CatholicLeft
Labour
2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
Posts: 6,729
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Post by CatholicLeft on Sept 12, 2017 10:57:58 GMT
51 SNP supporters transferred to the BUSP? Interesting. Not altogether surprising that a small number of SDP voters would prefer any other candidate to Labour? Would not have been that surprising if that was true of a lot more than 51 ? If the "SDP" are still transferring to anyone, I'd be stunned. |
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Post by yellowperil on Sept 12, 2017 14:56:26 GMT
51 SNP supporters transferred to the BUSP? Interesting. Not altogether surprising that a small number of SNP voters would prefer any other candidate to Labour? Would not have been that surprising if that was true of a lot more than 51 ? |
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Post by yellowperil on Sept 12, 2017 15:00:40 GMT
Not altogether surprising that a small number of SDP voters would prefer any other candidate to Labour? Would not have been that surprising if that was true of a lot more than 51 ? If the "SDP" are still transferring to anyone, I'd be stunned. Freudian slip! and the SNP haven't gone the way of the SDP...yet |
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piperdave
SNP
Dalkeith; Midlothian/North & Musselburgh
Posts: 911
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Post by piperdave on Sept 12, 2017 20:46:37 GMT
Why do they record transfers from BUSP to Labour? It's undoubtedly interesting, but it isn't really relevant is it? Surely they can't have checked that just for psephological value, can they? Because the legislation is worded stupidly, requiring votes to continue to be transferred until the winning candidate has reached the original quota, regardless of whether the winning candidate has or has not already got more votes than all other candidates combined (including non-transferable). In other words, the legislation doesn't take into account the effect of the fact that some votes are non-trnsferable. Returning Officers in Scotland sometimes ignore this technicality, and stop the count as soon as it got to the last two candidates. In this case, the publication of multiple zeroes after the decimal point implies that the count has been done by machine instead of people, i.e. that commonsense has not been applied. I take the general point about the wording of the rules, but in defence of the RO for North Lanarkshire, he doesn't actually have to do anything extra to get that final set of transfer details if it is an electronic count. The e-counting system produces that data anyway. And in respect of a manual count, the ROs aren't ignoring the rule. There is a modification in rule 55 so that the count can be concluded at the point when only one candidate can actually be elected. |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Sept 12, 2017 21:31:52 GMT
I don't think the rules provide for recalculating the quota due to non-transferrable ballots.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,952
Member is Online
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Post by The Bishop on Sept 14, 2017 16:07:03 GMT
I don't think that middleenglander has produced their usual summaries for last week's results? Understandable given there were so many, but still a pity. |
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Post by Robert Waller on Sept 14, 2017 17:39:34 GMT
Middleenglander said he'd be very busy with other matters this month, I believe.
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 19, 2017 19:08:24 GMT
Babergh, Sudbury South - Labour gain from Conservative| Party | 2017 votes | 2017 share | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | since 2011 "top" | since 2011 "average" | | Labour | 336 | 42.7% | +20.4% | +19.7% | +17.7% | +15.8% | Conservative | 335 | 42.6% | +11.0% | +13.2% | +15.0% | +13.0% | Liberal Democrat | 116 | 14.7% | +3.6% | +3.1% | -23.0% | -19.2% | UKIP |
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| -15.3% | -16.7% | -9.8% | -9.6% | Green |
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| -11.0% | -9.8% |
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| Independent |
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| -8.7% | -9.4% |
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| Total votes | 787 |
| 33% | 36% | 58% | 63% |
Swing Conservative to Labour 4¾% / 3¼% since 2015 and, less meaningful, 1¼% / 1½% since 2011 Council now 28 Conservative, 8 Independent, 3 Liberal Democrat, 2 Labour, 2 Independent Conservative Cannock Chase, Hednesford Green Heath - Labour gain from Conservative
| Party | 2017 votes | 2017 share | since 2015 | since 2014 | since 2011 | since 2010 | Labour | 359 | 43.9% | +11.1% | +1.0% | -0.3% | +8.0% | Conservative | 301 | 36.8% | -3.7% | +13.6% | +3.0% | +1.1% | Green | 86 | 10.5% | +7.4% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Chase Independent | 42 | 5.1% | -0.2% | -1.2% | -7.1% | from nowhere | UKIP | 29 | 3.5% | -14.7% | -23.9% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Liberal Democrat |
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| -9.6% | -20.1% | BNP |
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| -8.2% | Total votes | 817 |
| 32% | 67% | 62% | 32% |
Swing Conservative to Labour 7½% since 2015 and 3½% since 2010 but Labour to Conservative 6¼% since 2014 and 1½% since 2012 Council now 21 Labour, 13 Conservative, 3 Independent, 2 Green, 1 Liberal Democrat, 1 UKIP Cannock Chase, Hednesford South - Green gain from Conservative
| Party | 2017 votes | 2017 share | since 2016 | since 2015 | since 2012 | since 2011 | | Green | 513 | 48.3% | +5.7% | +42.1% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Conservative | 311 | 29.3% | +7.1% | -11.9% | -3.8% | -2.1% | Labour | 190 | 17.9% | -2.6% | -13.2% | -34.4% | -25.8% | UKIP | 48 | 4.5% | -10.2% | -16.9% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Chase Independent |
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| -14.6% | -7.6% | Liberal Democrat |
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| -17.4% | Total votes | 1,062 |
| 73% | 39% | 95% | 75% |
Swing Green to Conservative ¾% since 2016 otherwise not meaningful Council now 21 Labour, 13 Conservative, 3 Independent, 2 Green, 1 Liberal Democrat, 1 UKIP Colchester, Shrub End - Conservative gain from Liberal Democrat
| Party | 2017 votes | 2017 share | since 2016 "top" | since 2016 "average" | since 2015 | since 2014 | since 2012 | | Conservative | 681 | 38.6% | +19.4% | +17.1% | +3.4% | +17.9% | +8.3% | Labour | 572 | 32.4% | +20.6% | +19.1% | +15.9% | +12.7% | +12.7% | Liberal Democrat | 373 | 21.1% | -13.9% | -7.4% | -4.8% | -12.3% | -22.7% | Independent | 54 | 3.1% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | UKIP | 52 | 2.9% | -10.9% | -13.0% | -3.7% | -19.0% | from nowhere | Green | 34 | 1.9% | -5.6% | -4.2% | -14.0% | -2.0% | -4.3% | Previous Independent |
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| -12.7% | -14.7% |
| -0.4% |
| Total votes | 1,766 |
| 64% | 74% | 39% | 76% | 104% |
Swing, if meaningful, Liberal Democrat to Conservative 16½% / 12¼% since 2016, 4% since 2015, 15% since 2014 and 15½% since 2012
Council now 23 Conservative, 14 Liberal Democrat, 11 Labour, 3 Localist
Croydon, South Norwood - Labour hold
| Party | 2017 votes | 2017 share | since 2014 "top" | since 2014 "average" | since 2010 "top" | since 2010 "average" | | Labour | 1,671 | 59.0% | +7.9% | +6.2% | +15.1% | +13.1% | Conservative | 475 | 16.8% | -3.4% | -2.6% | -8.4% | -7.6% | Liberal Democrat | 388 | 13.7% | +6.7% | +7.9% | -3.0% | -4.3% | Green | 218 | 7.7% | -3.3% | -3.2% | -2.6% | +0.3% | UKIP | 78 | 2.8% | -7.9% | -8.3% | -1.1% | -1.5% | Total votes | 2,830 |
| 63% | 69% | 37% | 40% |
Swing Conservative to Labour 5¾% / 4½% since 2014 and 11¾% / 10½% since 2010
Council now 39 Labour, 29 Conservative, 2 Independent
East Cambridgeshire, Ely South - Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative
| Party | 2017 votes | 2017 share | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | since 2011 "top" | since 2011 "average" | | Liberal Democrat | 527 | 39.9% | +13.2% | +13.7% | +4.2% | +4.6% | Conservative | 411 | 31.1% | -19.7% | -21.9% | -8.8% | -8.3% | Labour | 384 | 29.0% | +6.5% | +8.1% | +15.8% | +15.6% | Green |
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| -11.2% | -11.9% | Total votes | 1,322 |
| 66% | 71% | 83% | 88% |
Swing Conservative to Liberal Democrat 16½% / 17¾% since 2015 and 6½% since 2011
Council now 35 Conservative, 3 liberal Democrat, 1 Independent
Glasgow, Cardonald - Labour hold
based on first preferences
| Party | 2017 B votes | 2017 B share | since 2017 | since 2015 B | since 2012 | | Labour | 2,614 | 48.6% | +10.8% | +15.3% | -4.8% | SNP | 1,972 | 36.7% | -6.7% | -17.5% | +5.3% | Conservative | 552 | 10.3% | -1.4% | +4.2% | +6.7% | Green | 147 | 2.7% | +0.2% | +0.0% | +0.7% | Liberal Democrat | 80 | 1.5% | -0.5% | -0.3% | +0.6% | Libertarian | 12 | 0.2% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Sheridan |
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| -1.4% |
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| -1.3% | -1.9% | -1.0% | Solidarity |
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| -5.8% | Glasgow First |
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| -1.8% | Total votes | 5,377 |
| 58% | 109% | 66% |
Swing SNP to Labour 8¾% since May an 16½% since 2015 by-election but Labour to SNP 5% since 2012
Council now 39 SNP, 31 Labour, 8 Conservative, 7 Green
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 19, 2017 22:33:11 GMT
Herefordshire, Golden Valley South - Independent gain from Conservative| Party | 2017 votes | 2017 share | since 2015 | | Independent Jinman | 462 | 42.7% | from nowhere | Conservative | 254 | 23.5% | -42.4% | Independent Baker | 154 | 14.2% | from nowhere | Green | 109 | 10.1% | -7.2% | Labour | 104 | 9.6% | from nowhere | Previous Independent |
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| -16.9% | Total votes | 1,083 |
| 52% |
Swing not meaningful Council now 28 Conservative, 10 Its Our County, 8 Independent, 3 Green, 2 Liberal Democrat, 1 Non Aligned, 1 Vacant Lancaster, Skerton West - Labour hold | Party | 2017 votes | 2017 share | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | since 2011 "top" * | | Labour | 512 | 61.5% | +24.5% | +26.5% | +23.0% | Conservative | 288 | 34.6% | +8.7% | +7.8% | +14.1% | Green | 33 | 4.0% | -5.5% | -5.6% | -11.0% | UKIP |
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| -20.4% | -21.1% |
| Independent |
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| -7.4% | -7.6% |
| Independent / Labour ** |
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| -26.1% | Total votes | 833 |
| 21% | 22% | 37% |
* 2011 "average" very similar to 2011 "top"
** unopposed by Labour in 2011, now Labour Councillor
Swing not particularly meaningful
Council now 31 Labour, 18 Conservative, 7 Green, 2 Morecambe Bay Independent, 1 Independent, 1 Vacant
Lewes, Ouse Valley & Ringmer - Green gain from Conservative
| Party | 2017 votes | 2017 share | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | since 2011 "top" | since 2011 "average" | | Green | 835 | 38.7% | +22.3% | +20.3% | +22.7% | +21.6% | Conservative | 660 | 30.6% | +1.6% | +4.2% | +0.0% | +1.1% | Liberal Democrat | 457 | 21.2% | -8.0% | -5.6% | -12.1% | -10.9% | Labour | 167 | 7.7% | -4.4% | -5.9% | -4.1% | -4.9% | UKIP | 38 | 1.8% | -11.5% | -13.1% | -6.6% | -6.9% | Total votes | 2,157 |
| 41% | 46% | 65% | 69% |
Swing, if meaningful, Conservative to Green 10½% / 8% since 2015 and 11½% / 10¼% since 2011
Council now 22 Conservative, 11 Liberal Democrat, 4 Independent, 3 Green, 1 Independent Green
North Lanarkshire, Fortissat - Labour gain from Conservative
based on first preferences
| Party | 2017 B votes | 2017 B share | since 2017 | Labour | 1,420 | 38.5% | +2.0% | Unionist | 858 | 23.3% | +12.2% | SNP | 761 | 20.6% | -8.4% | Conservative | 424 | 11.5% | -1.8% | Independent | 184 | 5.0% | -5.1% | Green | 24 | 0.7% | from nowhere | UKIP | 18 | 0.5% | from nowhere | Total votes | 3,689
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Swing, if meaningful, SNP to Labour 5¼% since May but Labour to Unionist 5% also since May
Council now 33 Labour, 33 SNP, 9 Conservative, 2 Independent
Peterborough, Eye, Thornley & Newborough - Conservative hold
| Party | 2017 votes | 2017 share | since 2016 "top" | since 2016 "average" | | Conservative | 1,018 | 52.3% | +17.4% | +19.8% | Labour | 555 | 28.5% | +15.2% | +18.1% | UKIP | 279 | 4.3% | -7.5% | -8.4% | Green | 61 | 3.1% | -6.4% | -7.8% | Liberal Democrat | 35 | 1.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Independent |
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| -20.5% | -23.5% | Total votes | 1,948 |
| 52% | 60% |
Swing Labour to Conservative ~ 1% since 2016
Council now 30 Conservative, 15 Labour, 7 Liberal Democrat, 3 Liberal, 3 Werrington First, 2 UKIP
Staffordshire, Hednesford & Rawnsley - Conservative hold
| Party | 2017 B votes | 2017 B share | since 2017 "top" | since 2017 "average" | since 2013 "top" | since 2013 "average" | | Conservative | 1,484 | 32.5% | -3.5% | -4.1% | +6.3% | +7.2% | Labour | 1,454 | 31.9% | +4.2% | +4.4% | -7.5% | -7.8% | Green | 1,316 | 28.9% | +3.8% | +4.3% | from nowhere | from nowhere | UKIP | 175 | 3.8% | -3.9% | -4.3% | -24.8% | -25.3% | Liberal Democrat | 67 | 1.5% | from nowhere | from nowhere | -4.4% | -4.4% | Chase Independent | 65 | 1.4% | -2.1% | -1.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Total votes | 4,561 |
| 63% | 68% | 87% | 92% |
Swing Conservative to Labour 3¾% / 4¼% since May but Labour to Conservative 7% / 7½% since 2013
Council now 51 Conservative, 10 Labour, 1 Independent
Suffolk, St Johns - Labour hold
| Party | 2017 B votes | 2017 B share | since 2017 | since 2013 | since 2009 | | Labour | 1,247 | 62.9% | +5.3% | +8.4% | +22.7% | Conservative | 483 | 24.4% | -7.3% | -3.8% | -9.7% | Liberal Democrat | 200 | 10.1% | +5.1% | +4.2% | -3.9% | Green | 52 | 2.6% | -3.1% | -8.7% | -9.1% | Total votes | 1,982 |
| 83% | 99% | 78% |
Swing Conservative to Labour 6¼% since May, 6% since 2013 and 16¼% since 2009
Council now 52 Conservative, 11 Labour, 5 Liberal Democrat, 3 Green, 3 Independent, 1 West Suffolk Independent
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,952
Member is Online
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Post by The Bishop on Sept 20, 2017 9:54:53 GMT
Thank you very much for doing these, even if (unavoidably) belatedly.
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