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Post by Right Leaning on Mar 22, 2018 7:56:07 GMT
Aylesbury, Central & Walton: LD 38, Con 36, Lab 18, Ind 5, Green 3,
Bassetlaw, Worksop SE: Lab 60, Con 31, LD 9,
Cheshire East, Bunbury: Con 62, LD 21 Lab 14, Green 3,
Chiltern, Ridgeway: Con 39, LD 33, Lab 28,
Midlothian,Penicuik (1st Prefs): SNP 34, Con 31, Lab 30, Green 5,
Staffordshire Moorlands, Leek W: Con 44, Lab 26, Ind 21, LD 9,
Thurrock,Ockenden: Con 35, THIN 33, Lab 32,
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ricmk
Lib Dem
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Post by ricmk on Mar 22, 2018 8:02:21 GMT
AYLESBURY VALE: LD 40 Con 30 Lab 15 Ind 13 Green 2
BASSETLAW: Lab 70 Con 20 LD 10
CHESHIRE EAST: Con 45 LD 40 Lab 10 Green 5 (if I was a long way back for the month I'd go for a shock LD gain)
CHILTERN: Con 50 Lab 28 LD 22
MIDLOTHIAN: SNP 37 Lab 32 Con 27 Green 4
STAFFORDSHIRE MOORLANDS: Con 40 Lab 30 Ind 20 LD 10
THURROCK: Con 39 Thurrock Indies 33 Lab 28
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olympian95
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Post by olympian95 on Mar 22, 2018 8:12:49 GMT
Aylesbury LD 38, Con 34, Lab 17, Ind 8, Green 3
Bassetlaw Lab 57, Con 31, LD 12
Cheshire Con 53, LD 27, Lab 14, Green 6
Chiltern Con 46, LD 43, Lab 11
Midlothian SNP 36, Con 33, Lab 22, Green 9
Leek West Con 41, Lab 36, Ind 14, LD 9
Thurrock Con 37, Lab 35, Ind 28
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 22, 2018 8:35:52 GMT
Aylesbury Vale DC, Central and Walton ward
Con 45 Lab 35 Ind 7 Lib Dem 11 Green 2
Bassetlaw DC, Worksop SE Ward
Lab 71 Con 22 LD 7
Cheshire East DC Bunbury Ward
Con 70 Lab 22 Lib Dem 4 Green 4
Chiltern DC Ridgeway Ward
Con 36 Lab 48 Lib Dem 16
Midlothian UA Penicuik Ward
Con 24 SNP 40 Lab 31 Green 2
Staffordshire Moorlands DC, Leek West Ward
Con 59 Lab 26 Ind 9 Lib Dem 6
Thurrock BC, Ockenden ward
Con 37 Thurrock Inds 30 Lab 33
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Post by hempie on Mar 22, 2018 8:36:18 GMT
Aylesbury, Central & Walton: LD 38, Con 32, Lab 19, Ind 8, Green 3
Bassetlaw, Worksop South East: Lab 66, Con 29, LD 5
Cheshire East, Bunbury: Con 48,LD 36,Lab 14, Green 2
Chiltern, Ridgeway: Con 42, Lab 39, LD 19
Midlothian, Penicuik (1st preference votes): Con 34, SNP 31, Lab 30, Green 5
Staffordshire Moorlands, Leek West: Con 40, Lab 32, Ind 20, LD 8
Thurrock, Ockenden: Thurrock Independents 36, Con 34, Lab 30
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Post by robbienicoll on Mar 22, 2018 8:41:14 GMT
Central and Walton, Aylesbury Vale: Con 35, Lab 17, LD 38, Green 3, Ind 7
Worksop SE, Bassetlaw: Con 18, Lab 75, LD 7
Bunbury, Cheshire East: Con 53, Lab 20, LD 22, Green 5
Ridgeway, Chiltern: Con 48, Lab 36, LD 16
Penicuik, Midlothian: Con 33, Lab 29, Green 3, SNP 35
Leek West, Staffordshire Moors: Con 43, Lab 29, LD 10, Ind 18
Ockenden, Thurrock: Con 37, Lab 33, Thurrock Inds 30
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Andrew_S
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Post by Andrew_S on Mar 22, 2018 8:53:19 GMT
Aylesbury Vale, Central & Walton: LD 35, Con 34, Lab 22, Ind 5, Green 4
Bassetlaw, Worksop SE: Lab 66, Con 31, LD 3
Cheshire East, Bunbury: Con 66, Lab 21, Green 7, LD 6
Chiltern, Ridgeway: Con 39, Lab 38, LD 23
Midlothian, Penicuik: SNP 36, Lab 30, Con 29, Green 5
Staffordshire Moorlands, Leek West: Con 39, Lab 26, Ind 24, LD 11
Thurrock, Ockenden: Ind 37, Con 36, Lab 27
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Post by middleenglander on Mar 22, 2018 15:06:56 GMT
14 entries this week with nothing from k9. priceofdawn gets 3 additional faults for adding to 97% in Midlothian.
Aylesbury Vale, Central & Walton: 11 Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative, David Boothroyd, Dibs & priceofdawn Conservative hold
Bassetlaw, Worksop South East: 100% Labour hold with majority over Conservative ranging from 15% (greenrobinhood) to 57% (robbienicoll)
Cheshire East, Bunbury: 100% Conservative hold, majority from 5% (ricmk over Liberal Democrat) to 48% (priceofdawn over Labour)
Chiltern, Ridgeway: 10 Conservative gain from Independent, David Boothroyd, Lancastrian, priceofdawn & Robert Waller Labour gain
Midlothian, Penicuik: 7 SNP first preferences lead, andrewp, David Boothroyd, Lancastrian & Yellow Peril Labour, dibs, greenrobinhood & hempie Conservative
Staffordshire Moorlands, Leek West: 100% Conservative hold, majority over Labour from 4% (andrewp) to 33% (priceofdawn)
Thurrock, Ockendon: 10 Conservative gain from UKIP with ajs, hempie, Lancastrian & Robert Waller Thurrock Independent gain / hold
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Post by robbienicoll on Mar 22, 2018 17:07:15 GMT
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Post by samdwebber on Mar 22, 2018 20:23:45 GMT
PoliticsHome's take on tonight's by-elections. Do have a read and retweet if you are on twitter:
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Mar 22, 2018 21:47:59 GMT
Amazing that nobody is predicting a Labour gain in Ockendon. I'm not saying I would have done/am and I can understand why people haven't, but it's still quite striking given the demographics and history of the place that no-one fancies Labour there
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Andrew_S
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Post by Andrew_S on Mar 22, 2018 22:15:55 GMT
I decided to have a go at predicting the turnout just for fun:
Aylesbury: 25%
Bassetlaw: 18%
Cheshire East: 30%
Chiltern: 21%
Midlothian: 32%
Staffs Moorlands: 25%
Thurrock: 21%
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Post by robbienicoll on Mar 22, 2018 22:20:08 GMT
I decided to have a go at predicting the turnout just for fun: Aylesbury: 25% Bassetlaw: 18% Cheshire East: 30% Chiltern: 21% Midlothian: 32% Staffs Moorlands: 25% Thurrock: 21% Hearing from Twitter sources that Midlothian turnout is closer to 40%. |
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Andrew_S
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Post by Andrew_S on Mar 22, 2018 22:25:50 GMT
I decided to have a go at predicting the turnout just for fun: Aylesbury: 25% Bassetlaw: 18% Cheshire East: 30% Chiltern: 21% Midlothian: 32% Staffs Moorlands: 25% Thurrock: 21% Hearing from Twitter sources that Midlothian turnout is closer to 40%. Is it declaring tonight? |
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Post by robbienicoll on Mar 22, 2018 22:27:06 GMT
Just posted in the by-election thread haha, it's tomorrow, Conservative canvassers were estimating the turnout.
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Post by John Chanin on Mar 23, 2018 7:40:27 GMT
Amazing that nobody is predicting a Labour gain in Ockendon. I'm not saying I would have done/am and I can understand why people haven't, but it's still quite striking given the demographics and history of the place that no-one fancies Labour there Good call. |
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Post by yellowperil on Mar 23, 2018 8:07:10 GMT
Actually I had had this down as a Labour gain until the furore of the last few days, and indeed had posted a comment above suggesting there might be a Labour win,but in spite of saying I thought the furore might actually benefit Labour I did shift a few points from Lab to Con -made little difference as far as the prediction comp was concerned- I got a -5 for predicting Con and would have got -5 for predicting Labour, it seems.
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Post by robbienicoll on Mar 23, 2018 16:40:39 GMT
With the Midlothian result now in, my provisional figures have me taking the week by two faults ahead of andrewp in second and Yellow Peril in third. Robert Waller continues to lead for the month with andrewp in second and ricmk. A real mix of first places, with hempie, myself, olympian95 (2), andrewp, Right Leaning and Yellow Peril all scooping a top spot in individual contests.
Spreadsheet is available further up the thread, as ever any corrections please give me a shout.
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Post by finsobruce on Mar 23, 2018 16:50:33 GMT
With the Midlothian result now in, my provisional figures have me taking the week by two faults ahead of andrewp in second and Yellow Peril in third. Robert Waller continues to lead for the month with andrewp in second and ricmk. A real mix of first places, with hempie, myself, olympian95 (2), andrewp, Right Leaning and Yellow Peril all scooping a top spot in individual contests. reminded me of this for some reason.... |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Mar 23, 2018 17:40:17 GMT
I challenge all the 5 points. The Conservatives won in Thurrock, unequivocally, by one vote.
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