|
Post by syorkssocialist on Oct 1, 2022 19:55:24 GMT
|
|
|
Post by woollyliberal on Oct 1, 2022 20:02:58 GMT
This week: Lab 45%, Con 27%, LD 9%
Last week: Lab 39%, Con 34%, LD 10%
Last week's poll was mentioned by the Guardian but Opinium have kept quiet on it.
I think this makes a full set now, save for Ipsos MORI who only poll monthly. Pollageddon is confirmed.
|
|
jamie
Top Poster
Posts: 6,842
|
Post by jamie on Oct 1, 2022 20:11:56 GMT
Any other leader would be 20 points ahead.
|
|
|
Post by wysall on Oct 1, 2022 20:24:57 GMT
Any other leader would be 20 points ahead.
|
|
|
Post by batman on Oct 1, 2022 20:47:38 GMT
Well that really is it. If Opinium think Labour are miles ahead, Labour are miles ahead.
|
|
msc
Non-Aligned
Posts: 861
Member is Online
|
Post by msc on Oct 1, 2022 21:14:29 GMT
Well that really is it. If Opinium think Labour are miles ahead, Labour are miles ahead. A 19 point lead under Opinium must be close to a 300 point lead in old money.
|
|
|
Post by batman on Oct 1, 2022 21:32:25 GMT
This week: Lab 45%, Con 27%, LD 9% Last week: Lab 39%, Con 34%, LD 10% Last week's poll was mentioned by the Guardian but Opinium have kept quiet on it. I think this makes a full set now, save for Ipsos MORI who only poll monthly. Pollageddon is confirmed. only Kantar have failed to confirm "Pollageddon". Their poll only a few days ago stated that the Labour Party was only 4% ahead of the Tories. It's hard to believe that if they were to do a poll today it would show figures anything like that. So much has changed literally in the last few days. Nothing in Ipsos MORI's track record suggests their polls would be that much out of line with others, on average at any rate.
|
|
|
Post by woollyliberal on Oct 8, 2022 19:09:46 GMT
Lab 47% +1 Con 26% -1 LD 11% +2 Grn 6% nc
|
|
|
Opinium
Oct 16, 2022 20:45:34 GMT
via mobile
Post by jm on Oct 16, 2022 20:45:34 GMT
|
|
|
Post by Forfarshire Conservative on Oct 16, 2022 20:52:49 GMT
Get rid of her, call an election and rebuild. Despite not voting for her, I've been sceptical about getting rid of her, but this is looking terminal. Even Rees-Mogg loses his seat to Labour on these numbers.
|
|
|
Post by islington on Oct 16, 2022 20:58:52 GMT
You know, if you offered the Tories that outcome for the next GE, I bet some of them would take it on the grounds that the actual result might be even worse.
|
|
|
Post by woollyliberal on Oct 16, 2022 21:02:10 GMT
The Lib Dems are a low ebb at the moment. A month without getting in the news and fear of the Tories panicking people into voting Labour. A by-election victory or two to prompt a general election could see those numbers move even further.
|
|
clyde1998
SNP
Green (E&W) member; SNP supporter
Posts: 1,765
|
Post by clyde1998 on Oct 16, 2022 21:31:39 GMT
The Lib Dem figure seems much more plausible than most MRPs have suggested. It would be interesting to see the seat list, because perhaps Opinium have considered how people may vote in different types of seats (Con-Lab contents, Con-Lib contests, safe Lab, etc.).
|
|
clyde1998
SNP
Green (E&W) member; SNP supporter
Posts: 1,765
|
Post by clyde1998 on Oct 16, 2022 21:43:36 GMT
|
|
iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 10,709
Member is Online
|
Post by iain on Oct 16, 2022 22:10:15 GMT
Notably those Lab/Con voteshares are way, way up towards the more optimistic end of recent polling for the Conservatives.
|
|
YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,287
Member is Online
|
Post by YL on Oct 17, 2022 8:19:24 GMT
Notably those Lab/Con voteshares are way, way up towards the more optimistic end of recent polling for the Conservatives. Fieldwork was 26 to 30 September.
|
|
|
Opinium
Oct 17, 2022 8:34:45 GMT
via mobile
Post by jollyroger93 on Oct 17, 2022 8:34:45 GMT
Notably those Lab/Con voteshares are way, way up towards the more optimistic end of recent polling for the Conservatives. Those vote shares are for more realistic if an election was held.
|
|
|
Post by willlucky on Oct 17, 2022 8:37:06 GMT
Notably those Lab/Con voteshares are way, way up towards the more optimistic end of recent polling for the Conservatives.
Are Opinium one of the ones who reallocate some voteshare back to the previous election?
|
|
|
Post by batman on Oct 17, 2022 8:55:42 GMT
yes, their figures are consistently less strong for Labour than other pollsters, except for Kantar, to a large extent for that reason. Even they however have a strong Labour lead.
|
|
The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,546
Member is Online
|
Post by The Bishop on Oct 17, 2022 9:03:57 GMT
To me at least, those Scottish seat figures seem more realistic than "projections" that have Labour sweeping England/Wales but the SNP still doing the same in Scotland.
|
|