Richard Allen
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Post by Richard Allen on Jun 10, 2021 10:19:22 GMT
Generic Republican, like his cousin Generic Democrat, consistently polls very well. Strangely enough he never ends up on the ballot.
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johng
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Post by johng on Jun 10, 2021 10:37:58 GMT
Daily Kos is right to be skeptical, the numbers don't really make much sense at all, but a GOP pollster had Michigan as Whitmer 50 - John James 45 a couple of days ago. The same poll had Whitmer trailing 7 points behind the former Detroit Chief of Police James Craig.
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on Jun 10, 2021 10:45:47 GMT
Daily Kos is right to be skeptical, the numbers don't really make much sense at all, but a GOP pollster had Michigan as Whitmer 50 - John James 45 a couple of days ago. The same poll had Whitmer trailing 7 points behind the former Detroit Chief of Police James Craig. Only 5% undecided this far away from the election? As Stu Rothenberg used to write after quoting a McLaughlan Group poll, “move to junk”.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 10, 2021 10:52:31 GMT
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johng
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Post by johng on Jun 10, 2021 10:56:48 GMT
Daily Kos is right to be skeptical, the numbers don't really make much sense at all, but a GOP pollster had Michigan as Whitmer 50 - John James 45 a couple of days ago. The same poll had Whitmer trailing 7 points behind the former Detroit Chief of Police James Craig. Only 5% undecided this far away from the election? As Stu Rothenberg used to write after quoting a McLaughlan Group poll, “move to junk”.
More interesting is that the poll was commissioned by the state GOP party. Why would they publish a poll which has John James behind, but James Craig ahead? Ulterior motives obviously.
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on Jun 10, 2021 11:05:16 GMT
Only 5% undecided this far away from the election? As Stu Rothenberg used to write after quoting a McLaughlan Group poll, “move to junk”.
More interesting is that the poll was commissioned by the state GOP party. Why would they publish a poll which has John James behind, but James Craig ahead? Ulterior motives obviously.
Probably, but to show James so close doesn’t really discourage him from getting in; it seems more like “it doesn’t matter which of them is our nominee, Whitmer’s toast”.
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on Jun 10, 2021 11:11:46 GMT
I doubt he wants to run for Governor in ‘24; if he wanted the job back he would have jumped in last year given the personal animosity between him and Justice.
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Post by stb12 on Jun 10, 2021 11:27:45 GMT
Manchin doesn't seem like someone that will take threats on board at all from his own side or Republicans.
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 10, 2021 11:47:04 GMT
Generic Republican, like his cousin Generic Democrat, consistently polls very well. Strangely enough he never ends up on the ballot. Though it has been argued one reason for Biden's ultimate success last year is that he is at least fairly close to a "generic Democrat".
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 10, 2021 19:11:33 GMT
Generic Republican, like his cousin Generic Democrat, consistently polls very well. Strangely enough he never ends up on the ballot. Fair enough. I deleted the initial post
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on Jun 10, 2021 19:16:59 GMT
Generic Republican, like his cousin Generic Democrat, consistently polls very well. Strangely enough he never ends up on the ballot. Fair enough. I deleted the initial post I don’t think you needed to, I think Richard was just making the point that polls testing a generic Republican or Democrat are a bit devoid of credibility because they can’t factor in the appeal of lack thereof of an actual candidate, his/her fundraising ability, campaign skills, etc. They’re more clickbait for a fundraising appeal or just to simply get a bit of media attention. The American equivalent of the LDs “winning here” bar charts 😉
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 10, 2021 19:47:17 GMT
Hmm, what could this be.
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relique
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Post by relique on Jun 10, 2021 20:26:40 GMT
He's going to the barbershop to ask not to look like a french communist mathematics teacher from the 1980s ?
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on Jun 10, 2021 20:47:13 GMT
Ok, so it’s now 12.46 in Anchorage, Alaska, and 46 minutes ago Don Young sent out this Tweet:
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relique
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Post by relique on Jun 10, 2021 20:50:20 GMT
I wasn't that far off, then.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 11, 2021 6:20:43 GMT
A couple of things to bear in mind. Firstly, A- rated pollster with 538. Secondly, AOC, Elizabeth Warren, and other notables names are endorsing Maya Wiley, giving her a bounce.
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on Jun 16, 2021 13:24:59 GMT
As the very first post in this thread mentioned Dennis Kucinich’s primary defeat to Marcy Kaptur, it may be of interest to note that Kucinich is seeking another one of his old jobs back, and will run for Mayor of Cleveland later this year.
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Richard Allen
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Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
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Post by Richard Allen on Jun 16, 2021 17:35:43 GMT
What were you expecting? Surely you didn’t think he was announcing his retirement?
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Post by finsobruce on Jun 16, 2021 17:38:12 GMT
What were you expecting? Surely you didn’t think he was announcing his retirement? I was sure it was going to be a Welsh opinion poll.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 20, 2021 22:10:43 GMT
One of the primary elections for New York City Council on Tuesday just got interesting - in District 6 (the upper west side in Manhattan), the sitting Democrat Helen Rosenthal in an utterly safe district is retiring after announcing a failed bid for City Comptroller. There are six candidates and one of the frontrunners is Zack Weiner.
He's released a lot of campaign videos, but there's one which has appeared which he probably didn't want other people to see.
Interestingly he's not related to Anthony Weiner. But he is the son of Eric Weiner who co-created Dora the Explorer.
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