End of Year Prediction Competition

[middleenglander]

Norwich, Crome:
David Boothroyd 12.1 faults, Pete Whitehead 16.5, hempie 18.6, greatkingrat & PhilDav76 21.9, tonyotim 22.3, Mark Senior 24.6, Just Looking 27.4, Robert Waller 27.9, strinity 30.9, Andrew Teale 31.9, Khunanup 40.6
Norwich, Nelson:
Pete Whitehead 5.4 faults, Khunanup 6.0, PhilDav 7.2, greatkingrat 7.4, tonyotim 9.8, Andrew Teale, 11.2, hempie 11.4, strinity 11.8, Robert Waller 13.4, Mark Senior 14.0, David Boothroyd 16.2, Just Looking 22.0
Spelthorne, Sunbury Common:
Pete Whitehead 16.8 faults, Mark Senior 19.6, hempie & PhilDav76 19.9, Just Looking 15.1+6, Robert Waller 21.9, Khunanup 23.2, tonyotim 25.9, strinity 26.5, Andrew Teale 27.9, greatkingrat 35.9, David Boothroyd 40.6

and for 19th December contests:
Pete Whitehead 38.7 faults, PhilDav76 49.1, hempie 49.9, tonyotim 58.1, Mark Senior 58.2, Robert Waller 63.2, greatkingrat 65.2, David Boothroyd 68.9, strinity 69.3, Khunanup 69.7, Just Looking 64.5+6, Andrew Teale 71.1

whilst with today's 2 contests to come:

267.3 Pete Whitehead
329.9 PhilDav76
334.5 greatkingrat
371.2 strinity
382.1 Robert Waller

390.4 Mark Senior
400.9 Andrew Teale
406.3 tonyotim
430.1 David Boothroyd
436.3 Khunanup

458.3 hempie
512.9 Just Looking

Both David Boothroyd and Khunanup have been pulled up with 2 fences to go whilst a loose horse Dibs from a previous race has re-entered the course as we approach the final two fences.

[Tony Otim]

Congratulations to Pete on the day- I'm not sure whether it's mathematically possible for him to be beaten now, but it's surely very unlikely.

This might be my last prediction competition for a few months and I'd hoped to go out on a higher note, but there goes...

[Philip Davies]

Not bad considering I did my predicitions at 2am after my works xmas do the worse for wear. I had earlier done a more detailed analysis but forgot to PM the figures to ME and left the data at work and was off yesterday. I haven't revised my UKIP predictions though so that might show up following their candidate's revelations.

[Pete Whitehead]

Phil's predictions in Kent are very different to mine, but I calculated that if he is spot on he will (obviously) get 0 faults and I would get about 75 so it is just about possible (also I suppose if UKIP do even better than he is predicting). Gkr's predictions are similar to mine so there is I think only a technical possibility of Phil beating me

[middleenglander]

10 of the 14 initial starters are still in the race, with Dibs joining for the last 2 but carrying a 1,400 fault penalty.

100% unanimity of a Conservative hold in both Gravesham, Meopham North and Kent, Gravesham North.

The only person who can now beat Pete Whitehead is indeed PhilDav76 who, if spot on for both contests, would be win by some 11.0 faults, overhauling a current lead of 62.6.

[andrewteale]

GRAVESHAM RURAL: C 48 UKIP 23 Lab 21 LD 8
MEOPHAM NORTH: C 52 UKIP 25 Lab 16 LD 7

[middleenglander]

Gravesham, Meopham North:
Andrew Teale 8.5 faults, Pete Whitehead 18.9, greatkingrat & Robert Waller 21.4, Mark Senior 22.6, hempie 23.2, tonyotim 26.6, PhilDav76 29.4, Dibs 31.4, strinity 32.2, Just Looking 52.5
Kent, Gravesham Rural
greatkingrat 18.4 faults, Dibs 20.4, strinity & tonyotim 22.4, Mark Senior 24.4, Pete Whitehead 25.4, Andrew Teale 26.7, hempie 30.4, PhilDav76 34.0, Robert Waller 34.4, Just Looking 46.4

and for the 20th December:
Andrew Teale 35.2, greatkingrat 39.7, Pete Whitehead 44.2, Mark Senior 47.0, tonyotim 48.9, Dibs 51.8, hempie 53.6, strinity 54.6, Robert Waller 55.7, PhilDav76 63.5, Just Looking 98.8

And the result of the last contest in 2012:

311.5 Pete Whitehead
374.2 greatkingrat
393.4 PhilDav76
425.7 strinity
436.1 Andrew Teale

437.4 Mark Senior
437.8 Robert Waller
455.2 tonyotim
511.9 hempie
611.7 Just Looking

Objections by 5.00 pm Saturday please.

We now have our break into the New Year before deciding how to play the next three months.

Merry Christmas to all the present and past contestants along with all the lurkers.

[Tony Otim]

Congratulations to Pete who has been consistently the best all contest this time round. Well done!

[Pete Whitehead]

Thanks Tony. It's nice to have succesfull defended the title from the previous month as I don't think that has been done before but am not sure if records have been kept from the previous site

[Tony Otim]

I'm sure somebody - Dizz? - did it on the old site, but it's still an impressive achievement.

[Pete Whitehead]

Yes Dizz probably did. Its a shame he doesn't participate anymore and only makes very occasional forays onto this site

[marksenior]

A comprehensive victory for Pete this month , very well done .

[hempie]

Well done Pete - consistently impressive this year!

[middleenglander]

Dec 21, 2012 11:54:53 GMT middleenglander said:

Gravesham, Meopham North:
Andrew Teale 8.5 faults, Pete Whitehead 18.9, greatkingrat & Robert Waller 21.4, Mark Senior 22.6, hempie 23.2, tonyotim 26.6, PhilDav76 29.4, Dibs 31.4, strinity 32.2, Just Looking 52.5
Kent, Gravesham Rural
greatkingrat 18.4 faults, Dibs 20.4, strinity & tonyotim 22.4, Mark Senior 24.4, Pete Whitehead 25.4, Andrew Teale 26.7, hempie 30.4, PhilDav76 34.0, Robert Waller 34.4, Just Looking 46.4

and for the 20th December:
Andrew Teale 35.2, greatkingrat 39.7, Pete Whitehead 44.2, Mark Senior 47.0, tonyotim 48.9, Dibs 51.8, hempie 53.6, strinity 54.6, Robert Waller 55.7, PhilDav76 63.5, Just Looking 98.8

And the result of the last contest in 2012:

311.5 Pete Whitehead
374.2 greatkingrat
393.4 PhilDav76
425.7 strinity
436.1 Andrew Teale

437.4 Mark Senior
437.8 Robert Waller
455.2 tonyotim
511.9 hempie
611.7 Just Looking

Objections by 5.00 pm Saturday please.

We now have our break into the New Year before deciding how to play the next three months.

Merry Christmas to all the present and past contestants along with all the lurkers.

Khunanup has correctly pointed out that he did in fact make a prediction for the 2 by-elections on Thursday at the same time as he posted the ones for the 3 Wednesday contests. Apologies as I obviously had too much cooking sherry whilst making the trifle.

For the record, Khunanup's scores were: Gravesham, Meopham North 48.5 faults, Kent, Gravesham Rural 34.4 and a final score of 519.1. This puts him 10th with Just Looking dropping down to 11th.