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Post by Chris Cassidy on Oct 11, 2018 22:34:50 GMT
Close but a further progression from May's elections. I wonder how long it will take until Labour is challenging for control of the council. I tend to agree with several of you that the Hartlepool one looks the hardest for Labour tonight. I've been told Labour have lost this. |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 11, 2018 22:37:35 GMT
HARTLEPOOL Hart
James Brewer (Independent) 637
Aileen Kendon (Labour Party) 582
Cameron Stokell (Conservatives) 200
Michael Holt (Green Party) 27
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Post by Deleted on Oct 11, 2018 22:47:31 GMT
HARTLEPOOL Hart James Brewer (Independent) 637 Aileen Kendon (Labour Party) 582 Cameron Stokell (Conservatives) 200 Michael Holt (Green Party) 27 Ind: 44.1% (+23) Lab: 40.3% (+9.9) Con: 13.8% (-6.6) Grn: 1.9% (+1.9) No UKIP (-28.2) Again, all to the nearest 0.1% |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Oct 11, 2018 23:06:23 GMT
Halton, Ditton is
Labour 644
Conservative 135
Liberal Democrat 97
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 11, 2018 23:10:47 GMT
Halton, Ditton percentages
Lab 73.5%
C 15.4%
L Dem 11.1%
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 11, 2018 23:26:14 GMT
Warrington, Penketh and Cuerdley - Independent gain from Labour.
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Post by timrollpickering on Oct 11, 2018 23:26:23 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Oct 11, 2018 23:27:20 GMT
Shit.
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Post by Deleted on Oct 11, 2018 23:46:37 GMT
Penketh & Cuerdley (Warrington)
Ind: 784
Lab: 691
Con: 479
LD: 100
UKIP: 69
Grn: 47
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Post by Deleted on Oct 11, 2018 23:49:27 GMT
Penketh & Cuerdley (Warrington) Ind: 784 Lab: 691 Con: 479 LD: 100 UKIP: 69 Grn: 47 Ind; 36.1% (+36.1) Lab: 31.8% (-19) Con: 22.1% (+-19.2) LD: 4.6% (-3.4) UKIP: 3.2% (+3.2) Grn: 2.2% (+2.2) |
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Post by yellowperil on Oct 12, 2018 0:12:48 GMT
Any ideas why Tanhouse is taking so long to come up with numbers, given it was one of the first to give us a "result"?
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Post by andrewteale on Oct 12, 2018 6:27:05 GMT
Any ideas why Tanhouse is taking so long to come up with numbers, given it was one of the first to give us a "result"? Perhaps the people who were sent to Skem to install the internet are still lost trying to find their way around the roundabouts. |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Oct 12, 2018 6:51:13 GMT
Tanhouse numbers
Labour 464
Independent 129
Conservative 49
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Post by middleenglander on Oct 12, 2018 7:09:52 GMT
Adur, Southlands - Labour gain from UKIP who did not contest the seat| Party | 2018 B votes | 2018 B share | since 2018 | since 2016 | since 2014 | since 2013 B | since 2012 | Labour | 448 | 45.9% | +4.2% | +16.9% | +25.0% | +17.3% | +8.9% | Conservative | 395 | 40.5% | -0.2% | +10.6% | +6.9% | +14.8% | +2.5% | Green | 132 | 13.5% | +7.9% | from nowhere | +8.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Liberal Democrat |
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| -6.8% | -9.8% | -5.2% | -5.7% | -9.8% | UKIP |
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| -5.1% | -31.2% | -35.4% | -39.9% | -15.1% | Total votes | 975 |
| 96% | 101% | 93% | 110% | 113% |
Swing Conservative to Labour 2¼% since May and 3½% since 2012 otherwise not meaningful Council now 16 Conservative, 8 Labour, 3 UKIP, 2 Independent Halton, Ditton - Labour hold | Party | 2018 B votes | 2018 B share | since 2018 | since 2016 | since 2015 | since 2014 | | Labour | 644 | 73.5% | +11.6% | -1.2% | -4.7% | -6.2% | Conservative | 135 | 15.4% | from nowhere | +3.8% | -6.4% | -4.9% | Liberal Democrat | 97 | 11.1% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Independent 1 |
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| -38.1% |
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| Independent 2 |
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| -13.7% |
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| Total votes | 876 |
| 58% | 59% | 26% | Row 7 column 7 |
Swing, if particularly meaningful, Labour to Conservative 2½% since 2016 and ~ ¾% since 2014 but Conservative to Labour ~ ¾% since 2015
Council now 52 Labour, 2 Conservative, 2 Liberal Democrat
Hartlepool, Hart - Independent gain from Labour
| Party | 2018 B votes | 2018 B share | since 2018 | since 2016 | since 2015 | since 2014 | Independent | 637 | 44.1% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Labour | 582 | 40.2% | +1.5% | +11.0% | +12.7% | +21.7% | Conservative | 200 | 13.8% | -3.4% | -5.9% | -4.7% | +2.3% | Green | 27 | 1.9% | from nowhere | -1.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Elected Independent |
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| -44.0% |
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| -27.2% | -22.8% | -22.0% | Independent |
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| -20.3% | -12.7% | -21.5% | Putting Hartlepool First |
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| -18.3% | -26.4% | Total votes | 1,446 |
| 82% | 74% | 34% | 71% |
Swing not particular meaningful but around ¾% Independents to Labour since May
Council now 18 Labour, 7 Independent, 4 Putting Hartlepool First, 3 Conservative, 1 Vacant
Warrington, Penketh & Cuerdley - Independent gain from Labour
| Party | 2018 votes | 2018 share | since 2016 "top" | since 2016 "average" | | Independent | 784 | 36.1% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Labour | 691 | 31.8% | -19.0% | -20.6% | Conservative | 479 | 22.1% | -19.2% | -16.9% | Liberal Democrat | 100 | 4.6% | -3.3% | -4.0% | UKIP | 69 | 3.2% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Green | 47 | 2.2% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Total votes | 2,170 |
| 68% | 74% |
Swing not meaningful
Council now 44 Labour, 12 Liberal Democrat, 1 Conservative, 1 Independent
West Lancashire, Tanhouse - Labour hold
| Party | 2018 B votes | 2018 B share | since 2018 | since 2015 | since 2014 | since 2011 | Labour | 464 | 72.3% | -12.8% | -11.6% | -7.3% | -7.2% | Independent | 129 | 20.1% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Conservative | 49 | 7.6% | -7.3% | -8.5% | -0.1% | -12.8% | UKIP |
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| -12.7% |
| Total votes | 642 |
| 77% | 33% | 67% | 70% |
Swing not meaningful
Council now 33 Labour, 19 Conservative, 2 Our West Lancashire
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Post by yellowperil on Oct 12, 2018 7:39:53 GMT
This really is turning out to be the week of the Independent Surge.
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Oct 12, 2018 10:21:01 GMT
Penketh & Cuerdley (Warrington) Ind: 784 Lab: 691 Con: 479 LD: 100 UKIP: 69 Grn: 47 Well that was a complete curveball. |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Oct 12, 2018 14:07:34 GMT
Penketh & Cuerdley (Warrington) Ind: 784 Lab: 691 Con: 479 LD: 100 UKIP: 69 Grn: 47 Well that was a complete curveball. can anyone claim to have had even an inkling that was coming? |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 12, 2018 14:23:51 GMT
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Adrian
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Post by Adrian on Oct 12, 2018 15:15:16 GMT
The key titbit from Andrew's preview was that he was elected to the parish council in April, so he's a well-known local politician.
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Post by Robert Waller on Oct 12, 2018 15:27:33 GMT
can anyone claim to have had even an inkling that was coming? Well, as I had the highest Independent % and technically 'won' that prediction (although still way out), I suppose I can claim the nearest thing to an inkle. I did find out even before Andrew's Preview that Fellows had beaten Labour in a parish council election earlier this year, and thought he might do well again. However I limited my guess to 20% because a) the parish council ward did not cover the whole of the district council ward b) I reckoned a district contest might be fought on less parochial lines. I was wrong. |
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