seanf
Non-Aligned
Posts: 631 
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Post by seanf on Sept 7, 2013 7:08:56 GMT
Galaxy predict 55.5/44.5% to the Coalition.
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seanf
Non-Aligned
Posts: 631
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Post by seanf on Sept 7, 2013 7:12:09 GMT
Morgan now have 53/47%
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Post by iainbhx on Sept 7, 2013 7:18:36 GMT
For added amusement, I understand Sky's exit poll is calling all of QLD off its exit polling in Griffith.
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Post by iainbhx on Sept 7, 2013 7:23:17 GMT
Not according to their own website they don't. 52/48 at 5pm. |
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seanf
Non-Aligned
Posts: 631
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Post by seanf on Sept 7, 2013 7:27:54 GMT
Odd. They tweeted earlier it was 52.7% to 47.3%.
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Post by iainbhx on Sept 7, 2013 7:36:21 GMT
Given the divergence between them at the moment, one of the two exit polls Morgan/Channel 10 or Newspoll/Sky is going to be wrong. Or maybe both
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Post by iainbhx on Sept 7, 2013 8:04:29 GMT
The polls have now closed in QLD, NSW, VIC, TAS and the ACT.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Sept 7, 2013 8:08:55 GMT
Stephen Smith (retiring member for Perth who quit after the Ruddstoration) has conceded ALP will lose and that it will be 'somewhere between 1975 and 1996'
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Post by Andrew_S on Sept 7, 2013 8:15:15 GMT
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Post by Andrew_S on Sept 7, 2013 8:19:15 GMT
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Post by iainbhx on Sept 7, 2013 8:20:27 GMT
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Sept 7, 2013 8:23:05 GMT
The noise-signal ratio can sometimes be a bit pb.com (though with a left bias) but there are some good contributors, especially Kevin Bonham and Psephos (Adam Carr) |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 7, 2013 8:33:48 GMT
Big swings to coalition in some of the early counting rural booths.
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Post by marksenior on Sept 7, 2013 8:43:59 GMT
Very early returns but Clive Palmer neck and neck in Fairfax
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Post by iainbhx on Sept 7, 2013 8:54:52 GMT
Very early returns but Clive Palmer neck and neck in Fairfax Palmer getting some good early returns in a number of QLD seats, but these are small, rural booths. Indi at the moment, with the same caveats as above, looks interesting. |
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Post by iainbhx on Sept 7, 2013 9:05:01 GMT
First few seats called by ABC - mainly holds but Page, NSW is called as a NAT Gain from ALP
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Post by marksenior on Sept 7, 2013 9:06:31 GMT
Very early returns but Clive Palmer neck and neck in Fairfax Palmer getting some good early returns in a number of QLD seats, but these are small, rural booths. Indi at the moment, with the same caveats as above, looks interesting. Yep , he needs to come 2nd on !st preferences and hope to win on transfers |
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Post by iainbhx on Sept 7, 2013 9:09:11 GMT
Fairfax called for the Libs. Some interesting early counts in Queensland, it may not be so bad for the ALP as it looked, depends where Palmer's preferences actually end up.
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seanf
Non-Aligned
Posts: 631
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Post by seanf on Sept 7, 2013 9:14:37 GMT
NSW has an average swing of 3.9% to the Coalition.
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Post by marksenior on Sept 7, 2013 9:16:22 GMT
Fairfax called for the Libs. Some interesting early counts in Queensland, it may not be so bad for the ALP as it looked, depends where Palmer's preferences actually end up. Yes but they are predicting that on a Lib/ALP 2nd preference split |
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