Prediction competition form guide

[Pete Whitehead]

I think you should include 2012

[Robert Waller]

Well done for all that work, Yellow Peril!

In a prediction competition I have run for many years for non-league football (Northern Premier League), I have two tables, one for cumulative achievement and one for average scores. This is because I think both represent valid measures of achievement.
If we did that here, I think it would be clear that Pete is the best predictor over the past five years, at least.
(Although I do recall Arthur Figgis making some claims for his own 'average' efforts ... )
I do recall that on the old forum, when I started predicting, Dizz and Greatkingrat were also very strong; and there may be other 'stars' even before my time.

[yellowperil]

Jan 28, 2018 22:28:38 GMT Robert Waller said:

Well done for all that work, Yellow Peril!

In a prediction competition I have run for many years for non-league football (Northern Premier League), I have two tables, one for cumulative achievement and one for average scores. This is because I think both represent valid measures of achievement.
If we did that here, I think it would be clear that Pete is the best predictor over the past five years, at least.
(Although I do recall Arthur Figgis making some claims for his own 'average' efforts ... )
I do recall that on the old forum, when I started predicting, Dizz and Greatkingrat were also very strong; and there may be other 'stars' even before my time.

I can go back and include the part-year 2012- but getting back into the old forum is I think beyond us all! Its all ancient history to newbies like me, but I am quite interested to see where we have all come from. Standing on the shoulders of giants and all that.

[yellowperil]

Jan 28, 2018 21:33:42 GMT Pete Whitehead said:

I think you should include 2012

It shall be done insofar as I am able to do so (i.e from April) I notice you comfortably won those 9 months, could that have anything to do with it?

[Robert Waller]

But he's still 2 behind me, he, he, he!


Perhaps that will stimulate an early return ...

[Robert Waller]

After February 2018

Robert Waller 10, 10, 10 = 30
Andrew P 9, 8, 7 = 24
David Boothroyd 8, 5, 9 = 22
Hempie 6, 7, 4 = 17
Yellow Peril 7, 4, 5 = 16
Greenrobinhood 4, 9, 0 = 13
Lancastrian 3, 6, 1 = 10
Right Leaning 0, 2, 6 = 8
Robbie Nichol 0, 0, 8 = 8
Ruggerman 5, 0, 0 = 5
Olympian 0, 1, 3 = 4
Richmk 0, 3, 0 = 3
AJS 0, 0, 2 = 2
William Hone 2, 0, 0 = 2

[Robert Waller]

After March 2018

Robert Waller 10, 10, 10 = 30
Andrew P 8, 7, 9 = 24
David Boothroyd 5, 9, 3 = 17
Right Leaning 2, 6, 7 = 15
Robbie Nichol 0, 8, 6 = 14
Yellow Peril 4, 5, 5 = 14
Hempie 7, 4, 1 = 12
Ricmk 3, 0, 8 = 11
Greenrobinhood 9, 0, 0 = 9
Lancastrian 6, 1, 2 = 9
Olympian 1, 3, 4 = 8
AJS 0, 2, 0 = 2

[yellowperil]

This cannot of course show a score better than 30, so cannot show that Robert now has an unprecedented fifth consecutive month in top spot - remarkable consistency- everybody else has a really bad day at some point but Robert never seems to, so nobody can topple him at present it seems- unless of course we could persuade PW back and then it might be different...

[andrewp]

Yes, well done Robert again. There were some very tricky predictions in March!

[Robert Waller]

After April 2018

Robert Waller 10, 10, 10 = 30
Andrew P 7, 9, 6 = 22
Right Leaning 6, 7, 7 = 20
Yellow Peril 5, 5, 9 = 19
David Boothroyd 9, 3, 4 = 16
Robbie Nichol 8, 6, 2 = 16
Hempie 4, 1, 8 = 13
Olympian 3, 4, 5 = 12
Ricmk 0, 8, 0 = 8
Greenrobinhood 0, 0, 3 = 3
Lancastrian 1, 2, 0 = 3
AJS 2, 0, 0 = 2
Price of dawn 0, 0, 1 = 1

[Robert Waller]

After May 2018

Robert Waller 10, 10, 10 = 30
Andrew P 9, 6, 9 = 24
Right Leaning 7, 7, 6 = 20
Yellow Peril 5, 9, 4 = 18
Hempie 1, 8, 8 = 17
Olympian 4, 5, 5 = 14
David Boothroyd 3, 4, 3 = 10
Robbie Nichol 6, 2, 2 = 10
Greenrobinhood 0, 3, 7 = 10
Ricmk 8, 0, 0 = 8
Lancastrian 2, 0, 0 = 2
South yorks socialist 0, 0, 1 = 1
Price of dawn 0, 1, 0 = 1

[Robert Waller]

After June 2018

Robert Waller 10, 10, 10 = 30
Hempie 8, 8, 9 = 25
Andrew P 6, 9, 7 = 22
Yellow Peril 9, 4, 8 = 21
Right Leaning 7, 6, 4 = 17
David Boothroyd 4, 3, 6 = 13
Green robin hood 3, 7, 3 = 13
Olympian 5, 5, 0 = 10
Ricmk 0, 0, 5 = 5
Robbie Nichol 2, 2, 0 = 4 extenuating circumstances
South yorks socialist 0, 1, 2 = 3
Price of dawn 1, 0, 0 = 1
European lefty 0, 0, 1 = 1

[Robert Waller]

After July 2018

Robert Waller 10, 10, 10 = 30
Hempie 8, 9, 7 = 24
Andrew P 9, 7, 8 = 24
Yellow Peril 4, 8, 6 = 18
Right Leaning 6, 4, 5 = 15
Olympian 5, 0, 9 = 14
Green robin hood 7, 3, 2 = 12
David Boothroyd 3, 6, 0 = 9
Ricmk 0, 5, 0 = 5
South yorks socialist 1, 2, 1 = 4
Price of dawn 0, 0, 4 = 4
European lefty 0, 1, 3 = 4
Robbie Nichol 2, 0, 0 = 2 still extenuating circumstances

[Robert Waller]

After August 2018

Robert Waller 10, 10, 10 = 30
Hempie 9, 7, 8 = 24
Andrew P 7, 8, 9 = 24
Olympian 0, 9, 7 = 16
Yellow Peril 8, 6, 0 = 14
Green robin hood 3, 2, 5 = 10
Right Leaning 4, 5, 0 = 9
European lefty 1, 3, 4 = 8
David Boothroyd 6, 0, 1 = 7
Robbie Nichol 0, 0, 6 = 6
Ricmk 5, 0, 0 = 5
Price of dawn 0, 4, 0 = 4
Thirdchill 0, 0, 3 = 3
South yorks socialist 2, 1, 0 = 3

[Robert Waller]

After September 2018

Andrew P 8, 9, 10 = 27
Hempie 7, 8, 9 = 24
Olympian 9, 7, 8 = 24
Robert Waller 10, 10, 2 = 22
Green robin hood 2, 5, 6 = 13
Yellow Peril 6, 0, 4 = 10
Thirdchill 0, 3, 7 = 10
European lefty 3, 4, 0 = 7
Robbie Nichol 0, 6, 0 = 6
Tonyotim 0, 0, 5 = 5
Right Leaning 5, 0, 0 = 5
David Boothroyd 0, 1, 3 = 4
Price of dawn 4, 0, 0 = 4
Luke Dickinson 0, 0, 1 = 1
South yorks socialist 1, 0, 0 = 1

[Tony Otim]

Sept 28, 2018 17:04:44 GMT Robert Waller said:

After September 2018

Andrew P 8, 9, 10 = 27
Hempie 7, 8, 9 = 24
Olympian 9, 7, 8 = 24
Robert Waller 10, 10, 2 = 22
Yellow Peril 6, 0, 7 = 13
Green robin hood 2, 5, 6 = 13
Thirdchill 0, 3, 7 = 10
European lefty 3, 4, 0 = 7
Right Leaning 5, 0, 0 = 5
Robbie Nichol 0, 6, 0 = 6
David Boothroyd 0, 1, 3 = 4
Price of dawn 4, 0, 0 = 4
Luke Dickinson 0, 0, 1 = 1
South yorks socialist 1, 0, 0 = 1

I think you're missing somebody 😉

And also you've got two with 7 points from this month - i think yellowperil should have 4 instead.

[Robert Waller]

Thanks, and my apologies! As accurate as my predictions this month.
Now corrected, I hope.

[yellowperil]

Sept 29, 2018 17:18:08 GMT Tony Otim said:

Sept 28, 2018 17:04:44 GMT Robert Waller said:

After September 2018

Andrew P 8, 9, 10 = 27
Hempie 7, 8, 9 = 24
Olympian 9, 7, 8 = 24
Robert Waller 10, 10, 2 = 22
Yellow Peril 6, 0, 7 = 13
Green robin hood 2, 5, 6 = 13
Thirdchill 0, 3, 7 = 10
European lefty 3, 4, 0 = 7
Right Leaning 5, 0, 0 = 5
Robbie Nichol 0, 6, 0 = 6
David Boothroyd 0, 1, 3 = 4
Price of dawn 4, 0, 0 = 4
Luke Dickinson 0, 0, 1 = 1
South yorks socialist 1, 0, 0 = 1

I think you're missing somebody 😉

And also you've got two with 7 points from this month - i think yellowperil should have 4 instead.

 I fear you are right, 7th place = 4 points!

[Robert Waller]

After October 2018

Andrew P 9, 10, 8 = 27
Hempie 8, 9, 9 = 26
Robert Waller 10, 2, 10 = 22
Olympian 7, 8, 3 = 18
Green robin hood 5, 6, 0 = 11
Yellow Peril 0, 4, 7 = 11
Tonyotim 0, 5, 6 = 11
Thirdchill 3, 7, 0 = 10
Robbie Nichol 6, 0, 2 = 8
David Boothroyd 1, 3, 1 = 5
ricmk 0, 0, 5 = 5
European lefty 4, 0, 0 = 4
Right Leaning 0, 0, 4 = 4
Luke Dickinson 0, 1, 0 = 1

[yellowperil]

At the end of the year I will try to produce an update on the scores for all of 2018, and indeed for everything since the start of this forum in its present manifestation. As far as 2018 is concerned , I note Robert with a score of 92 out of 100 already is virtually untouchable, only Andrew with 81 is theoretically able to catch him

"It's a 2 horse race- only Andrew can beat Robert", and I have the bar chart ready to prove it.

Mind you, that not only would require Andrew to win in Nov & Dec, but for Robert to be nowhere in those months.