The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,753
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ICM
Oct 14, 2013 20:22:33 GMT
Post by The Bishop on Oct 14, 2013 20:22:33 GMT
This month's survey - Lab 38 Con 34 LibDem 12 UKIP 8.
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ICM
Nov 11, 2013 17:47:25 GMT
Post by marksenior on Nov 11, 2013 17:47:25 GMT
Monthly ICM/ Guardian Lab 38 Con 30 LD 13 UKIP 10
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ICM
Nov 11, 2013 17:48:43 GMT
Post by Andrew_S on Nov 11, 2013 17:48:43 GMT
Monthly ICM/ Guardian Lab 38 Con 30 LD 13 UKIP 10 Lab nc Con -4% LD +1% UKIP +2% Others +2%
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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ICM
Nov 11, 2013 18:31:06 GMT
Post by Deleted on Nov 11, 2013 18:31:06 GMT
for me this is the most significant preferred PM: david_Cameron 32%, @ed_Miliband 27% simply because if Ed close the gap this much on other polls then the tories relying on Camerons ratings may start to get real jittery.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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ICM
Dec 9, 2013 18:48:16 GMT
Post by Deleted on Dec 9, 2013 18:48:16 GMT
Gdn/ICM: Lab 37 C 32 LD 11 UKIP 10 Britain believes in recovery, but doesn't feel it
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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ICM
Jan 13, 2014 19:39:33 GMT
Post by Deleted on Jan 13, 2014 19:39:33 GMT
Mike Smithson @msmithsonpb 31m First phone poll of 2014, from ICM, due out this evening. In December LAB had 5% lead
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ICM
Jan 13, 2014 19:41:30 GMT
Post by marksenior on Jan 13, 2014 19:41:30 GMT
It is out Lab 35 Con 32 LD 14 UKIP 10 Others 9 Changes Lab -2 LD +2 UKIP +1
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Feb 10, 2014 18:31:17 GMT
Latest
Lab 38 con 34 ukip 11 ld
Sent from my C5303 using proboards
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Feb 10, 2014 18:32:31 GMT
Ld at 10
Sent from my C5303 using proboards
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johnr
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 1,944
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ICM
Feb 10, 2014 21:03:31 GMT
Post by johnr on Feb 10, 2014 21:03:31 GMT
Fall out from Rennard and Hancock? Would be interesting to see the split men/women for the LDs.
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ICM
Mar 11, 2014 18:47:40 GMT
sdoerr likes this
Post by Andrew_S on Mar 11, 2014 18:47:40 GMT
ICM monthly:
Lab 38% (nc) Con 35% (+1) LD 12% (+2) UKIP 9% (-3)
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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ICM
Mar 12, 2014 8:00:51 GMT
Post by Deleted on Mar 12, 2014 8:00:51 GMT
For once I can agree with you Armchair Critic.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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ICM
Mar 12, 2014 9:50:30 GMT
Post by Deleted on Mar 12, 2014 9:50:30 GMT
I think UKIP will do well in the May Euros as the de Hondt Close List system helps smaller parties but will NOT do as well in the May 2014 Locals where held, and will only win a single handful of Westminster seats, possibly only one or two, in the May 2015 General Election especially if Labour are wise and repeatedly publicises UKIP's Employment Law = "Hire and Fire", abolish Redundancy Rules and Compensation etc, and Economic Policies = Free Market Plus, to target groups of Labour Voters, particularly the Working Class "soft" vote that declare themselves to be Labour Supporters on the doorstep but can't be arsed to go out and vote and also get them Postal Votes as everybody is entitled to one as of right these days. To my mind a Working Class Elector voting for UKIP is a Turkey voting for Xmas!
My main interest in how well or badly UKIP will do especially in the May 2015 General Election is in the damage they will do to the Tories, particularly in the Key Marginals as despite their boast UKIP take more votes from the Tories than from Labour. It would be a delicious irony if the Kippers were to win that election for Miliband as much as any appeal he may have for voters himself.
"Vote UKIP get Labour!" I HOPE that proves true!
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,753
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ICM
Mar 12, 2014 11:01:16 GMT
Post by The Bishop on Mar 12, 2014 11:01:16 GMT
Let's not forget that ICM is the LibDems favourite pollster (even more so since Populus had their revamp)
Their 10% last month was the lowest figure since the summer of 1997 - two months ago they were on 14%.
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ICM
Mar 12, 2014 11:05:33 GMT
Post by marksenior on Mar 12, 2014 11:05:33 GMT
Let's not forget that ICM is the LibDems favourite pollster (even more so since Populus had their revamp) Their 10% last month was the lowest figure since the summer of 1997 - two months ago they were on 14%. We need to wait for the data tables before analysing the poll fully but the data tables from the previous poll with Lib Dems at 10% showed a freak sample with Lib Dems at 12% in Scotland , 19% in Wales and just 7% in England . I would expect the tables to show a more normal geographical sample this month .
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ICM
Mar 12, 2014 11:30:09 GMT
Post by East Anglian Lefty on Mar 12, 2014 11:30:09 GMT
I am surprised though that UKIP voters would desert to the LibDem camp. Mind you.....who ever said there was any logic in the minds of the electorate? You're surprised because you're overinterpreting. Just because the Lib Dems are up and UKIP are down, that doesn't necessarily mean voters have swapped directly from UKIP to the Lib Dems.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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ICM
Mar 12, 2014 12:29:07 GMT
Post by Deleted on Mar 12, 2014 12:29:07 GMT
It will be interesting to see what happens in the Farage/Clegg debate, and the after effects on the polls. For me, Clegg has little to lose whereas Farage has everything to lose. It may turn out to be a bit of a master-stroke by Clegg. He would have guessed that Milliband and Cameron were never going to join in and he has nothing to lose. Agreed. At the end of the day, if there's one thing that Clegg can do well, it's debating on television. I have a feeling that UKIP - and even its leader - simply aren't 'ready for prime time' as they say in the States. I think people are a lot more sceptical of him than last time around. Besides, Cameron is pretty mediocre in debates (certainly worse than in PMQs) and Brown was totally woeful, which made Clegg look better than he was. If Farage can do one thing, he can talk.
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ICM
Mar 12, 2014 13:10:00 GMT
Post by East Anglian Lefty on Mar 12, 2014 13:10:00 GMT
That suggests Clegg may not have too much to gain from the debate. On the other hand, Farage still has a lot to lose. Arguably if he does badly, the major beneficiaries will be Cameron and Miliband, whereas if they were involved it'd be a much riskier prospect.
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ICM
Apr 14, 2014 17:20:24 GMT
Post by Devonian on Apr 14, 2014 17:20:24 GMT
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ICM
May 4, 2014 22:54:12 GMT
Post by Andrew_S on May 4, 2014 22:54:12 GMT
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