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Post by hullenedge on Jul 5, 2021 7:42:22 GMT
Today's RedBox:-
Con 42 Lab 31 LD 10 Green 6 SNP 5 REFUK 3 Oths 2 Plaid 1
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Post by gibbon on Jul 5, 2021 9:34:38 GMT
When was the fieldwork done for the latest poll? Slight increase for Labour and Lib Dems. Does it take into account Hancock and Batley and Spen? Is there still a vaccine bounce for the Tories with the hope that on July 19 most restrictions will end?
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timmullen1
Labour
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Post by timmullen1 on Jul 5, 2021 9:45:28 GMT
When was the fieldwork done for the latest poll? Slight increase for Labour and Lib Dems. Does it take into account Hancock and Batley and Spen? Is there still a vaccine bounce for the Tories with the hope that on July 19 most restrictions will end? Fieldwork was 29-30 June
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YouGov
Jul 5, 2021 10:00:26 GMT
via mobile
Post by andrew111 on Jul 5, 2021 10:00:26 GMT
When was the fieldwork done for the latest poll? Slight increase for Labour and Lib Dems. Does it take into account Hancock and Batley and Spen? Is there still a vaccine bounce for the Tories with the hope that on July 19 most restrictions will end? No significant change since the last poll, but I guess the Greens are not talking about Yougov with the excitement they were a few weeks ago..
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jamie
Top Poster
Posts: 6,845
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YouGov
Jul 12, 2021 14:53:46 GMT
via mobile
peterl likes this
Post by jamie on Jul 12, 2021 14:53:46 GMT
Contrary to what some seem to believe on this forum, Boris isn’t very popular (but as usual, having a modest net negative personal rating isn’t the only factor in elections eg; see Starmer’s rating).
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Post by hullenedge on Jul 13, 2021 11:23:49 GMT
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 8,075
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YouGov
Jul 13, 2021 12:49:29 GMT
via mobile
Post by cogload on Jul 13, 2021 12:49:29 GMT
The Government's own "favourability" (ugh) ratings are also taking a dive according to Yougov. That 42% is basically soft as butter.
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Post by hullenedge on Jul 19, 2021 7:45:34 GMT
Today's RedBox:-
Con 44 (+2) Lab 31 (+1) LD 8 (-1) Green 6 (-1) SNP 4 REFUK 3 Others 2 Plaid 1
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YouGov
Jul 19, 2021 15:33:10 GMT
Post by gibbon on Jul 19, 2021 15:33:10 GMT
When was the field work done for the latest poll? Was it before or after Johnson and Sunak announced they were taking part in the new track and trace procedure? If before, what might the figures be once the outcry occurred? Would it have any affect on the Government's popularity?
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timmullen1
Labour
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Post by timmullen1 on Jul 19, 2021 16:09:55 GMT
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YouGov
Jul 24, 2021 0:16:47 GMT
Post by Strontium Dog on Jul 24, 2021 0:16:47 GMT
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 8,075
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YouGov
Jul 24, 2021 6:05:33 GMT
via mobile
Post by cogload on Jul 24, 2021 6:05:33 GMT
LD 9 (+1) Greens 8 (+2).
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YouGov
Jul 24, 2021 7:43:49 GMT
Post by iainbhx on Jul 24, 2021 7:43:49 GMT
It screams outlier.
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Post by Adam in Stroud on Jul 24, 2021 8:29:08 GMT
Alternatively: party VI is "soft" across the board, with relatively high Conservative support capable of defecting in face of poor leadership, but quite capable of flipping back in face of good news. With due respect to the Greens, while I think there has incremental increase in the number of loyal Green voters over the last decade, when I see a Green vote share north of about 5-6% I tend to think there are a lot of voters looking for a home. (True of us too if we get above about 15%)
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Post by Adam in Stroud on Jul 24, 2021 8:34:03 GMT
Putting it another way, I wouldn't be surprised if those trends were correct even if not by that amount.
Johnson has been at his worst the last week, there's a bit of nerves around re: lockdown (that might easily lift to his benefit,) - maybe re: NI protocol too? - while Labour have kept the shotgun away from their feet for a week or two, but not really shiny either so some of the movement going Green (favourite NOTA party atm, I think) and a tad to us.
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YouGov
Jul 24, 2021 8:37:08 GMT
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jul 24, 2021 8:37:08 GMT
It is the second, not the first, poll to show a much narrower Conservative lead. As always the rule with polls is to look at trends, not individual polls.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,552
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YouGov
Jul 24, 2021 8:50:02 GMT
Post by The Bishop on Jul 24, 2021 8:50:02 GMT
Arguably that is truer of YouGov's previous poll that put the Tories on a barely plausible 44%. Both the government and Johnson's ratings have been heading south for a little while now.
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Merseymike
Independent
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Member is Online
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YouGov
Jul 24, 2021 8:59:32 GMT
via mobile
Post by Merseymike on Jul 24, 2021 8:59:32 GMT
Arguably that is truer of YouGov's previous poll that put the Tories on a barely plausible 44%. Both the government and Johnson's ratings have been heading south for a little while now. Yes, true. I'm still not certain how helpful global polls are though. Some of the local by-elections haven't suggested a great deal of Labour recovery in areas where they need it.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,552
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Post by The Bishop on Jul 24, 2021 9:00:58 GMT
Local byelections can run in front of polling trends or behind them. And even these days they are quite often exactly that, local.
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Post by hullenedge on Jul 24, 2021 9:21:00 GMT
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