Prediction Competition - October 2019

[yellowperil]

Congratulations to andrewp for the week and month, and to robbienicoll for surviving his celebrations and coming up efficiently with the results - maybe the only hangover was induced by studying those results. And of course to Robert Waller for the interim results which he downplayed in his typically modest way but were of course pretty well spot on. 

[andrewp]

Oct 25, 2019 11:01:30 GMT yellowperil said:

Congratulations to andrewp for the week and month, and to robbienicoll for surviving his celebrations and coming up efficiently with the results - maybe the only hangover was induced by studying those results. And of course to Robert Waller for the interim results which he downplayed in his typically modest way but were of course pretty well spot on. 

Thanks. There is Still all to play for for the month with next weeks final 3 elections.

[robbienicoll]

Oct 25, 2019 11:01:30 GMT yellowperil said:

Congratulations to andrewp for the week and month, and to robbienicoll for surviving his celebrations and coming up efficiently with the results - maybe the only hangover was induced by studying those results. And of course to Robert Waller for the interim results which he downplayed in his typically modest way but were of course pretty well spot on. 

I really wish that was the case! Just to reiterate Tony's point above that there is a by-election apiece on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday so make sure to have the right one in on the day.  

[johnloony]

I am going to make my prediction for Croydon (Fairfield ward) (7th November) early, because I will probably be scrutinising the processing of the postal votes (which would make me ineligible to make a prediction based on what I might accidentally see):

Lab 43.2% Con 35.1% LD 13.5% Green 5.9% WEqP 1.6% Ind 0.5%

[Defenestrated Fipplebox]

Doing this early otherwise I'll forget

Warwick DC - Leamington Lillington
Liberal Democrat 62.7%
Conservative 24.5%
Labour 12.8%

Windsor and Maidenhead DC - Riverside
Conservative 35.4%
Liberal Democrat 28.8%
The Borough First 22.9%
Green 7.3%
Labour 4.7%
Women's Equality Party 0.9%

Worcestershire CC - Bromsgrove South
Conservative 44 7%
Labour 37.9%
Liberal Democrat 16.6%
Independent 0.8%

👽

[Tony Otim]

Warwick: LD 59.6; Con 22.5; Lab 17.9
Windsor & Maidenhead: Con 38.2; tBf 24.4; LD 22.4; Grn 7.3; Lab 5.1; WEQ 2.6
Worcestershire: Con 44.4; Lab 39.4; Ind 9.0; LD 7.2

[johnloony]

Warwick LD 60 Lab 20 Con 20
Windsor & Maidenhead Con 30 tBf 25 LD 20 Lab 10 Grn 10 WEqP 5
Worcestershire Con 44 Lab 38 LD 11 Ind 7

Edit: corrected

[yellowperil]

Oct 28, 2019 9:59:23 GMT johnloony said:

Warwick LD 60 Lab 20 Con 20
Windsor & Maidenhead Con 30 tBf 25 LD 20 Lab 10 Grn 10 WEqP 5
Worcestershire Con 44 LD 38 LD 11 Ind 7

That seems to give LD 49 in Bromsgrove which I 'm not sure you intended? Not that I mind!

[iainbhx]

Leamington Lillington (Warwick DC) LDm 55 Con 28 Lab 17
Maidenhead Riverside (Windsor & Maidenhead BC): Con 36 LDm 32 tBF 16 Grn 9 Lab 6 WEP 1
Bromsgrove South (Worcestershire CC): Lab 37 Con 34 LDm 22 Ind 7

[yellowperil]

Warwick, Leamington Lillington : Con 24, Lab 18,LD 58.

[Robert Waller]

Leamington Lillington (Warwick DC) LDm 60 Con 22 Lab 18

[andrewp]

Warwick. Leamington Lillington Lib Dem 59, Con 23, Lab 18.

[greenhert]

Warwick DC, Leamington Lillington: Liberal Democrats 58, Conservative 23, Labour 19.
Windsor & Maidenhead BC, Maidenhead Riverside: Conservative 36, The Borough First 24, Liberal Democrats 23, Labour 8, Green 7, WEP 2.
Worcestershire CC, Bromsgrove South: Conservative 41, Labour 38, Liberal Democrats 16, Independent (Jenkins) 5. Conservative gain from Labour.

[Toylyyev]

Warwick DC, Leamington Lillington: Conservative 25, Labour 20, Liberal Democrat 55.

[yorkshireluke]

Warwick: LD 54, Con 26, Lab 20.
Windsor & Maidenhead: LD 32, Con 30, TBF 26, Grn 5, Lab 5, WEP 2.
Worcestershire: Con 46, Lab 43, LD 8, Ind 3.

[Davıd Boothroyd]

WARWICK Lillington: L Dem 62, C 24, Lab 14

[Right Leaning]

Leamington Lillington (Warwick DC) LD 58, C 31, Lab 11
Maidenhead Riverside (Windsor & Maidenhead BC): C 36, LD 30, BF 19, Gn 7, Lab 7, WEP 1
Bromsgrove South (Worcestershire CC): C 42, Lab 37, LD 18, Ind 3

[Deleted]

Warwick DC, Leamington Lillington: Conservative 27, Labour 15, Liberal Democrat 58

[robbienicoll]

13 present and correct entries for tonight's contest with olympian95 missing.

Leamington Lillington, Warwick: 100% Lib Dem hold, with majorities ranging from 27% (Right Leaning and iainbhx) to 40% (johnloony).

Results for tonight and the rest of the week available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ggf3V8JJgb_hoHBS9wrJioD5_7uRt0fR7AasCtaRnxo/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all!

[yellowperil]

Windsor & Maidenhead, Riverside:Con 34, Lab 6, LD 30, Green 6, WEP 3, TBF 21