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Post by yellowperil on Dec 13, 2018 3:39:48 GMT
Looking at the Ashfield result, I guess those who forgot to submit an entry will get 100 points and will do a lot better than most of those who put an entry in....
edit - my rough calculation puts 4 competitors on the wrong side of 100, with a high of over 150, and a "top" score of just under 70. 100 points for no entry at all will be close to the average score.
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Post by yellowperil on Dec 13, 2018 4:33:23 GMT
Haringey, West Green: Con 6, Lab 70, LD 8, Green 16 Harlow, Toddbrook: Con 30, Lab 60, LD 4, UKIP 6 Middlesbrough, Brambles & Thorntree: Con 5, Lab 60, LD 4, Ind 31
Dumfries & Galloway,Dee & Glenkens: Con 34, Green 4, UKIP 1, SNP 27, Ind 33 Ind to win after transfers
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Dec 13, 2018 7:19:29 GMT
Haringey, West Green: Con 10, Lab 65, LD 5, Green 20 Harlow, Toddbrook: Con 35, Lab 55, LD 5, UKIP 5 Middlesbrough, Brambles & Thorntree: Con 10, Lab 55, LD 10, Ind 25 Dumfries & Galloway,Dee & Glenkens: Con 40, Green 10, UKIP 5, SNP 20, Ind 25 SNP to win after transfers
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Post by Right Leaning on Dec 13, 2018 7:51:10 GMT
DUMFRIES and GALLOWAY Dee and Glenkens: Ind 35, C 32, SNP 23, Gn 7, UKIP 3. Ind to win after transfers. HARINGEY West Green: Lab 64, Gn 13, C 12, LD 11. HARLOW Toddbrook: Lab 58, C 31, UKIP 7, LD 4 MIDDLESBROUGH Brambles and Thorntree: Lab 55, Ind 28, C 10, LDem 7.
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Post by andrewp on Dec 13, 2018 7:53:50 GMT
Haringey, West Green Lab 67, Green 13, Lib Dem 12, Con 8 Harlow Toddbrook Lab 56, Con 34, UKIP 7, Lib Dem 3 Middlesbrough, Brambles and Thornteee. Lab 61, ind Wilson 22, Con 10, Lib Dem 7 Dumfries and Galloway, Dee and Glenkens Con 39, Ind Wyper 32, SNP 22, Green 5, Ukio 2. Ind Wyper to win on transfers.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Dec 13, 2018 8:26:13 GMT
Well, I well and truly fucked that one up. I think December's a write-off for me now...
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Post by hempie on Dec 13, 2018 8:35:06 GMT
Totally forgot about yesterday's by-election, too busy preparing for Christmas activities at the church. Dumfries & Galloway, Dee & Glenkens: Con 37, Ind 32 SNP 24, Green 5, UKIP 2. Independent to win on transfers. Haringey, West Green: Lab 72,Green 11,LD 10,Con 7 Harlow, Toddbrook: Lab 53,Con 30, LD 9, UKIP 8 Middlesbrough, Brambles & Thorntree: Lab 63, Ind 28, LD 5,Con 4
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Post by yellowperil on Dec 13, 2018 8:39:43 GMT
Well, I well and truly fucked that one up. I think December's a write-off for me now...Probably not true, if only because everybody else is only marginally less bad.....
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Post by yellowperil on Dec 13, 2018 8:41:59 GMT
Totally forgot about yesterday's by-election, too busy preparing for Christmas activities at the church.Dumfries & Galloway, Dee & Glenkens: Con 37, Ind 32 SNP 24, Green 5, UKIP 2. Independent to win on transfers. Haringey, West Green: Lab 72,Green 11,LD 10,Con 7 Harlow, Toddbrook: Lab 53,Con 30, LD 9, UKIP 8 Middlesbrough, Brambles & Thorntree: Lab 63, Ind 28, LD 5,Con 4 So the Good Lord was saving you from the disaster the rest of us fell into...
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Post by andrewp on Dec 13, 2018 17:54:55 GMT
Looking at the Ashfield result, I guess those who forgot to submit an entry will get 100 points and will do a lot better than most of those who put an entry in.... edit - my rough calculation puts 4 competitors on the wrong side of 100, with a high of over 150, and a "top" score of just under 70. 100 points for no entry at all will be close to the average score. I agree. I get Robert as the ‘winner’ for that contest with 69.8, followed by Electionmaps and Right Leaning. If any any of us had predicted 82% for the Ashfield Independents, that person would have looked completely bonkers.
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Post by ElectionMapsUK on Dec 13, 2018 19:23:20 GMT
One of my followers said that Ash INDs were going to get at least 60% but I didn't believe them...
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Post by yellowperil on Dec 14, 2018 1:51:21 GMT
With just the Scottish result to come, I make that a comfortable lead for Robert,followed by Rightleaning, Andrew and David. I think I have crept up to 5th just ahead of ElectionMapsUK. But then of course I might be wrong...
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Post by olympian95 on Dec 14, 2018 10:09:27 GMT
Sorry! I’ll be back in January
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Post by Robert Waller on Dec 14, 2018 10:12:27 GMT
I generally agree with that order, but I wouldn't describe my lead as comfortable. If the Independent emulates Ashfield by doing very well indeed and wins on first preferences and overall, Right Leaning and David could pretty much wipe it out.
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Post by yellowperil on Dec 14, 2018 10:50:05 GMT
I generally agree with that order, but I wouldn't describe my lead as comfortable. If the Independent emulates Ashfield by doing very well indeed and wins on first preferences and overall, Right Leaning and David could pretty much wipe it out. I guess results like Ashfield don't often come along twice in a week, but we shall see.
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Post by Robert Waller on Dec 14, 2018 11:02:31 GMT
I was not suggesting that independent Wyper might get 82 per cent, but high thirties or 40 and RL and David are in ...
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Post by yellowperil on Dec 14, 2018 11:20:03 GMT
I was not suggesting that independent Wyper might get 82 per cent, but high thirties or 40 and RL and David are in ... Wype-out?
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
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Post by The Bishop on Dec 14, 2018 11:56:23 GMT
As it happens, more like they wiped themselves out
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Post by yellowperil on Dec 14, 2018 13:48:30 GMT
We had better await official announcements from middleenglander but in fact I don't think the batting order changes much at all from the Scottish result except Andrew may have pushed RL down to third.
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Post by middleenglander on Dec 15, 2018 21:24:38 GMT
11 entrants for Wednesday's by-election with no entry from Casual Observer, hempie, Olympian95 and petrel whilst there were 13 entrants for Thursday's with nothing again from Casual Observer and Olympian95. electionmapsuk gets 2 additional faults for adding to 98% in Dumfries & Galloway, robbienicholl 1 additional fault for adding to 99% in Harlow, Tony Otim 0.2 additional faults for adding to 100.2% in Ashfield and Yellow Peril 1 additional fault for adding to 99% in Dumfries & Galloway.
Ashfield, Sutton Junction & Harlow Wood: 8 Ashfield Independent gain from Labour, jamesrodriguez, priceofdawn & Tony Otim Labour hold Dumfries & Galloway, Dee & Glenkens: 10 Conservative ahead on first preferences, David Boothroyd, Right Leaning & Tony Otim Independent ahead - 10 Independent eventual winner, greenrobinhood & jamesrodriguez Conservative elected, priceofdawn SNP elected Haringey, West Green: 100% Labour hold Harlow, Toddbrook: 100% Labour hold Middlesbrough, Brambles & Thorntree: 100% Labour hold
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