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Post by Andrew_S on Aug 2, 2012 15:26:24 GMT
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Post by andrewteale on Aug 2, 2012 17:52:44 GMT
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Post by middleenglander on Aug 2, 2012 21:22:23 GMT
Just returned having been out all day.
14 entries this week with nothing from greatkingrat and tonyotim. Pete Whitehead gets 0.1 faults for adding to 100.1% in Lincolnshire.
* Unanimity for Lincolnshire - Labour gain from Conservatives - and Vale of Glamorgan - Labour hold.
* 12 Conservative holds in South Holland, Fleet with andyajs and elend going for an Independent gain.
* 12 Independent holds in South Holland, Long Sutton with Independent UKIP and Leicester Lad predicting a Conservative gain.
* 8 for an Independent gain in Wealden, Polegate North with Andrew Teale, andyajs, Dibs, erlend, Independent UKIP and Khunanup going for a Lib Dem hold.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Aug 2, 2012 22:41:14 GMT
That 0.1 is a bit tedious. Buttrils sounds like it could cause more of a problem though
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Aug 3, 2012 8:58:25 GMT
Khunanup was in the lead last night with myself and Andrew just behind. I think the result from Polegate will confirm him as clearly in the lead. Andrew didn't do badly there and if the South Holland results go his way he could end up ahead
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Aug 3, 2012 9:01:42 GMT
Actually Andyajs and Robert Waller are not too far out of the mix. Certainly an Independent win in Fleet could see Andy win the week
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Post by middleenglander on Aug 3, 2012 10:29:27 GMT
Lincolnshire, Lincoln East:
Pete Whitehead 4.6 + 0.1 faults, Robert Waller 10.0, Mark Senior 11.4, Andrew Teale 13.4, PhilDav76 15.4, Ianrobo 17.5, David Boothroyd 18.7
Khunanup 19.1, hempie 21.0, erlend 25.8, andyajs 27.8, Independent UKIP 27.9, Leicester Lad 31.8, Dibs 33.4
Vale of Glamorgan, Buttrills:
Independent UKIP 17.7+10, Khunanup 18.5+10, Leicester Lad 19.0+10, erlend 23.0+10, andyajs 24.5+10, Dibs 25.7+10, Andrew Teale & Robert Waller 29.0+10
PhilDav76 33.0+10, hempie 35.0+10, Pete Whitehead 36.8+10, Mark Senior 37.0+10, David Boothroyd 37.3+10, Ianrobo 46.5+10
Wealdon, Polegate North:
andyajs 19.6, Dibs 22.3, Khunanup 25.9, Andrew Teale 27.6, erlend 32.9, Robert Waller 27.3+10, Leicester Lad 29.2+10, Independent UKIP 39.3
Pete Whitehead 33.8+10, PhilDav76 37.7+10, hempie 41.0+10, Mark Senior 47.7+10, Ianrobo 57.7+10, David Boothroyd 72.4+10
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Aug 3, 2012 11:00:50 GMT
Congratulations to Khunanup on a very good performance this week and also to Dibs for getting a perfect score in South Holland, Fleet (well 0.04 faults to be precise but 0 after rounding) which I think is a first. Lincolnshire has been good to me this week - the south coasts of England and Wales less so
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Post by Robert Waller on Aug 3, 2012 11:06:50 GMT
I think (though I can't see Hempie's predictions) that Khunanup has a deserved win this week, and that Pete 'Westwood''s excellent predictions in South Holland may move him into second, though dibs has also had a very good week. These are my guesses for the top three. I eagerly await official and authoritative returns!
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Aug 3, 2012 11:12:50 GMT
I think that me and dibs are joint second after rounding though my spreadsheet has me ahead because I have a fraction of a fault less (0.03). Authoritative I hope, but not official of course
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Post by Andrew_S on Aug 3, 2012 11:20:07 GMT
Actually Andyajs and Robert Waller are not too far out of the mix. Certainly an Independent win in Fleet could see Andy win the week Too much to hope for.  |
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Post by middleenglander on Aug 3, 2012 15:15:29 GMT
Lincolnshire, Lincoln East:
Pete Whitehead 4.6 + 0.1 faults, Robert Waller 9.9, Mark Senior 11.6, Andrew Teale 13.4, PhilDav76 15.3, Ianrobo 17.5, David Boothroyd 18.5
Khunanup 19.2, hempie 21.1, erlend 25.9, andyajs 27.9, Independent UKIP 28.0, Leicester Lad 31.9, Dibs 33.6
South Holland, Fleet:
Dibs 0.0, Pete Whitehead 1.8, Khunanup & PhilDav76 4.0, Independent UKIP 6.0, Robert Waller 10.0, Mark Senior 14.0
Leicester Lad 16.0, hempie & Ianrobo 20.0, Andrew Teale 28.0, andyajs 18.0+10, erlend 20.0+10, David Boothroyd 42.8
South Holland, Long Sutton:
hempie 1.1, Pete Whitehead 3.3, Andrew Teale 7.1, Dibs & erlend 8.9, Khunanup & PhilDav76 10.9
Robert Waller 14.9, andyajs, Ianrobo & Mark Senior 18.9, Independent UKIP & Leicester Lad 13.1+10, David Boothroyd 26.5
Vale of Glamorgan, Buttrills:
Independent UKIP 17.7+10, Khunanup 18.5+10, Leicester Lad 19.0+10, erlend 23.0+10, andyajs 24.5+10, Dibs 25.7+10, Andrew Teale & Robert Waller 29.0+10
PhilDav76 33.0+10, hempie 35.0+10, Pete Whitehead 36.8+10, Mark Senior 37.0+10, David Boothroyd 37.3+10, Ianrobo 46.5+10
Wealdon, Polegate North:
andyajs 19.6, Dibs 22.3, Khunanup 25.9, Andrew Teale 27.6, erlend 32.9, Robert Waller 27.3+10, Leicester Lad 29.2+10, Independent UKIP 39.3
Pete Whitehead 33.8+10, PhilDav76 37.7+10, hempie 41.0+10, Mark Senior 47.7+10, Ianrobo 57.7+10, David Boothroyd 72.4+10
Lincoln East is marginally different to last night as the Labour vote was 565 and not 563 as initially reported.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
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Post by The Bishop on Aug 3, 2012 15:35:42 GMT
Leicester East is marginally different to last night as the Labour vote was 565 and not 563 as initially reported Marginally different in a certain other respect as well, I think  |
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Post by middleenglander on Aug 3, 2012 15:38:26 GMT
For the first week of August it looks like:
88.5 Khunanup
100.3 Pete Whitehead
100.5 Dibs
111.1 Robert Waller
115.1 Andrew Teale
120.9 PhilDav76
124.1 Independent UKIP
128.9 andyajs
130.7 erlend
138.1 hempie
139.1 Leicester Lad
149.1 Mark Senior
180.5 Ianrobo
217.4 David Boothroyd
Objections please by 8.00 pm Saturday.
No contests next week but 2 on 16th August. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 on BST that day.
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Post by middleenglander on Aug 3, 2012 15:40:20 GMT
Leicester East is marginally different to last night as the Labour vote was 565 and not 563 as initially reported Marginally different in a certain other respect as well, I think Oops, now corrected. |
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 12,005
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Post by Khunanup on Aug 3, 2012 23:28:08 GMT
Congratulations to Khunanup on a very good performance this week and also to Dibs for getting a perfect score in South Holland, Fleet (well 0.04 faults to be precise but 0 after rounding) which I think is a first. Lincolnshire has been good to me this week - the south coasts of England and Wales less so Cheers Pete. on't worry, I'm sure I'll balls it up before the end of the month! Have to say, I was surprised how many were going for an Indy win in Polegate. People don't vote for Indys in that part of the world, they vote for Shings. This is also next to Eastbourne and in Lewes constituency so would have had the full local Lib Dem machine. |
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Post by marksenior on Aug 4, 2012 9:50:36 GMT
Congratulations to Khunanup on a very good performance this week and also to Dibs for getting a perfect score in South Holland, Fleet (well 0.04 faults to be precise but 0 after rounding) which I think is a first. Lincolnshire has been good to me this week - the south coasts of England and Wales less so Cheers Pete. on't worry, I'm sure I'll balls it up before the end of the month! Have to say, I was surprised how many were going for an Indy win in Polegate. People don't vote for Indys in that part of the world, they vote for Shings. This is also next to Eastbourne and in Lewes constituency so would have had the full local Lib Dem machine. Agree with that but I had no inside information as to which candidate ( if any ) the Shings were backing . I guess they did not back any specific candidate . |
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Post by Andrew_S on Aug 4, 2012 12:49:22 GMT
Cheers Pete. on't worry, I'm sure I'll balls it up before the end of the month! Have to say, I was surprised how many were going for an Indy win in Polegate. People don't vote for Indys in that part of the world, they vote for Shings. This is also next to Eastbourne and in Lewes constituency so would have had the full local Lib Dem machine. Agree with that but I had no inside information as to which candidate ( if any ) the Shings were backing . I guess they did not back any specific candidate . I couldn't decide who to put first in Polegate and in the end it was the fact that Eastbourne was one of only 3 LD gains from Con in 2010 that made me put the LDs first. |
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Post by erlend on Aug 15, 2012 19:37:50 GMT
Central Bedfordshire - Stotfold & Langford
Con 50.0. Lab20, LD 17.5, UKIP 12.5
Tendring
RA 65, Con 35
Thanks to Robert Waller for correction.
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Post by Robert Waller on Aug 15, 2012 20:56:55 GMT
Think you mean LD 17.5 in Bedordshire, erlend ...
My predictions
Central Bedfordshire - Stotfold & Langford
Con 50, Lab 25, LD 15, UKIP 10
Tendring
RA 79, Con 21
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