Deleted
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Opinium
May 16, 2020 20:37:22 GMT
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Post by Deleted on May 16, 2020 20:37:22 GMT
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on May 17, 2020 10:50:24 GMT
Which is actually Johnson down 2 and Starmer up 5 since their last poll. Starmer's net approval rating is up by six to plus 24 - his best so far with Opinium. Approval for the government's handling of the coronavirus crisis has also gone (narrowly) negative for the first time since it took off in March. Its true all these shifts haven't had a major effect on voting intentions. Yet.....
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Post by carlton43 on May 17, 2020 11:00:36 GMT
Which is actually Johnson down 2 and Starmer up 5 since their last poll. Starmer's net approval rating is up by six to plus 24 - his best so far with Opinium. Approval for the government's handling of the coronavirus crisis has also gone (narrowly) negative for the first time since it took off in March. Its true all these shifts haven't had a major effect on voting intentions. Yet..... These being the polls that you so recently disparaged as being pointless because of virus and distance to next election.
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on May 17, 2020 11:01:58 GMT
I may well have done.
What of it?
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Opinium
May 17, 2020 14:32:04 GMT
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Post by Deleted on May 17, 2020 14:32:04 GMT
Which is actually Johnson down 2 and Starmer up 5 since their last poll. Starmer's net approval rating is up by six to plus 24 - his best so far with Opinium. Approval for the government's handling of the coronavirus crisis has also gone (narrowly) negative for the first time since it took off in March. Its true all these shifts haven't had a major effect on voting intentions. Yet..... or ever...
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 17, 2020 14:54:56 GMT
Which is actually Johnson down 2 and Starmer up 5 since their last poll. Starmer's net approval rating is up by six to plus 24 - his best so far with Opinium. Approval for the government's handling of the coronavirus crisis has also gone (narrowly) negative for the first time since it took off in March. Its true all these shifts haven't had a major effect on voting intentions. Yet..... or ever... In which case they will be meaningless and pointless again..
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on May 18, 2020 10:44:19 GMT
Which is actually Johnson down 2 and Starmer up 5 since their last poll. Starmer's net approval rating is up by six to plus 24 - his best so far with Opinium. Approval for the government's handling of the coronavirus crisis has also gone (narrowly) negative for the first time since it took off in March. Its true all these shifts haven't had a major effect on voting intentions. Yet..... or ever... Anything is possible, but that's not normally how it works.
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Deleted
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Opinium
May 18, 2020 13:17:15 GMT
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Post by Deleted on May 18, 2020 13:17:15 GMT
Anything is possible, but that's not normally how it works. yes this true
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Opinium
May 23, 2020 20:39:49 GMT
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Post by Deleted on May 23, 2020 20:39:49 GMT
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Post by manchesterman on May 23, 2020 20:57:12 GMT
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Post by manchesterman on May 23, 2020 20:57:42 GMT
The next poll should be very interesting!!
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Deleted
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Opinium
May 23, 2020 21:05:02 GMT
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Post by Deleted on May 23, 2020 21:05:02 GMT
What do people reckon. Will the two parties do better than 2017s combined total of 82%?
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Post by tonygreaves on May 23, 2020 22:26:41 GMT
Polls will become interesting when Government support collapses and Farage launches his new party. Some time away yet.
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Opinium
May 23, 2020 22:30:17 GMT
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Post by Deleted on May 23, 2020 22:30:17 GMT
Polls will become interesting when Government support collapses and Farage launches his new party. Some time away yet. Boris clearly has significant support given he's got around 47-49% of the vote. Farage is surely yesterdays news now
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Post by Merseymike on May 23, 2020 22:32:31 GMT
Polls will become interesting when Government support collapses and Farage launches his new party. Some time away yet. You're thinking on the same lines as me. Farage has been fairly quiet except on migrants. Not saying much about the lockdown, largely to remain popular now but can turn against it when the unemployment etc hits. All the main parties are equally culpable in supporting it.
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on May 24, 2020 10:38:07 GMT
Interesting how Starmer can get a "positive" rating of plus 30 in this poll, but just plus 1 in the latest ComRes (which still hasn't been posted here btw)
Presumably question wording makes something of a difference, but that's still a pretty big one.
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jamie
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Post by jamie on May 24, 2020 10:50:26 GMT
Interesting how Starmer can get a "positive" rating of plus 30 in this poll, but just plus 1 in the latest ComRes (which still hasn't been posted here btw) Presumably question wording makes something of a difference, but that's still a pretty big one. Quite a lot of his support is soft and a lot of people are choosing don’t know (the high net positive comes from few negatives) which along with the coronavirus crisis means it struggles to translate into voting for Labour. If his personal ratings hold up over the next few months while opinions become firmer, then Labour should get much more of a polling bounce from it.
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on May 24, 2020 10:52:24 GMT
Yes, but that explains why Labour's ratings are only rising slowly rather than the difference between plus 1 and plus 30. What were the respective questions?
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Opinium
May 24, 2020 15:09:20 GMT
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Post by Deleted on May 24, 2020 15:09:20 GMT
Starmer may well be the most popular leader in 2024 and we still lose
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May 24, 2020 20:16:56 GMT
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Post by Deleted on May 24, 2020 20:16:56 GMT
That's pretty unlikely though of course it's not impossible. You have to go back to 1979 to find an election where the more popular leader of one of the 2 main parties lost. Corbyn was the more popular of the two leaders in 2017. Though we're in a particular situation that even Blair's popularity numbers wouldn't transfer into enough votes to win a majority
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