Post by David Boothroyd on Oct 26, 2017 0:27:08 GMT
CHARNWOOD Loughborough Hastings (2): Lab 56, C 35, UKIP 5, GP 4 DERBYSHIRE DALES Ashbourne South: C 50, Lab 36, L Dem 14 HEREFORDSHIRE Kings Acre: IOC 32, C 29, L Dem 20, Lab 10, Ind 9 KIRKLEES Batley East: Lab 64, Ind 13, C 12, L Dem 7, GP 4 MID SUSSEX East Grinstead Imberhorne: C 55, L Dem 25, Lab 15, Ind 5 TAMESIDE Droylsden East: Lab 62, C 26, GP 8, L Dem 4
Post by middleenglander on Oct 26, 2017 14:28:33 GMT
8 entries again this week , all tickety boo.
Charnwood, Loughborough Hastings: 100% Labour holds, average majority over Conservative from 2% (WilliamHone) to 34% (Robert Waller) Derbyshire Dales, Ashbourne South: 7 Conservative hold, majority over Labour from 14% (David Boothroyd) to 40% (Robert Waller), WilliamHone Labour gain Herefordshire, Kings Acre: 100% Its Our County hold, majority from 3% (David Boothroyd over Conservative) to 20% (greenrobinhood & Robert Waller) Kirklees, Batley East: 100% Labour hold, majority from 45% (WilliamHone over Conservative) to 60 (Lancastrian also over Conservative) Mid Sussex, East Grinstead Imberhorne: 100% Conservative hold, majority over Liberal Democrat from 3% (Lancastrian & WilliamHone) to 33% (Robert Waller) Tameside, Droylsden East: 100% Labour hold, majority over Conservative from 30% (WilliamHone) to 56% (andrewp)
Predictions of sorts in this article I have written up with a colleague on PoliticsHome. Please do read, retweet and comment on it. We will shortly find out if we have played it far too safe with our modest predictions!
By my rough count, awaiting Batley, I think David Boothroyd may be leading for the week. I think Hempie has roughly maintained his lead for the month with a similar margin, and that the only way I could overtake him is if the Independent (Heavy Woollen District) does well!
btw, there seems to be a couple of minor errors in indicating the winners on individual elections- -on Herefordshire where we all got it so badly wrong, I believe David was least bad, and similarly I think I sort-of won Derbyshire Dales, but the emboldened numbers seems to say otherwise. Oh and I think more emphatically GreenRH won Droylsden.