Post by Admin Twaddleford on Apr 13, 2020 12:12:35 GMT
We've definitely discussed this before, but I can't seem to track any of it down.
Do we have any up to date contenders for the strongest and weakest wards in the country for each political party? I realise there's no straightforward way of doing this - one could take into account vote shares, majorities, the number of candidates, whether parties even field candidates, and so on.
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The wards around Chelsea and Belgravia have generally been amongst the strongest for the Conservatives. Back in the 60’s and 70’s Cheam South (about 97% Con in 1968 and about 88% in 1971)was up there along with Belmont, Sutton South-East and Carshalton South West. The 1972 Sutton and Cheam by election started to change all that. In 2022 I wouldn’t be totally surprised if the strongest Conservative wards end up being in Havering and Bexley. A Brexit stronghold like East Wickham perhaps?
Years ago I remember reading about Prestbury (Macclesfield, now Cheshire East) was 92% Conservative, but this was with just two candidates - Conservative and Labour. I don't know if that was the highest at the time. I've just checked and it was 2006.
Possibly the last time it was a 3-way election (Con, Lab, LD) was as far back as 2002, when the Conservatives got 84%. Most recently (again just Con and Lab) in 2019, the Conservatives got 89%.
In Scotland, I believe the best Conservative ward is Newton Mearns South (61.4% first preference votes) and 3 councillors in 2017
I’m going to guess that the worst is Lerwick North (2.6% or 26 first preference votes)
Although the Independent tradition in Shetland means it isn't really an accurate reflection of party strengths. I am sure that in the Scottish Parliament list votes, the Conservatives got more than 2.6% in Lerwick North. The lowest ward would presumably be somewhere in Glasgow.
I remember looking into this after compiling the 2008 local elections. The largest Labour share that year was 82.6% in - wait for it - Neyland East division, Pembrokeshire. Most of the Lib Dem top 20 wards were in South Lakeland.
In the Newcastle-under-Lyme election of 2018, Maer and Whitmore ward was 89.8% Conservative. Somebody must be able to beat that.
If 2017 counts, Cramlington North in Northumberland wins with the Conservatives getting 92.6% of the vote (their only opposition was Labour). This was down to a combination of a huge personal vote for the councillor and very strong demographics (I believe it is the ward with the highest proportion of owner occupiers in England, but I could be wrong).
It won't have voted quite as strongly Conservative in the General Election, but probably still accounted for the entire Conservative majority in Blyth Valley.