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Post by WestCountryRadical on Oct 26, 2018 21:26:09 GMT
Shocking that Casey was polling at 1 or 2% and now his comments on travellers and welfare recipients appear to have propelled him to 20% of the vote
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Post by finsobruce on Oct 26, 2018 22:10:11 GMT
Shocking that Casey was polling at 1 or 2% and now his comments on travellers and welfare recipients appear to have propelled him to 20% of the vote But not entirely surprising.
Someone had to make a break from the pack, trailing in the wake of Higgins - and that is certainly one way of doing it. Unfortunately.
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Post by WestCountryRadical on Oct 26, 2018 22:30:49 GMT
In such a boring campaign, it wouldn't take much to stand out
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Post by thinwhiteduke on Oct 26, 2018 22:36:37 GMT
Dreadful result for SF. Only 8%, half of what they recieved in the 2016 election.In regards to Casey, he tapped into a section of the Irish population, who are absolutely sick of establishment politics..
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Post by timrollpickering on Oct 27, 2018 14:11:05 GMT
So far one constituency has formally declared, Galway East:
Casey Peter, IND 33.3% 1ST PREF. 11227
Duffy Gavin, IND 1.5% 1ST PREF. 516
Freeman Joan, IND 4.6% 1ST PREF. 1545
Gallagher Seán, IND 4.1% 1ST PREF. 1379
Higgins Michael D., IND 53.4% 1ST PREF. 18011
Ní Riada Liadh, SF 3.1% 1ST PREF. 1029
(Higgins's old constituency is Galway West)
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Post by timrollpickering on Oct 27, 2018 14:16:29 GMT
For what it's worth in 2016 in Galway East Sinn Féin had 5.9% and Labour 10.0% with Lorraine Higgins (no relation?) as their candidate.
Of other parties, Fine Gael took 30.0%, Fianna Fáil 27.3%, the Greens 1.7%, Direct Democracy 1.1% and Independents Seán Canney 18.7% and Michael Fahy 5.2%.
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Post by timrollpickering on Oct 27, 2018 16:16:25 GMT
29/40 constituencies have so far declared their first preferences.
Shockingly Kerry is not amongst them.
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Post by timrollpickering on Oct 27, 2018 16:39:45 GMT
Now up to 35 and still no sign of Raeland.
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Post by timrollpickering on Oct 27, 2018 18:01:21 GMT
38/40, still waiting for Roscommon-Galway and Kerry. Did a ballot box fall in a pot hole?
About the only uncertain point now is third place - Seán Gallagher is currently leading Liadh Ní Riada but by just 1271 votes
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Post by greatkingrat on Oct 27, 2018 18:02:59 GMT
They are busy counting all the write-in votes for various Healy-Raes.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 27, 2018 18:27:36 GMT
Just Kerry to come and it's clear Michael D. will break 800,000 votes and have the largest first preference votes in the history of the state- breaking his own record from 2011 by over 100,000.
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Post by seanryanj on Oct 27, 2018 18:31:34 GMT
Higgins - excellent result
Casey - struck a cord with people especially who feel things are too pc
Gallagher - Disaster 7 yrs is along time in politics
O'Riada - bad move by SF Higgins would be a natural home by SFers why challenge him
Freeman - Out of her depth feel sorry for her
Duffy - Why did he bother?
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 27, 2018 18:45:47 GMT
Final result
Electorate: 3,229,672
Total Poll: 1,492,338
Turnout: 46.21%
Spoiled: 18,338
Total valid votes: 1,474,000
Quota: 737,001
Michael D. Higgins (Ind) 822,566 (55.81%)
Peter Casey (Ind) 342,727 (23.25%)
Seán Gallagher (Ind) 94,514 (6.41%)
Liadh Ní Riada (SF) 93,987 (6.38%)
Joan Freeman (Ind) 87,908 (5.96%)
Gavin Duffy (Ind) 32,198 (2.18%)
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Post by andrewp on Oct 27, 2018 18:57:00 GMT
Is it a 7 year term?
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Foggy
Non-Aligned
Yn Ennill Yma
Posts: 6,135 
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Post by Foggy on Oct 27, 2018 19:11:53 GMT
Yes, by the end of which Higgins will be 84. According to an RTÉ poll, most Irish voters think the length of the mandate should be reduced to 5 years. Then again, in Germany where there's a 5-year term, the late former President Johannes Rau once said (when explaining why he didn't re-offer in 2004) there should be a non-renewable 7-year term, so you can't please everyone. |
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,824
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 27, 2018 19:12:41 GMT
Interesting is he case of Casey - perhaps Ireland (+Iberia) have the space for a xenophobic party, too? |
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,824
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 27, 2018 19:18:50 GMT
Then again, in Germany where there's a 5-year term, the late former President Johannes Rau once said (when explaining why he didn't re-offer in 2004) there should be a non-renewable 7-year term, so you can't please everyone. Realiter Rau had no chance to be reelected. No renewable term looks initially good - the politicians becoming less slick -, but is no real solution, as the Kirchners have demonstrated. |
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Foggy
Non-Aligned
Yn Ennill Yma
Posts: 6,135
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Post by Foggy on Oct 27, 2018 19:48:18 GMT
Then again, in Germany where there's a 5-year term, the late former President Johannes Rau once said (when explaining why he didn't re-offer in 2004) there should be a non-renewable 7-year term, so you can't please everyone. Realiter Rau had no chance to be reelected. No renewable term looks initially good - the politicians becoming less slick -, but is no real solution, as the Kirchners have demonstrated. Yes, that and his health wasn't great (he passed away in early 2006 so would not have lasted another full term). Not just the Kirchners, of course – non-renewable terms are common across Latin America and it doesn't seem to have done those countries much good. |
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john07
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 15,786
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Post by john07 on Oct 28, 2018 0:56:40 GMT
This one will probably go down well in Brittany if this is any guide:
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Foggy
Non-Aligned
Yn Ennill Yma
Posts: 6,135
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Post by Foggy on Oct 28, 2018 20:49:18 GMT
Higgins topped the poll on first preferences in every constituency. The closest he came to losing one were Donegal (predicatbly) and Tipperary, although he got a lower vote share in Roscommon—Galway than the latter county. His highest vote share came in Dublin Bay South, his largest raw vote in Dublin Bay North.
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