Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813 
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 22, 2018 14:34:46 GMT
First real projection by ORF/SORA:
38.5 ÖVP
19.4 SPÖ
18.8 FPÖ
09.8 GREENS
06.9 NEOS
04.6 FPS
01.5 SBG
00.5 others
|
|
mazuz
Conservative
Posts: 155
|
Post by mazuz on Apr 22, 2018 14:57:10 GMT
Seems like this will be an amazing result. A shift of more than 10% towards FPÖVP from SPÖ-Greens, partly because the national FPÖVP government is doing such a great job.
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 22, 2018 15:19:35 GMT
Seems like this will be an amazing result. A shift of more than 10% towards FPÖVP from SPÖ-Greens, partly because the national FPÖVP government is doing such a great job. Yes, FPÖ and especially FPS did surprisingly well. |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 22, 2018 15:22:55 GMT
SPÖ's Steidl was far away from being exciting; yet, i expected SPÖ to gain as they did in the other 3 regions.
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 22, 2018 18:03:38 GMT
Innsbruck:
mayor:
30.88 GREENS
24.28 FI (ÖVP-splinter)
21.17 FPÖ
09.12 ÖVP
06.98 SPÖ
02.63 NEOS
02.33 Fair
02.16 "Fritz" (=Dinkhauser)
00.43 PIRATES
Despite a strong result for the GREENS' Mr.Willi, the broad majority of 55% for FI&FPÖ&ÖVP should be enough for the FI-incumbent.
CityCouncil:
24.16 GREENS
18.56 FPÖ
16.15 FI
12.17 ÖVP
10.30 SPÖ
04.73 NEOS
03.23 Dinkhauser
...
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 22, 2018 19:31:09 GMT
Salzburg (final result minus fewhundred votes, which will be counted next week):
64.9 -6.0 Participation
37.8 +8.8 ÖVP
20.0 -3.8 SPÖ
18.8 +1.8 FPÖ
09.3-10.9 GREENS
07.3 *7.3 NEOS
04.5 *4.5 FPS
01.7 *1.7 SBG
00.4 +0.1 KPÖ
00.1 *0.1 CPÖ (Christians)
The GREENS' DeputyPM Mrs.Rössler - a sympathic woman - has announced to step down (or at least she will offer her retreat to the party).
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 22, 2018 20:29:06 GMT
My guess for Salzburg was awful, as last time (Carinthia): Totally i missed the OutCome of all 7 major parties by 17.7%, that's 2.5% per party.
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 22, 2018 21:51:02 GMT
You can find an "exit-poll" (realiter conducted telephonically [n=~1.200] on April 19-22) at www.sora.atRemarkable is, that among those below 30 years (n=133) SORA distributes 28% to SPÖ (probably many exGREENies), whereas among the pensionists (totally n=274) SPÖ would have received only their average of 20% (ÖVP 50%), what would be very unusual in Austria. |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 23, 2018 14:01:56 GMT
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 23, 2018 14:10:06 GMT
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 23, 2018 14:57:56 GMT
VoteStreams according to the StatisticalOffice Salzburg:  |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 23, 2018 15:02:58 GMT
Once again the VoteStreams of SORA (this time graphically, for a better comparison):  (compared to LTW 2013) Compared to NRW 2017:  |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 23, 2018 15:33:04 GMT
Institut for WahlForschung:   |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 23, 2018 15:34:15 GMT
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 26, 2018 10:35:58 GMT
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 26, 2018 10:40:49 GMT
Changes 2013-2018: Participation:  ÖVP:  SPÖ:  GREENS:  NEOS:  FPÖ:  FPS:  SBG:  |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on May 2, 2018 6:16:20 GMT
Comparison LandTag-election 1954-2018: Electorate (expectably a rise of the SubUrbs):  Participation:  Overall majorities:  Relative majorities:  ÖVP:  SPÖ:  FPÖ (not longer so outstandingly stronger in the wealthy suburbs):  KPÖ (well, not so useful):  |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on May 2, 2018 9:09:10 GMT
Epilogue to Innsbruck:  |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on May 5, 2018 8:30:19 GMT
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,813
|
Post by Georg Ebner on May 6, 2018 13:22:39 GMT
Innsbruck's mayor will be elected today.
Unsurprisingly ÖVP and FPÖ have endorsed indirectly the incumbent, Mrs.OppitzPlörer (FI), what makes her the clear favourite (my guess: 55%). But she has led a coalition of FI+SPÖ+GREENS (later joined by ÖVP), so it cannot be ruled out, that enough FPÖ-voters stay at home for enabling Austria's first GREEN-mayor (Mr.Willi).
The city won't present partial results, the total one will be announced at ~19.00/30 MET.
|
|
