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Post by yellowperil on Jan 29, 2018 15:59:02 GMT
Another reasonably busy February Thursday coming up on the 8th with seven more elections, 3 on the South coast of which one is in Brighton and two in Weymouth, then 3 more in Staffs including deja vu in Stretton, then going north to Eden to round off.
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Post by yellowperil on Jan 30, 2018 9:10:15 GMT
Brighton & Hove UA, East Brighton Ward
Lab resigned after election as MP
4 candidates:
Ed Baker (Green)
Nancy Platts (Lab)
George Taylor (LD)
Edward Wilson (Con)
2003 election results: Lab 1545/1451/1223, Con 1062/1017/976, LD 770/682/553, Green 623/475/396,SocLab 176
2007 election results: Lab 1539/1401/1262, Con 1000/997/931, Green 621/467/445, LD 401/400/377,BHI 257, SocLab 109
2011 election results: Lab2059/1862/1616, Green 955/825/627, Con940/826/803, LD 323/218,TUSC 142
2015 election results: Lab 3229/3225/2918, Con 1563/1510/1416,Green 1357/1021/855,LD 546, TUSC 255
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Post by yellowperil on Jan 30, 2018 10:02:11 GMT
I realise a committed a cardinal sin above when I referred to the two Dorset by elections as coming from Weymouth. They are indeed from Weymouth and Portland DC but I should have guessed from the names of the wards that they would be on the island. Portland has in fact three wards imaginatively named Underhill, Tophill West and Tophill East, so on Feb 8th two-thirds of this determinedly independent-minded (though not necessarily Independent-minded) island is going to the polls.
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Post by yellowperil on Jan 30, 2018 10:20:35 GMT
Weymouth and Portland BC, Tophill East Ward
Independent resigned
3 candidates:
Becky Suzanne Blake (Lab)
Katharine Garcia (Con)
Sara Ann Hartley (Green)
2004 election results (2): Ind 492/363/335, Lab 181/97, Con 175
2006 election results: Ind 235, Con 198, Ind 150, LD 149, Lab 126
2007 election results: Ind 369, Ind 252, UKIP 126, Lab 113
2010 election results: Ind 657, Con 652, Lab 488
2011 election results: Ind 517, Con 374, Lab 225
2014 election results: Ind 523, UKIP 225, Lab 209, Con 169,Green 54
2015 election results: Ind 574, Con 506, Lab 383, Green 210
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Post by yellowperil on Jan 30, 2018 10:45:44 GMT
Weymouth & Portland BC, Tophill West Ward
Con resigned
3 candidates:
Kerry Baker (Con)
Giovanna Elizabeth Lewis (Lab)
Carole Anne Timmons (Green)
2004 election results (3): Ind 946/412/249, Con 527/302, Lab 338/270/255
2006 election results: Ind 367, Con 254, Ind 236, Lab 196, Ind 191
2007 election results: Con 726, Lab 355
2008 election results: Con 518, Ind 332, Lab 214
2010 election results: Con 768, Lab 600, Ind 471, LD 453, Ind 239
2011 election results: Con 810, Lab 749
2012 election results: Lab 394, Ind 315, Con 298, UPP 72
2014 election results: Lab 426, Con 346,LD 268, Green 245
2015 election results: Con 606, Lab 561, UKIP 520, Ind 327, Ind 252, Green 166
2016 election results: Lab 641, Con 429
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Post by Merseymike on Jan 30, 2018 13:56:47 GMT
Could be intetesting given the lack of Independents
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Post by yellowperil on Jan 30, 2018 15:51:34 GMT
Could be intetesting given the lack of Independents which party hack can make the most convincing case to be really independent? |
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Post by Merseymike on Jan 30, 2018 15:57:43 GMT
None. Where the Greens have won it's with very well run focused local campaigns rather than appearing to be independent.
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Post by yellowperil on Jan 30, 2018 16:02:56 GMT
None. Where the Greens have won it's with very well run focused local campaigns rather than appearing to be independent. Yes, my reply above was just being deeply cynical. In fact I would say in both the Portland seats there is all to play for with a really committed campaign from any quarter. |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Jan 30, 2018 16:10:40 GMT
The way i read this is May locals was a low point for Labour since then theyve increased their vote nationally by 10 and 13 in the South West
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Post by yellowperil on Jan 30, 2018 16:36:19 GMT
East Staffordshire BC Stretton Ward
Conservative (first elected Sept 2017) resigned
5 Candidates:
Rhys Arthur David Buchan (LD)
Vicki Gould (Con)
Graham Herbert Lamb (Ind-Save Our Stretton)
Peter William John Levis (UKIP)
Elaine Pritchard (Lab)
2003 election results: Con 1369/1262/1009, Lab 900/883/793, LD 725/651
2007 election results: Con 1261/1221/1059, Lab 717/536/496, Pop All 621
2011 election results: Con 1489/1364/1337, Lab 1008/759/723, Pop All 495
2015 election results: Con 2084/2078/2972, UKIP 1279/778, Lab 910/784/707, Green 354
Sept 2017 by-election: Con 762, Ind SOS 455,Lab 311, UKIP 52, LD 36
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Post by yellowperil on Jan 31, 2018 9:25:03 GMT
South Staffordshire DC Codsall South Ward
Conservative died
3 candidates:
Kevin David McElduff (Lab)
Ian Leonard Sadler (Green)
Bob Spencer (Con)
2003 elections Cons returned unopp.
2007 election results:Con 862/856, UKIP 286, Lab 197
2011 election results: Con 1019/909, UKIP 377, Lab 254/204
2015 elections Cons returned unopp.
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Post by yellowperil on Jan 31, 2018 11:31:08 GMT
Staffordshire CC Codsall Division
Conservative died
3 candidates:
Gary Burnett (Green)
Kevin David McElduff (Lab)
Bob Spencer (Con)
2005 election results: Con 3098,Lab 1317,LD 708
2009 election results: Con 1864,UKIP 1208,LD 402,Lab 376
2013 election results: Con 1585, UKIP 831, Lab 466
2017 election results: Con 2237, Lab 439,Green 332
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Post by Merseymike on Jan 31, 2018 11:51:35 GMT
Codsall is very safe Tory territory. Traditional Tory and nouveaux riche. Even stayed Tory in 1995.
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,036
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Post by Sibboleth on Jan 31, 2018 11:55:29 GMT
Where did Enoch Powell's voters end up you ask? Well...
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
Posts: 11,823 
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Post by timmullen1 on Jan 31, 2018 12:45:22 GMT
Part of Powell's constituency is now in the S Staffs district I think but pretty sure Codsall was never included. I seem to recall that oddly Tettenhall was not a part of his constituency, but perhaps Pete David or another expert could confirm or deny that. According to Wolverhampton SW’s Wiki page these are the parishes that have made up the Constituency since it’s creation in 1950: 1950–1955: The County Borough of Wolverhampton wards of Blakenhall and St John's, Graiseley, Penn, St George's, St Mark's and Merridale, St Matthew's, and St Philip's. 1955–1974: As above plus Park. 1974–1983: The County Borough of Wolverhampton wards of Graiseley, Merry Hill, Park, Penn, St Peter's, Tettenhall Regis, and Tettenhall Wightwick. 1983–2010: The Metropolitan Borough wards as named above 2010–present: The City of Wolverhampton wards as named above |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
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Post by Sibboleth on Jan 31, 2018 12:59:13 GMT
Part of Powell's constituency is now in the S Staffs district I think but pretty sure Codsall was never included. I seem to recall that oddly Tettenhall was not a part of his constituency, but perhaps Pete David or another expert could confirm or deny that. That's right, none of those areas were ever represented by him. But many of the families that live in them now were... |
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,746
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Post by Chris from Brum on Jan 31, 2018 13:00:29 GMT
Part of Powell's constituency is now in the S Staffs district I think but pretty sure Codsall was never included. I seem to recall that oddly Tettenhall was not a part of his constituency, but perhaps Pete David or another expert could confirm or deny that. According to Wolverhampton SW’s Wiki page these are the parishes that have made up the Constituency since it’s creation in 1950: 1950–1955: The County Borough of Wolverhampton wards of Blakenhall and St John's, Graiseley, Penn, St George's, St Mark's and Merridale, St Matthew's, and St Philip's. 1955–1974: As above plus Park. 1974–1983: The County Borough of Wolverhampton wards of Graiseley, Merry Hill, Park, Penn, St Peter's, Tettenhall Regis, and Tettenhall Wightwick. 1983–2010: The Metropolitan Borough wards as named above 2010–present: The City of Wolverhampton wards as named above My grandparents used to live in Penn Fields, and probably voted for Powell, and for Nick Budgen after that. I don't think any part of the historic constituency has been pushed into S Staffs, if anything the reverse. From the above, Tettenhall did not become part of the constituency until Powell had gone. |
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Post by yellowperil on Jan 31, 2018 13:00:37 GMT
Eden DC Hartside Ward
Conservative died
3 candidates:
Susan Jane Castle -Clarke (Ind)
Richard Gordon Henry (Green)
Robin Leonard Orchard (Conservative)
2003: Conservative unopposed
2007: Conservative unopposed
2011: conservative unopposed
2015 election results: Con 438, Ind 334
note : The conservative candidate in 2007,2011 and 2015 was Sheila Orchard. The Independent candidate in 2015 was Susan Jane Castle-Clarke.
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Post by yellowperil on Jan 31, 2018 13:28:35 GMT
Worth perhaps commenting on the Con/Ind battle on Eden Council (I was tempted to write in the Garden of Eden as its quite a tale of loss of innocence!):
There has been a steady drift from Indy majority to Conservative majority. In 2003 there were 28 Indies, 5 Tories and 4 LibDems. Four years later it was 19/14/5.By 2011 the Conservatives were the largest party, with 16 to 13 Indies and 9 LibDems. By 2015 the Conservatives had control with 21 to 10 Independents and 7 LDs.
Back in 2003 the only outright Tory ward was Hartside (their other 4 members had a share of 2-member wards). It would be remarkable if the Indies could start to row back from here. Difficult to know what the intervention of a Green could do to that dynamic? Paradise Regained?
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