actually lead to anything just yet Mike, But I sense they are building up to a crescendo. SO who know what might happen if its revealed Nicola was told don't proceed with the Salmond case and she did so anyway. The second point I would make, pinch of salt here, but the opinion polls so slightly seem to be out of sink with the 2 by elections we've had, I would say slightly over estimating the SNP, and slightly underestimating the Cons and the Labs.
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