Harry Hayfield
Green
Cavalier Gentleman (as in 17th century Cavalier)
Posts: 2,922 
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Post by Harry Hayfield on Nov 4, 2012 13:42:21 GMT
With the polls due to close in about 58 hours or so, it's time to nail your colours to the mast time (please note this poll is asking about electoral college votes only, not popular vote)
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2012 16:51:53 GMT
I will probably wait until tomorrow before making my prediction. It should be interesting to compare the polls with what they were saying the day before the 2008 election.
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Post by slicesofjim on Nov 5, 2012 14:53:17 GMT
Obama 275-299.
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Post by Dalek Prime on Nov 5, 2012 20:59:57 GMT
Obama 270-274
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tricky
Lib Dem
Building a stronger economy and a fairer society so everyone can get on in life
Posts: 1,420
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Post by tricky on Nov 5, 2012 23:22:37 GMT
Obama 332
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Rural Radical
Labour
Now living in a Labour held ward at Borough level for the first time in many years
Posts: 1,627
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Post by Rural Radical on Nov 5, 2012 23:27:46 GMT
Obama 303
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tricky
Lib Dem
Building a stronger economy and a fairer society so everyone can get on in life
Posts: 1,420
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Post by tricky on Nov 5, 2012 23:28:54 GMT
We only disagree on Florida then. |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Nov 6, 2012 9:44:14 GMT
I'm agreeing with Tricky.
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Post by erlend on Nov 6, 2012 10:33:30 GMT
Have gone for Obama 275-299. My gut feeling is about or just over 300 but my head says that is optimistic. I think he should win Ohio. Along with New Hampshire. Assuming Romney has luck and wins FL and the Northern South (VA and NC) and the Liberalish West (slightly Libertarian I suppose) of NV and CO. I also think that if it is close IA has been trending away from the Dems.
If Obama holds as he should in NM and the WI and MN block I do find a 269:269 doable. So Romney/Biden win. I have a feeling Romney could live with Biden as VP!
I hope that Obama can actually pull one of the VA?FL pair out of the bag. I don't think there is much else in Romney's reach. Of course Obama could have a good night and win all bar IN and NE(2).
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Post by johnloony on Nov 6, 2012 17:27:39 GMT
I predict Obama 290 Romney 248.
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Rural Radical
Labour
Now living in a Labour held ward at Borough level for the first time in many years
Posts: 1,627
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Post by Rural Radical on Nov 6, 2012 19:11:36 GMT
We only disagree on Florida then. I think that Romney will pick up: Indiana North Carolina Nebraska 2nd District I might have miscalculated then  |
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Post by erlend on Nov 6, 2012 20:02:13 GMT
And technically the NE 2nd is boundary changed and may not count as a loss.
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Post by the_bullies on Nov 6, 2012 20:24:27 GMT
If Obama wins Virginia & Colorado he could be over 300 as I expect him to win NH, Iowa, Pennysylvania, Ohio, Nevada, NM & Wisconsin. Romney should win Florida but it could be close. Either 303-235 or 281 to 257 depending on Colorado & Virginia.
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Post by countryloon on Nov 6, 2012 20:44:42 GMT
Obama 310 - Romney 228
Obama - Washington, Oregon, California, Nevada, New Mexico, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, New York, Vermont, New Hampshire, Maine, Massachusetts, Connecticut, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, Washington DC, Rhode Island, Florida & Hawaii.
Romney - Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, Utah, Colorado, Arizona, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, Missouri, Arkansas, Louisiana, Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, Mississippi, Alabama, West Virginia, Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia & Alaska.
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tricky
Lib Dem
Building a stronger economy and a fairer society so everyone can get on in life
Posts: 1,420
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Post by tricky on Nov 6, 2012 20:54:51 GMT
We only disagree on Florida then. I think that Romney will pick up: Indiana North Carolina Nebraska 2nd District I might have miscalculated then You have indeed as we agree on states. |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Nov 6, 2012 20:59:38 GMT
Romney to 'gain' Florida, N Carolina, Indiana, Nebraska 2nd. Everything else as last time.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Nov 6, 2012 23:25:49 GMT
Good - we can see the results of this poll now. Pretty decisive - let's see if we were right...
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Post by swindonlad on Nov 7, 2012 7:04:41 GMT
looking like 332-206 seeing the counties left o/s in FL are in Democrat areas
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Crimson King
Lib Dem
Be nice to each other and sing in tune
Posts: 9,843
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Post by Crimson King on Nov 7, 2012 8:31:48 GMT
who was the one to get it right?
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Rural Radical
Labour
Now living in a Labour held ward at Borough level for the first time in many years
Posts: 1,627
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Post by Rural Radical on Nov 7, 2012 8:55:04 GMT
I think that Romney will pick up: Indiana North Carolina Nebraska 2nd District I might have miscalculated then You have indeed as we agree on states. Yes you're right. It looks as though we were both right on the states though. |
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