Prediction Competition for May 2017

[Robert Waller]

Enfield Lock, Enfield: Lab 64, Con 21, LibDem 8, Green 3, UKIP 4.

[yellowperil]

Enfield, Enfield Lock: Lab 49, Con 33, LD 11, Green 4, UKIP 3.

[greenhert]

Enfield LBC, Enfield Lock: Labour 53, Conservative 30, Liberal Democrats 9, Green 4, UKIP 4.

[Davıd Boothroyd]

ENFIELD Enfield Lock: Lab 53, C 28, L Dem 9, GP 6, UKIP 4

[hempie]

Enfield, Enfield Lock: Lab 52, Con 26, LD 13, Green 5, UKIP 4

[Ruggerman]

Enfield, Enfield Lock: Lab: 56, Con: 22, LD: 12, Green: 8, UKIP: 2

[Pete Whitehead]

Enfield LB - Enfield Lock

Lab  59.4%
Con 24.9%
UKIP 6.7%
LD     5.1%
Grn   3.9%

[marksenior]

Enfield Lab 56 Con 29 LD 7 UKIP 5 Green 3

[yellowperil]

I seem to have been caught out ramping the Tory vote - not something I'm often accused of. My thinking was: residual Con vote maybe more likely to be prepared to vote twice in a few weeks, bolstered by returning UKIP/BNP "back to mother" as I said in another post elsewhere. I was still sure Labour would win comfortably, but less so than my colleagues thought. We shall see...

[middleenglander]

There are 10 entries this week, although Mark Senior gets 10 additional faults for being approaching 2 hours late.

Enfield, Enfield Lock: 100% Labour hold with majority over Conservative ranging from 16% (Yellow Peril) to 43% (Robert Waller).

Under the rules of the completion the by-election in Stockton-On-Tees, Newtown is not applicable. Information about an election must be known to this site at least 13 days before close of poll - ie in this case by the evening of 5 May 2017. As the Newtown by-election was not reported on Vote UK Forum until yesterday evening it does not form part of the Prediction Competition.

[middleenglander]

Week 2 of competition

Authority	Kings Lynn  & West Norfolk	South      Derbyshire	Enfield	Southend	Weeks 1 & 2	Weeks 1 & 2
Ward	Fairstead	Woodville	Enfield Lock	Shoeburyness	faults	position
Brianj	47.6+10	30.5+10	27.3		125.4	10th
David Boothroyd	20.5+10	1.1	23.3		54.8	4th
greenrobinhood	25.6+10	14.9	21.6		72.2	6th
hempie	24.5+10	8.9	29.3		72.7	8th
Lancastrian	23.6	2.9	19.4		45.9	1st
Mark Senior	13.6	11.6	15.8+10		51.0	3rd
Pete Whitehead	18.8+10	5.0	16.7		50.4	2nd
Robert Waller	27.6+10	3.1	15.8		56.5	5th
Ruggerman	37.6+10	3.1	30.6		81.3	9th
Yellow Peril	22.5+10	10.2	29.6		72.4	7th
Total	261.9+80	91.3+10	229.3+10		682.5

Objections please by noon Sunday.

There is one by-election next Thursday. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am on day of election.

[marksenior]

Sad about my 10 faults but no excuse for late posting .

[lancastrian]

Southend: Ind 54 Con 22 Lab 14 UKIP 5 LD 3 Green 2

[hempie]

Southend, Shoeburyness: Ind 49, Con 20, Lab 16 UKIP 8, LD 5, Green 2

[greenhert]

Southend UA, Shoeburyness: Independent 50, Conservative 20, Labour 15, UKIP 7, Liberal Democrats 5, Green 3.

[Robert Waller]

Southend UA, Shoeburyness: Independent 50, Conservative 30, Labour 10, UKIP 5, Liberal Democrats 3, Green 2.

[Davıd Boothroyd]

SOUTHEND Shoeburyness: Ind 46, C 31, Lab 10, UKIP 7, GP 4, L Dem 2

[yellowperil]

Southend, Shoeburyness: Ind 48.Con 27, Lab 13, UKIP 7, LD 3, Green 2

[marksenior]

Southend Ind 42 Con 34 Lab 14 UKIP 5 LD 3 Green 2

[Pete Whitehead]

May 24, 2017 18:08:45 GMT Pete Whitehead said:

Southend UA - Shoeburyness

Ind   40.4%
Con  34.1%
Lab  14.2%
UKIP  6.3%
LD      2.7%
Grn    2.3%