Toylyyev
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Post by Toylyyev on Sept 22, 2019 3:03:34 GMT
Latest polls for today's election of the Legislative Assembly of the Autonomous Region of Madeira.
Fieldwork Size PSD% CDS% PS% JPP% CDU% BE% MPT% PAN% A% O%²
Eurosondagem 15-17/9 1525 36 8 33.6 2.5 4.5 4 n/a n/a n/a 11.4
Intercampus 2-16/9 1503 39 9.3 33.1 3.4 3.9 2.2 n/a n/a n/a 9.1
UCP-CESOP 14-15/9 1375 38 5 29 4 3 5 2 1.5 1 11.5
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Average% 37.7 7.4 31.9 3.3 3.8 3.7 2 1.5 1 7.7
Δ(2015)% -6.7 -6.3 +20.5 -7 -1.7 -.1 +2¹ +1.5 +1 -3.2
PPD/PSD - Partido Popular Democrático / Partido Social Democrata (Social Democratic Party)
CDS-PP - Partido do Centro Democrático Social - Partido Popular (CDS – People's Party)
PS - Partido Socialista (Socialist Party)
JPP - Juntos pelo Povo (Together for the People)
CDU - Coligação Democrática Unitária (Unitary Democratic Coalition)
PCP - Partido Comunista Português (Portuguese Communist Party)
PEV - Partido Ecologista Os Verdes (Watermelons Pioneer)
BE - Bloco de Esquerda (Left Bloc)
MPT - Partido da Terra (Earth Party)
PAN - Pessoas–Animais–Natureza (People–Animals–Nature)
A - Aliança (Alliance)
Madeira sits on top of a shield volcano with last known eruption dated to 4500 BCE. volcano.si.edu/volcano.cfm?vn=382120[1] Electoral pact with the PS in 2015. [2] Averages for MPT, PAN & A substacted from the score where the poll didn't have numbers for these parties. |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Sept 22, 2019 15:14:13 GMT
Madeira- great walking, good food, awful beer.
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Post by Forfarshire Conservative on Sept 22, 2019 15:25:01 GMT
Madeira- great walking, good food, awful beer. Sounds like Scotland 😅 |
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Merseymike
Independent
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Post by Merseymike on Sept 22, 2019 15:55:41 GMT
Madeira- great walking, good food, awful beer. You opt to drink beer in Portugal? |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Sept 22, 2019 17:05:43 GMT
Madeira- great walking, good food, awful beer. You opt to drink beer in Portugal? Sometimes a hot day calls for it! Wine in Porto though. There's actually a very good bar, "Museum of Beer", in Lisbon which has beer from around the Lusophony. Yes, I wanted to us the word Lusophony. |
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Merseymike
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Post by Merseymike on Sept 22, 2019 18:34:26 GMT
You opt to drink beer in Portugal? Sometimes a hot day calls for it! Wine in Porto though. There's actually a very good bar, "Museum of Beer", in Lisbon which has beer from around the Lusophony. Yes, I wanted to us the word Lusophony. Ah well, in Portugal I would drink wine for alcohol, but they do one of my favourite soft drinke - Sumol - available in orange, pineapple, and passion fruit flavours, so if I'm hot and thirsty, thats the best bet. But Vinho Verde is great on a hot day |
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Toylyyev
Mebyon Kernow
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Post by Toylyyev on Sept 22, 2019 18:46:22 GMT
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Sept 22, 2019 20:21:04 GMT
Totally 3/4 is counted, but only 10% of Funchal, where over 40% live and where PS is ahead (equally strong as PSD&CDS combined).
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Sept 22, 2019 21:08:24 GMT
With 98% done (the capital's CityCentre is missing):
39.4 (44.3) -4.9 PPD-PSD
35.8 (11.4) +24.4 PS
05.7 (13.7) -8.0 CDS-PP
05.5 (10.3) -4.8 JPP ("leftliberal")
01.8 (05.5) -3.7 PCP-PEV
01.7 (03.8) -2.1 BE
First time PSD has lost its OverallMajority since "forever", i.e. since 1976, 43 years.
The implications for FederalPolitics are not huge, though.
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Sept 22, 2019 21:22:39 GMT
47 seats:
21 (24) -3 PSD
19 (06) +13 PS
03 (07) -4 CDS
03 (05) -2 JPP
01 (02) -1 CDU
00 (02) -2 BE
00 (01) -1 PND
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Sept 22, 2019 23:26:46 GMT
Sometimes a hot day calls for it! Wine in Porto though. There's actually a very good bar, "Museum of Beer", in Lisbon which has beer from around the Lusophony. Yes, I wanted to us the word Lusophony. Ah well, in Portugal I would drink wine for alcohol, but they do one of my favourite soft drinke - Sumol - available in orange, pineapple, and passion fruit flavours, so if I'm hot and thirsty, thats the best bet. But Vinho Verde is great on a hot day My mum buys me vinho verde for Christmas most years! Love it. I like the coffee out there too. |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 25, 2020 18:17:25 GMT
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Georg Ebner
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Posts: 9,797
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 25, 2020 18:20:24 GMT
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 25, 2020 18:53:25 GMT
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 25, 2020 19:36:04 GMT
Projected TurnOut according to RTP: 45% (42%-48%). 2016 it was 41%.
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 25, 2020 20:08:13 GMT
ExitPoll (Univ.Catholica):
37%-41% = 26-30 PS
32%-36% = 19-22 PSD
03%-06% = 01-03 CDS-PP
03%-06% = 01-03 Chega
02%-05% = 01-02 BE
02%-03% = 01-01 PAN (ecologists)
01%-02% = 00-02 CDU (communists) !!!
01%-02% = 00-01 IL (liberals ["libertarians"])
01%-02% = 01-01 PPM (monarchists)
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 25, 2020 20:09:18 GMT
~39% for PS being below the OpinionPolls.
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 25, 2020 20:56:08 GMT
60/156 municipalities done:
50.2% participation
42.6% PS
32.0% PSD
07.3% CDS-PP
04.4% Chega
02.9% PPM
02.8% BE
01.8% CDU
01.1% PAN
00.8% IL
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 25, 2020 21:56:10 GMT
132/156:
53.9% AbStention
40.5% -5.9% PS (worst result since at least 1996)
32.8% +1.9% PSD
05.7% -1.5% CDS-PP
04.8% *4.8% Chega!
03.5% -0,2% BE
02.3% +1.4% PPM
01.8% -0,8% CDU
01.8% +0,4% PAN
01.5% *1.5% IL
00.3% *0.3% Allianca
That would be 47.6% for the left and 47.4% for the right parties.
Respectable +8.4% for the latter.
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 25, 2020 23:36:36 GMT
At least i am not able to open the results at the ElectoralCommission's site. But RTP has these numbers:
54.5% participation
39.1% -7.3% = 25 -5 PS
33.7% +2.8% = 21 +2 PSD
05.5% -1.7% = 03 -1 CDS-PP
05.0% *5.0% = 02 *2 Chega
03.8% +0.1% = 02 0 BE
02.4% +1.5% = 02 +1 PPM (on 1 island together with CDS-PP)
01.9% +0.5% = 01 +1 PAN
01.9% *1.9% = 01 *1 IL
01.6% -1.0% = 00 -1 CDU (laugh over laugh!)
48.5% +9.4% = 29 +5 Right
46.9% -7.7% = 28 -5 Left
Doubtful, whether PSD can get a coalition of 6 parties including (or likelier: relying on) Chega.
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