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Post by Robert Waller on Oct 25, 2017 23:55:14 GMT
Charnwood, Loughborough Hastings: Lab 62, Con 28, UKIP 6, Green 4
Derbyshire Dales, Ashbourne South: Con 60, Lab 20, LD 20
Herefordshire, Kings Acre: IOCH 40, Con 20, LD 20, Lab 10, Ind 10
Kirklees, Batley East: Lab 69, Con 12, LD 5, Ind 12, Green 2
Mid Sussex, East Grinstead Imberhorne: Con 56, LD 23, Lab 14, Ind 7
Tameside, Droylsden East: Lab 69, Con 20, LD 8, Green 3
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 26, 2017 0:27:08 GMT
CHARNWOOD Loughborough Hastings (2): Lab 56, C 35, UKIP 5, GP 4
DERBYSHIRE DALES Ashbourne South: C 50, Lab 36, L Dem 14
HEREFORDSHIRE Kings Acre: IOC 32, C 29, L Dem 20, Lab 10, Ind 9
KIRKLEES Batley East: Lab 64, Ind 13, C 12, L Dem 7, GP 4
MID SUSSEX East Grinstead Imberhorne: C 55, L Dem 25, Lab 15, Ind 5
TAMESIDE Droylsden East: Lab 62, C 26, GP 8, L Dem 4
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Post by yellowperil on Oct 26, 2017 3:00:18 GMT
Charnwood, Loughborogh Hastings: Lab 60, Con 30, UKIP 5. Green 5
Derbyshire Dales, Ashbourne South: Con 52, Lab 28, LD 20
Herefordshire, Kings Acre: IOCH 39, LD 22, Con 20,Lab 10, Ind 9
Kirklees, Batley East: Lab 65, Con 12, LD 10, LIHWD 9,Green 4
Mid Sussex, East Grinstead Imberhorne: Con 52, LD 28, Lab 12, Ind 8
Tameside, Droylsden East: Lab 70, Con 21, LD 5, Green 4
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Post by middleenglander on Oct 26, 2017 14:28:33 GMT
8 entries again this week , all tickety boo.
Charnwood, Loughborough Hastings: 100% Labour holds, average majority over Conservative from 2% (WilliamHone) to 34% (Robert Waller)
Derbyshire Dales, Ashbourne South: 7 Conservative hold, majority over Labour from 14% (David Boothroyd) to 40% (Robert Waller), WilliamHone Labour gain
Herefordshire, Kings Acre: 100% Its Our County hold, majority from 3% (David Boothroyd over Conservative) to 20% (greenrobinhood & Robert Waller)
Kirklees, Batley East: 100% Labour hold, majority from 45% (WilliamHone over Conservative) to 60 (Lancastrian also over Conservative)
Mid Sussex, East Grinstead Imberhorne: 100% Conservative hold, majority over Liberal Democrat from 3% (Lancastrian & WilliamHone) to 33% (Robert Waller)
Tameside, Droylsden East: 100% Labour hold, majority over Conservative from 30% (WilliamHone) to 56% (andrewp)
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Post by samdwebber on Oct 26, 2017 21:10:18 GMT
Predictions of sorts in this article I have written up with a colleague on PoliticsHome. Please do read, retweet and comment on it. We will shortly find out if we have played it far too safe with our modest predictions!
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Post by Robert Waller on Oct 27, 2017 9:17:26 GMT
By my rough count, awaiting Batley, I think David Boothroyd may be leading for the week.
I think Hempie has roughly maintained his lead for the month with a similar margin, and that the only way I could overtake him is if the Independent (Heavy Woollen District) does well!
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Post by Robert Waller on Oct 27, 2017 11:12:21 GMT
Congrats to hempie (and his pin!)
But I did predict that ....
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Post by yellowperil on Oct 27, 2017 12:12:03 GMT
Excellent predicting, Robert! I wonder where hempie keeps that magic pin?
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Post by yellowperil on Oct 27, 2017 12:29:08 GMT
btw, there seems to be a couple of minor errors in indicating the winners on individual elections- -on Herefordshire where we all got it so badly wrong, I believe David was least bad, and similarly I think I sort-of won Derbyshire Dales, but the emboldened numbers seems to say otherwise. Oh and I think more emphatically GreenRH won Droylsden.
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Post by middleenglander on Oct 27, 2017 16:10:47 GMT
For week 4| Authority | Charnwood | Derbyshire
Dales | Herefordshire | Kirklees | Mid Sussex | Tameside | Week 4 | Week 4 | Ward | Loughborough
Hastings | Ashbourne
South | Kings Acre | Batley East
| East Grinstead
Imberhorne
| Droylsden East
| faults
| position
| andrewp | 19.6
| 30.4
| 61.3+10
| 16.0
| 25.0
| 33.4
| 195.7
| 6th
| David Boothroyd | 26.3
| 34.4
| 42.2+10
| 27.8
| 11.5
| 13.4
| 165.6
| 4th
| greenrobinhood | 25.7
| 30.4
| 57.3+10
| 18.0
| 17.0
| 5.4
| 163.8
| 3rd
| hempie | 21.0
| 30.4
| 52.2+10
| 12.1
| 15.6
| 15.4
| 156.7
| 1st
| Lancastrian | 19.7
| 32.4
| 43.3+10
| 12.0
| 46.8
| 35.4
| 199.6
| 7th
| Robert Waller | 12.3
| 27.6
| 58.2+10
| 17.9
| 5.5
| 26.2
| 157.7
| 2nd
| WilliamHone | 44.3
| 44.8+10
| 78.2+10
| 24.0
| 39.4
| 6.1
| 256.7
| 8th
| Yellow Peril | 16.3
| 22.4
| 60.2+10
| 25.8
| 13.0
| 23.4
| 171.1
| 5th
| Total faults | 185.0
| 252.6+10
| 453.1+80
| 153.8
| 173.9
| 158.8
| 1,466.9
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| kingsepron
| 100
| 100
| 100
| 100
| 100
| 100 | 600 |
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and in summary for the month:
| Weeks 1 to 3
faults | Week 4
faults
| Month
faults | Month
position | hempie
| 495.1
| 156.7
| 651.8
| 1st
| Robert Waller
| 501.5 | 157.7 | 659.2
| 2nd
| David Boothroyd | 547.3 | 165.6
| 712.9
| 3rd
| greenrobinhood | 580.3
| 163.8
| 744.1
| 4th
| Yellow Peril | 644.3 | 171.1
| 815.4
| 5th
| Lancastrian | 655.9
| 199.6
| 855.5
| 6th
| WilliamHone
| 1,120.5
| 256.7
| 1,377.2
| 7th
| kingsepron | 1,292.3 | 600
| 1,892.3 | 8th
| andrewp
| 1,797.5
| 195.7
| 1,993.2
| 9th
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Objections please by noon Sunday. New thread for November competition.
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