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Post by yellowperil on Oct 14, 2020 16:18:22 GMT
Given that this election is on November 5th, it is just as well there is an alternative available (at least for the locals here) to blowing up parliament. For the rest of us.....
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alien8ted
Independent
I refuse to be governed by fear.
Posts: 3,715
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Post by alien8ted on Oct 14, 2020 20:05:52 GMT
Given that this election is on November 5th, it is just as well there is an alternative available (at least for the locals here) to blowing up parliament. For the rest of us.....
“Rise up and stab them with your plastic forks.”
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alien8ted
Independent
I refuse to be governed by fear.
Posts: 3,715
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Post by alien8ted on Nov 4, 2020 15:26:42 GMT
ABERDEEN UA; (SNP resigned following election as MP for Aberdeen South). Candidates: BELLIZZI HOUSTON, Lisette (No Description) FINLAYSON, Andy (Independent) HENDERSON, Moira (Liberal Democrat) HOPE, Bryce (Scottish Liberatarian) IROH, Sochima (Independent) McLEAN, Simon Paul (Independent) RADLEY, Miranda (SNP) SIMPSON, Shona (Labour) VERHAMME, Daniel (Green) WYLES, Christopher Robert (Conservative) 2017: SNP 1396, 707; Con 1113; Lab 590, 318; Ind 562 (Finlayson), 220; LD 270 Although the name changed and it went from 3 to 4 members, as far as I can tell the ward is otherwise unchanged from the old Kincorth/Loirston Ward: Jul 15by: SNP 1939; Lab 606; Con 313; LD 207; Grn 114 2012: SNP 1389; Lab 1250, 291; Ind 471 (Finlayson), 120; LD 331; Con 219 2007: Lab 1162, 748; SNP 1883; LD 1190, 239; Con 423; Ind 179; Sol 58 Andy Finlayson was the independent councillor for the ward between 2012 and 2017. Simon McLean stood in Bridge of Don ward in 2017 and got 70 votes. Current Council: SNP 18; Con 10; Aberdeen Labour 9; Ind Alliance Group 3; LD 3; Ind 1; 1 vacancy
Less than 24 hours to get our predictions in.  |
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Post by londontory on Nov 6, 2020 11:30:28 GMT
Any news on the count for this one?
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Post by timmullen1 on Nov 6, 2020 11:50:59 GMT
Any news on the count for this one? According to [mention]andrewteale [/mention] Preview the count doesn’t start until 1pm. |
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Post by andrewp on Nov 6, 2020 12:07:19 GMT
Any news on the count for this one? According to [mention]andrewteale [/mention] Preview the count doesn’t start until 1pm. The count starts at 1, results expected ‘from 4pm’ |
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Post by londontory on Nov 6, 2020 12:32:11 GMT
According to [mention]andrewteale [/mention] Preview the count doesn’t start until 1pm. The count starts at 1, results expected ‘from 4pm’ Thanks, I can go back to bed for a bit then  |
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Post by boogieeck on Nov 6, 2020 13:00:22 GMT
Exit poll indicates Libertarian gain.
Stop the count.
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Post by timmullen1 on Nov 6, 2020 13:02:29 GMT
The count starts at 1, results expected ‘from 4pm’ Thanks, I can go back to bed for a bit then Lucky you, I’ve had the joy of doing our weekly online grocery shop! |
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peterl
Green
Read My Lips: No New Lockdowns!
Posts: 4,300 
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Post by peterl on Nov 6, 2020 13:17:14 GMT
According to [mention]andrewteale [/mention] Preview the count doesn’t start until 1pm. The count starts at 1, results expected ‘from 4pm’ Almost as bad as Nevada. If you are going to have a next day count, at least start at 9am. Democracy delayed is democracy denied. |
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Post by markgoodair on Nov 6, 2020 14:40:04 GMT
3540 ballot papers verified 27% turnout
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Post by jollyroger93 on Nov 6, 2020 14:51:35 GMT
3540 ballot papers verified 27% turnout Shite turnout even for aberdeen. |
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Post by robbienicoll on Nov 6, 2020 14:53:49 GMT
SNP win according to Northsound.
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Post by jollyroger93 on Nov 6, 2020 15:02:17 GMT
SNP win according to Northsound. SNP - 1661 (47.4%, +6.7) Con - 709 (20.2%, -1.3) Lab - 429 (12.2%, -5.3) Finlayson (Ind) - 367 (10.5%, -0.4) Lib Dem - 128 (3.6%, -1.6) Green - 58 (1.7%, +1.7) Other Inds x3 - 139 (4.0%, -0.3 vs diff inds) Vote Shares. |
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Post by robbienicoll on Nov 6, 2020 15:02:22 GMT
Awaiting full results for the Independents and Libertarian but confirmed as SNP win (47%) with Conservatives in second (20%), Labour third (12%) and Finlayson (10.5%) best of the rest. Apparently the Libertarian candidate knocked out at first stage after a coin toss tiebreak to decide the lowest number of votes.
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Post by robbienicoll on Nov 6, 2020 15:07:01 GMT
SNP win according to Northsound. SNP - 1661 (47.4%, +6.7) Con - 709 (20.2%, -1.3) Lab - 429 (12.2%, -5.3) Finlayson (Ind) - 367 (10.5%, -0.4) Lib Dem - 128 (3.6%, -1.6) Green - 58 (1.7%, +1.7) Other Inds x3 - 139 (4.0%, -0.3 vs diff inds) Vote Shares. McLean (Ind) - 92 (2.6%) Belizzi-Houston (Ind) - 31 (0.9%) Libertarian - 16 (0.5%) Iroh (Ind) - 16 (0.5%) |
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Post by No Offence Alan on Nov 6, 2020 15:37:24 GMT
SNP - 1661 (47.4%, +6.7) Con - 709 (20.2%, -1.3) Lab - 429 (12.2%, -5.3) Finlayson (Ind) - 367 (10.5%, -0.4) Lib Dem - 128 (3.6%, -1.6) Green - 58 (1.7%, +1.7) Other Inds x3 - 139 (4.0%, -0.3 vs diff inds) Vote Shares. McLean (Ind) - 92 (2.6%) Belizzi-Houston (Ind) - 31 (0.9%) Libertarian - 16 (0.5%) Iroh (Ind) - 16 (0.5%) The bottom 6 candidates total 341 votes - why not eliminate them all at once, to save time? Apart from the psephological interest, of course. |
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Post by markgoodair on Nov 6, 2020 15:56:02 GMT
McLean (Ind) - 92 (2.6%) Belizzi-Houston (Ind) - 31 (0.9%) Libertarian - 16 (0.5%) Iroh (Ind) - 16 (0.5%) The bottom 6 candidates total 341 votes - why not eliminate them all at once, to save time? Apart from the psephological interest, of course. That would spoil all the fun! |
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Post by southpaw1 on Nov 6, 2020 15:56:26 GMT
Changed days. Labour used to get around 70 / 80% of the vote in Kincorth / Nigg "back in the day" Although Cove wouldn't have been included back then where Labour has few votes
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Post by middleenglander on Nov 6, 2020 16:20:48 GMT
Aberdeen, Kincorth / Nigg / Cove - SNP hold - based on first preference votes | Party | 2020 votes | 2020 share | since 2017 |
| since 2015 B | since 2012 | since 2007 | | SNP | 1,661 | 47.4% | +6.7% |
| -13.6% | +13.2% | +15.3% | | Conservative | 709 | 20.2% | -1.3% |
| +10.4% | +14.8% | +13.0% | | Labour | 429 | 12.2% | -5.3% |
| -6.8% | -25.6% | -20.2% | | Independent Finlayson | 367 | 10.5% | -0.4% |
| from nowhere | -1.1% | from nowhere | | Liberal Democrat | 128 | 3.6% | -1.6% |
| -2.9% | -4.5% | -20.6% | | Independent McLean | 92 | 2.6% | from nowhere |
| from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Green | 58 | 1.7% | from nowhere |
| -1.9% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | No Description | 31 | 0.9% | from nowhere |
| from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Independent Iroh | 16 | 0.5% | from nowhere |
| from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Libertarian | 16 | 0.5% | from nowhere |
| from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Previous Independents |
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| -4.3% |
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| -2.9% | -3.0% | | Solidarity |
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| -1.0% | | Total votes | 3,507 |
| 68% |
| 110% | 86% | 60% |
assumes boundary unchanged over the period
Swing Conservative to SNP 4% since 2017; if meaningful SNP to Conservative 12% since 2015 by-election, ¾% since 2012 but Conservative to SNP 1% since 2007
Council now 19 SNP, 10 Conservative, 9 Aberdeen Labour, 3 Independent Alliance, 3 Liberal Democrat, 1 Independent
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