Armenian elections

[Deleted]

Serzh Sargysyan, of the Republican Party (a national conservative party) has been re-elected president in a landslide with 58.6% of the vote. His nearest rival was Raffi Hovannisian of the liberal Heritage Party, who won 36.8%. None of the other candidates polled more than 3%.

There had been some claims an irregularities, an assassination attempt, legal battles and a hunger strike - and yet most people in the world have probably never heard of Armenia - let alone what goes on there.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Armenian_presidential_election,_2013

[The Bishop]

Feb 19, 2013 13:14:18 GMT swanarcadian said:

and yet most people in the world have probably never heard of Armenia - let alone what goes on there.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Armenian_presidential_election,_2013

I think many will at least be vaguely aware of the genocide, notwithstanding Herr Schicklegruber's notorious remark.

[johnloony]

Feb 19, 2013 13:14:18 GMT swanarcadian said:

- and yet most people in the world have probably never heard of Armenia -

Apart from the 100% absolutely everybody in the whole world who have known for decades about it and where it is, you mean?

[Davıd Boothroyd]

With regard to claims of 'irregularities', see Policy Forum Armenia's analysis which attempts to prove it.

The raw data of election results by polling station (as declared) is available on the Armenian Central Election Commission website: res.elections.am/images/doc/resulteng18.02.13n.xls
(other information on www.elections.am/presidential/ )

The election results are read-only but can easily be copied to a manipulable file. Sorting the results by turnout and cross-referencing with the Sargseyan vote is left as an excercise for the reader.

[Georg Ebner]

Is happening today (April 2nd).

A new ElectoralSystem was adopted in 2012: Instead of the old mixed system for 131 MPs, there will be pure PR for 101 seats with a threshold of 5% for parties and 7% for coalitions. So far so easy, but it gets complicate: If a party receives a majority, it is entitled for at least 54% of the seats, therefor never more than 2/3. If no government is formed within 6 days, a RunOff has to take place within 4 weeks; then the seats of the non-winning parties are preserved, but the winner wins additional MPs, totally 54%.

This time there might be a close race between the parties of the present president Sargsyan ("Rep.P.") and that of his precessor Kocharyan (1998-2008), which is officially founded&led by Tsarukyan, a super-wealthy "BusinessMan".

LastElection - party - GallupPoll
69 Rep.P. (EPP-observer) 33%=41
33 ProsperousA./Tsarukyan (ACRE) 29%=36
07 ANC (ALDE, exPresident TerPetrosyan) + PPA 4%
05 A.Ren. (EPP-observer) 5%=6
05 A.Rev.F. (PES-observer) 8%=7
04 Heritage/ORO (EPP-observer) 4%
03 FreeDem. 3%
02 WayOut 9%=11
03 Ind.
00 A.Comm.P. 3%

So far A. has had - despite the OverallMajority of RP - a coalition with ARF.

[Georg Ebner]

Participation is - according to the EC - 60.86%.

An ExitPoll by BS/Gallup:

46 RP
25 Tsarukyan
10 YELK ("WayOut")
05 ARF
04 A.Renaissance
03 ORO, ANC&PPA
02 FreeDemocrats, CPA

[Georg Ebner]

The CEC counted 143 of 2009 booths with a surprising OutCome:

55.58% RP
23.04% ProsperousA.
09.77% ARF
04.29% WayOut (proWestern&proEU students, antiRussia [!])
03.18% A.Revival
02.03% ORO
01.09% ANC&PPA
00.62% FreeDemocrats
00.40% CPA

[Georg Ebner]

The CEC announced suddenly the result:

60.93% Participation

49.12% RP
27.32% T.
07.77% Yelk ("WayOut")
06.57% ARF
03.71% A.Revival
02.07% ORO
01.65% ANC&PPA
00.94% FreeDemocrats
00.75% CPA

[Georg Ebner]

Putin's RT mocked, that the opposition had protested already before any PollingStations closed...

[Georg Ebner]

49.17=55 RP
27.35=30 TsarukyanCoalition
07.78=09 WayOut
06.58=07 ARF

[Georg Ebner]

Will have happened today.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Armenian_parliamentary_election

Surprising, that the governing party is still in play after the debable in NagornyKarabach.

[Wisconsin]

From the intial results and exit polling, the most likely result is the incumbent PM, Nikol Pashinyan, and his Civil Contract party has won - perhaps even with a slim majority. (If he gets over 50% of the votes, but not seats, the electoral system awards extra seats to get him to 54%).

A much better result than letting former President Kocharyan back into power, IMO.

My preference however was for Levon Ter-Petrosyan - the only one that didn't seem deluded about the Artsakh situation.

[Georg Ebner]

Few precincts results show the ruling party ("CivilContract") far, far ahead.

[Wisconsin]

If you so wish, you can watch some vote counting live on tv here. The parties are numbered 1 to 25. Yerek/3 is Pashinyan, Ksan-chors/24 is Kocharyan.
www.1tv.am/en/

[Georg Ebner]

TurnOut: 49.4%.

Highest in Yerevan and Syunik (army!), both being StrongHolds of the OpPosition.

[Georg Ebner]

Here You can watch the LiveStream-VoteCounting of any (!) precinct:

www.electiononline.am

1 person is distributing each BallotPaper to the voted party's representative.

With this method it will take some time to count 1 million votes.

[Georg Ebner]

Most TeleVision-journalists/pundits and people in those CountingCentres look rather depressed. Probably a result of the lost war?

[yellowperil]

Jun 20, 2021 18:16:59 GMT Georg Ebner said:

Here You can watch the LiveStream-VoteCounting of any (!) precinct:

www.electiononline.am

1 person is distributing each BallotPaper to the voted party's representative.

With this method it will take some time to count 1 million votes.

That is absolutely fascinating! Actually having looked at a number of different polling stations they don't appear all to be doing the same thing- in some for example one man seems to making a series of piles of ballot papers while the others just look on. But what an amazingly open system to have all of them being filmed throughout. though there seems quite a lot of differences between stations as to where the camera is located.

[Wisconsin]

I’m pretty sure I can see ghosts in the livestream for 34/14

[johng]

Jun 20, 2021 18:37:24 GMT yellowperil said:

Jun 20, 2021 18:16:59 GMT Georg Ebner said:

Here You can watch the LiveStream-VoteCounting of any (!) precinct:

www.electiononline.am

1 person is distributing each BallotPaper to the voted party's representative.

With this method it will take some time to count 1 million votes.

That is absolutely fascinating! Actually having looked at a number of different polling stations they don't appear all to be doing the same thing- in some for example one man seems to making a series of piles of ballot papers while the others just look on. But what an amazingly open system to have all of them being filmed throughout. though there seems quite a lot of differences between stations as to where the camera is located.

It's quite creepy and voyeuristic, but I suppose it makes some sense. It's pretty common across the former USSR and there are some nice examples in Russia of both carousel voting and plain old ballot stuffing.

Having a quick look at random places just now, many places seem to have finished. The lights are either off or, where the lights are still on, in the main you see a dozen very bored looking people.  Only a couple of places, mainly in districts one and two, seem to have any real activity going on.