|
|
Post by robbienicoll on Feb 3, 2020 15:46:40 GMT
There appears to be 15 by-elections during February:
- 1 on 6th February
- 6 on 13th
- 1 on 20th
- 7 on 27th
7 of the by-elections are for District Councils, 5 elected in May, where the last election was in May and two last elected in 2018
3 are in a Unitary Authority, two where the last election was in May and one where the last election was in 2016
1 is for a Metropolitan Borough where the last election was in May
1 is for a London Metropolitan Borough last elected in 2018
2 are for County Councils last elected in 2017 and
1 are for Welsh authorities last elected in 2017
Conservatives defend 7 seats, 1 following the death of the previous Councillor and 6 a resignation
Labour defend 5 seats, 4 following the death of the previous Councillor and 1 following a resignation
Independents defend 3 seats, 1 following the death of the previous Councillor and 2 a resignation
With all seats having declared nominations:
Conservatives have a full slate of 15 candidates, Labour have 11, Liberal Democrats have 9, Greens have 7, whilst Plaid Cymru and UKIP have 1 apiece along with 13 Independents and 1 No Description contesting 9 seats
- a total of 58 candidates for 15 seats.
Predictions on this thread by 9am on the morning of the election.
|
|
Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
|
Post by Tony Otim on Feb 5, 2020 13:43:31 GMT
Warrington: Lab 55.7; Con 34.9; Ind 9.4
|
|
|
|
Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Feb 5, 2020 17:28:33 GMT
WARRINGTON UA; Burtonwood and Winwick Labour 50% Conservative 35% Independent 15%
👽
|
|
|
|
Post by greenhert on Feb 5, 2020 18:00:16 GMT
Warrington UA, Burtonwood & Winwick: Labour 57, Conservative 38, Independent (Nicholls) 5.
|
|
|
|
Post by yellowperil on Feb 5, 2020 22:33:16 GMT
Warrington, Burtonwood & Winwick: Con 37, Lab 58, Ind 5
|
|
|
|
Post by iainbhx on Feb 5, 2020 22:35:37 GMT
Burtonwood & Winwick (Warrington UA): Lab 59 Con 34 Ind 7
|
|
andrewp
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,612 
Member is Online
|
Post by andrewp on Feb 5, 2020 22:38:43 GMT
Warrington. Burtonwood and Winwick. Lab 59, Con 32, Ind 9
|
|
|
|
Post by bjornhattan on Feb 5, 2020 22:42:09 GMT
Warrington, Burtonwood and Winwick, Lab 54, Con 34, Ind 12.
|
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 6, 2020 0:20:21 GMT
WARRINGTON Burtonwood and Winwick: Lab 52, C 38, Ind 10
|
|
|
|
Post by Robert Waller on Feb 6, 2020 0:28:47 GMT
WARRINGTON Burtonwood and Winwick: Lab 56, C 40, Ind 4
|
|
|
|
Post by Right Leaning on Feb 6, 2020 7:41:01 GMT
Warrington: Burtonwood and Winwick - Lab 55, C 36, Ind 9
|
|
|
|
Post by olympian95 on Feb 6, 2020 8:45:48 GMT
Warrington - Lab 46, Con 33, Ind 21
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Feb 6, 2020 9:00:25 GMT
Warrington - Lab 50, Con 30, Ind 20
|
|
|
|
Post by yellowperil on Feb 6, 2020 9:18:59 GMT
Warrington - Lab 46, Con 33, Ind 21 welcome back |
|
|
|
Post by robbienicoll on Feb 6, 2020 22:15:00 GMT
|
|
Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
|
Post by Tony Otim on Feb 7, 2020 6:59:29 GMT
Congratulations to yellowperil for a very strong start to the month. |
|
|
|
Post by yellowperil on Feb 7, 2020 7:16:26 GMT
Congratulations to yellowperil for a very strong start to the month. Thanks- downhill all the way from here , then. And easiest to be leading for the month when it starts with a single contest which was- one might say- pretty predictable. Next week is when the real contest begins. |
|
|
|
Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Feb 7, 2020 8:17:23 GMT
Congratulations to yellowperil for a very strong start to the month. Thanks- downhill all the way from here , then. And easiest to be leading for the month when it starts with a single contest which was- one might say- pretty predictable. Next week is when the real contest begins. Still a very very good prediction. 👽 |
|
|
|
Post by yellowperil on Feb 7, 2020 8:57:00 GMT
Thanks- downhill all the way from here , then. And easiest to be leading for the month when it starts with a single contest which was- one might say- pretty predictable. Next week is when the real contest begins. Still a very very good prediction. 👽 I have to say my theory of how these things work is that while getting a good score on these predictions (say 10 or less in a case like this one), requires some skill/inside knowledge/good sense, as well as luck, then getting the very lowest score is sheer luck, as nobody can predict the result to that level of accuracy however perceptive one is as to the local trends, etc.Of course getting it badly wrong is also a matter of (bad) luck- you have just gambled on a possible result and it hasn't come off. I have noticed that people who commonly will get their results badly wrong are also the ones who sometimes pull off the spectacular wins, because they don't follow the herd. |
|
Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
|
Post by Tony Otim on Feb 11, 2020 21:06:02 GMT
Derbyshire: Con 37.6; LD 33.9; Lab 25.4; Bann 3.1
East Staffs: Con 88.8; Lab 11.2
Hertsmere: Con 46.7; Lab 34.4; LD 13.5; Grn 5.4
Huntingdonshire: Con 43.6; LD 29.3; Lab 17.8; Pope 9.3
Thanet: Con 57.9; Grn 16.1; Birchall 14.6; Lab 11.4
Waverley: Gale 48.4; Con 42.0; Egan 9.6
|
|
