Harry Hayfield
Green
Cavalier Gentleman (as in 17th century Cavalier)
Posts: 2,922 
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Post by Harry Hayfield on Jun 14, 2017 17:26:13 GMT
Would be good if people posted maps rather than text! It just so happens that I have done that but haven't quite figured out a way to ensure they get posted on here without being too big or too small. |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,025
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Post by Sibboleth on Jun 14, 2017 17:33:50 GMT
 North West |
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clyde1998
SNP
Green (E&W) member; SNP supporter
Posts: 1,765
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Post by clyde1998 on Jun 14, 2017 17:43:18 GMT
Without wanting to step on ntyuk1707 's toes too much, here's the Electoral Calculus's ward estimates for Scotland by majority (I'm probably going to adjust the colours, as I had the darkest colours set at a 50% majority). His will probably be more accurate, as it will include independence support (which this doesn't) and the 2017 local council results (this is based on the 2012 elections).  |
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Post by David Ashforth on Jun 15, 2017 22:28:36 GMT
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Post by David Ashforth on Jun 15, 2017 22:29:49 GMT
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,800
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 16, 2017 11:34:08 GMT
 Don't have any trust in me, please!: I took the data provided by "BritainElects", where i found several obvious mistakes, probably there are many more. I am sorry, the BlankMap had already that black BackGround. |
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,427
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Post by iain on Jun 16, 2017 11:39:55 GMT
So, outside of Scotland, there were 15 seats swinging to the right:
11 LD held in 2010
Chesterfield (so similar situation)
Wyre Forest - special NHA circumstance
Copeland - by-election
Waveney - loss of former MP standing
Lots of the other low swings are ones where the LDs were trying in 2015.
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,025
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Post by Sibboleth on Jun 16, 2017 14:08:20 GMT
 North East |
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Post by Lord Twaddleford on Jun 16, 2017 15:16:52 GMT
Sibboleth Once you've finished doing each of the regional maps, do you plan on stitching (knitting?   ) them all together into a nationwide map?
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Post by minionofmidas on Jun 16, 2017 18:10:07 GMT
Whilst the arguments are sound (which sounds like something straight out of a Gilbert and Sullivan comic opera) some of the results I am not convinced by. For instance here in Ceredigion, this is the change in my ward between 2015 and 2017 Llansantffraed 2015: Lib Dem 35%, Lab 21%, UKIP 20%, Con 13%, Green 10%, Plaid 0%, Others 2% (note of concern: There wasn't an Other in 2015) Llansantffraed 2017: Lab 30% (+9%), Con 25% (+12%), Lib Dem 23% (-13%), Plaid 16% (+16%), UKIP 3% (-17%), Green 2% (-8%), Others 1% (-1%) Labour GAIN from Liberal Democrat on a swing of 11% from Lib Dem to Lab Swing in constituency as a whole: 8.7% from Lib Dem to Lab A greater swing to Labour in a part of the seat where (at least according to them - couldn't possibly judge myself) Labour are stronger than across the constituency makes perfect sense. What doesn't is the assumption that Plaid polled 0% here just because (I presume) they don't stand candidates locally. |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,025
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Post by Sibboleth on Jun 16, 2017 21:43:02 GMT
Sibboleth Once you've finished doing each of the regional maps, do you plan on stitching (knitting? ) them all together into a nationwide map? Putting these all together is a little complicated but can confirm it is happening. |
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clyde1998
SNP
Green (E&W) member; SNP supporter
Posts: 1,765
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Post by clyde1998 on Jun 16, 2017 22:33:05 GMT
Here is a map of the results of the 2017 general election by electoral ward in Scotland based on my data:  That sea of blue outside the central belt and highlands.  |
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,427
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Post by iain on Jun 16, 2017 22:36:31 GMT
Not the SNP in Howe of Fife? What about Ellon & District, or Highland (Perthshire)?
The results you have in Moray look a bit weird as well.
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,025
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Post by Sibboleth on Jun 17, 2017 17:14:40 GMT
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Post by minionofmidas on Jun 18, 2017 14:28:27 GMT
 A map of LD's retained deposits in 2015 and 2017 (yellow - both, orange - 17 only, pale brown - 15 only) |
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,427
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Post by iain on Jun 18, 2017 15:39:56 GMT
Aberdeen South should be orange
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jun 18, 2017 15:43:50 GMT
Aberdeen South should be orange No I think the SNP are more deserving representatives of its voters, than divisive Ulster Unionists. |
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Post by minionofmidas on Jun 19, 2017 8:03:32 GMT
iain's right, of course (jokes aside).  UKIP saved deposits 2017. For comparison:  UKIP and BNP (red; brown: both) deposits 2010. Nuff said. |
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Foggy
Non-Aligned
Yn Ennill Yma
Posts: 6,135
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Post by Foggy on Jun 19, 2017 23:45:47 GMT
The county borders on the above map are factually and morally wrong.
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Post by minionofmidas on Jun 20, 2017 18:29:38 GMT
The county borders on the above map are factually and morally wrong. That's because they still influenced the last review, and because that map (as it states in the bottom corner) is adapted from David Boothroyd's map of the previous review which was entirely based on them. |
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) them all together into a nationwide map?
