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Post by iainbhx on Sept 7, 2013 9:16:32 GMT
Libs sweeping the board apart from Wilkie in Tassie on early results, but ALP results not looking so bad in NSW and in QLD
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Sept 7, 2013 9:17:43 GMT
Leichhardt in Queensland (based on Cairns) is the only seat looking like it may be going the other way - from Liberal to ALP. Still very early though.
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
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Post by Sibboleth on Sept 7, 2013 9:18:26 GMT
ABC sez Coalition 90-something, Labor 50-something
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Post by iainbhx on Sept 7, 2013 9:19:19 GMT
Half-Man, Half-Akubra Bob Katter is in trouble in Kennedy. Is it too early for a beer?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 7, 2013 9:19:49 GMT
Totals looking a bit better for Labor than the worst predictions.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 7, 2013 9:21:12 GMT
Labor are suggesting they may have a chance of gaining Solomon and preferences flowing quite strongly from Liberal to Labor in Melbourne.
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,036
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Post by Sibboleth on Sept 7, 2013 9:26:40 GMT
Franklin looks like a hold, and maybe (just maybe) Big Dick can somehow hold on, but the state government is poison.
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Post by iainbhx on Sept 7, 2013 9:28:55 GMT
Leichhardt in Queensland (based on Cairns) is the only seat looking like it may be going the other way - from Liberal to ALP. Still very early though. And early booths in Leichhardt are indigenous booths and the ALP candidate is from an indigenous background.
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Post by iainbhx on Sept 7, 2013 9:31:26 GMT
Labor are suggesting they may have a chance of gaining Solomon and preferences flowing quite strongly from Liberal to Labor in Melbourne. But there is an (irrevelant) swing to the Greens in Wills and Melbourne Ports, which bodes well for Adam Bandt.
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,036
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Post by Sibboleth on Sept 7, 2013 9:37:06 GMT
Widely anticipated Western Sydney collapse has not happened. Ought to be much egg on many journalistical faces...
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Post by Deleted on Sept 7, 2013 9:37:19 GMT
ABC is forecasting that Labor will retain Greenway. This was the seat in which the Lib candidate was notoriously unable to list the 'six points' of Abbott's stop the boats plan, and has been hidden for the rest of the campaign.
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Post by bungle on Sept 7, 2013 9:38:09 GMT
Franklin looks like a hold, and maybe (just maybe) Big Dick can somehow hold on, but the state government is poison. I wondered where Brian Blessed had got to. I see he's moonlighting as the member for Lyons.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 7, 2013 9:38:12 GMT
I think the main conclusion we can draw at this point is that individual seat polls are mostly bullshit.
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Post by iainbhx on Sept 7, 2013 9:40:22 GMT
Widely anticipated Western Sydney collapse has not happened. Ought to be much egg on many journalistical faces... There's going to be some interesting explanations for this. I'd love to hear Newspoll explaining this to Rupert.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Sept 7, 2013 9:45:13 GMT
No seats changing hands in Queensland either way, but in Tasmania the ALP is down from all five seats in 2007, to four out of five in 2010, to one in 2013.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 7, 2013 9:46:08 GMT
Melbourne looks like it's been called for the Greens..
PUP are doing scarily well in come places.
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Post by marksenior on Sept 7, 2013 9:53:03 GMT
ABC now forecasting Palmer gain in Fairfax
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Post by iainbhx on Sept 7, 2013 9:54:53 GMT
Melbourne looks like it's been called for the Greens.. PUP are doing scarily well in come places. As it should be, Bandt has a swing to him and his best booths aren't in yet. Palmer has won, I'm guessing there will be a Senate seat as well.
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Post by Deleted on Sept 7, 2013 9:57:31 GMT
Melbourne looks like it's been called for the Greens.. PUP are doing scarily well in come places. As it should be, Bandt has a swing to him and his best booths aren't in yet. Palmer has won, I'm guessing there will be a Senate seat as well. Do you remember who the PUP agreed with re:preferences for the senate? Katter in one state, Greens in another I know..
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Sept 7, 2013 9:58:32 GMT
Coalition down to 87 projected, Labor on 60, so an overall majority of 24 which is not a landslide. ALP has only three seats in Western Australia so that won't deliver much even if it has a massive swing.
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