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Post by minionofmidas on Jan 6, 2020 10:57:06 GMT
Here's the equivalent for 1997 That is remarkably similar!
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Post by Deleted on Jan 6, 2020 11:55:09 GMT
Here's the equivalent for 1997 That is remarkably similar! Except in 2019 Labour beat the Lib Dems in every seat in the East Midlands and the North East - impressive given that Berwick was Liberal or Lib Dem for 40 years.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 6, 2020 12:43:13 GMT
That is remarkably similar! The overall pattern is similar as one might expect. What does jump out however is the clear decline in Lib Dem fortunes in both the South West and the North whilst they're holding up much better in South West London and the Home Counties St Albans being the only seat in the country where Lib Dems came first in 2019 but 3rd in 1997.
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Post by minionofmidas on Jan 6, 2020 14:34:57 GMT
That is remarkably similar! Except in 2019 Labour beat the Lib Dems in every seat in the East Midlands and the North East - impressive given that Berwick was Liberal or Lib Dem for 40 years. Which still shifts just 2 seats, not including the East Midlands seat the LDs held 2001-10.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 6, 2020 15:08:26 GMT
Except in 2019 Labour beat the Lib Dems in every seat in the East Midlands and the North East - impressive given that Berwick was Liberal or Lib Dem for 40 years. Which still shifts just 2 seats, not including the East Midlands seat the LDs held 2001-10. It's ironic that Nick Clegg was an MEP for what has become such a Brexity Lib Dem desert! Although the Lib Dems' best seats in the East Midlands in 2010 (Ashfield and Chesterfield) are hardly metropolitan.
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Post by David Ashforth on Jan 6, 2020 22:24:14 GMT
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Post by bjornhattan on Jan 7, 2020 0:00:18 GMT
Here's a good one on a similar theme (which I immediately thought of when I saw the topic, and was one of the top replies): I never realised how localised Front Street was to the North East (especially County Durham).
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Post by andrewteale on Jan 8, 2020 11:18:29 GMT
Hyndburn 2019. Changes based on 2015: C gain from Lab Overton Lab gain from C St Oswald's Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections): Barnfield is C/Lab and the Conservatives are defending in May. Overton is 2Lab/1C and Labour are defending in May. Rishton is 2Lab/1C and Labour are defending in May. St Andrew's is C/Lab and Labour are defending in May. St Oswald's is 2Lab/1C and Labour are defending in May.
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Post by David Ashforth on Jan 8, 2020 13:19:35 GMT
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Post by andrewteale on Jan 8, 2020 17:47:04 GMT
Pendle 2019. Changes based on 2015: C gain from Lab Bradley LD gain from C Vivary Bridge Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections): Bradley: 2Lab/1C Craven: 2LD/1C Reedley: 2Lab/1C Vivary Bridge: 2C/1LD Whitefield: LD/Lab May's election is expected to be all-up on new ward boundaries. If these don't get through the Parliamentary process in time, then of the above wards the Conservatives will defend Craven, Reedley and Vivary Bridge, Labour will defend Bradley and the Lib Dems will defend Whitefield.
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Post by andrewteale on Jan 10, 2020 23:08:23 GMT
Castle Point 2019. Changes based on 2015: Canvey Island Ind Party gain from C Canvey Island East Canvey Island West Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections): Canvey Island West is C/Canvey Island Ind Party and is not up in May.
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Post by David Ashforth on Jan 13, 2020 21:58:23 GMT
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jan 14, 2020 12:17:15 GMT
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Post by andrewteale on Jan 15, 2020 0:36:49 GMT
Hartlepool 2019. Changes based on 2015: For Britain Movement gain from Lab De Bruce Ind gain from Lab Burn Valley Ind Union gain from Lab Hart Headland and Harbour UKIP gain from Lab Manor House Veterans and Peoples Party gain from Lab Foggy Furze The Pool must now be getting to the stage where it's had proportionately more defections than Stoke-on-Trent back in the bad old days, what with the disbanding of Putting Hartlepool First, the former Labour council leadership defecting to the Socialist Labour Party, and the Brexit Party consuming the Independent Union and a few other groups besides. It seems pointless enumerating the split wards, partly for that reason and partly because as luck would have it May's election is all-up on new ward boundaries. That completes the unitary councils for 2016 on LEAP. There are thirteen result sets for that year remaining, all of which are shire districts. I will try and get them done as soon as practical.
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Post by David Ashforth on Jan 15, 2020 16:14:59 GMT
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jan 15, 2020 17:39:01 GMT
These travel to work areas strike me as a load of utter bollocks. I know hardly anyone in areas like St Albans or (especially) Watford who travel to work in Luton. Some do obviously, but it would hardly be the dominant place where people work. Far more would commute to London or to other nearby localities
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Post by 🏴☠️ Neath West 🏴☠️ on Jan 15, 2020 18:57:56 GMT
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Post by warofdreams on Jan 15, 2020 19:14:13 GMT
These travel to work areas strike me as a load of utter bollocks. I know hardly anyone in areas like St Albans or (especially) Watford who travel to work in Luton. Some do obviously, but it would hardly be the dominant place where people work. Far more would commute to London or to other nearby localities They're rather solidly based on evidence. I don't know that area, but perhaps people from Luton are rather more likely to travel to work in Watford or St Albans? And as has already been said, this can vary a lot according to age group, full-/part-time work, etc, so the people you know may not be typical.
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Post by 🏴☠️ Neath West 🏴☠️ on Jan 15, 2020 19:44:47 GMT
This was the link for alternate TTWAs I meant to share: ons.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=397ccae5d5c7472e87cf0ca766386cc2I particularly enjoyed the travel by train one. There's a lot of noise where rail services are poor, but the South East of England grabs Dorset and Northants at that scale. Meanwhile, Cardiff and Bristol are sharply distinct, as if the border were an actual barrier. I suppose house prices on the English side are so high that you'd have to be mad to live in some shoebox in South Gloucestershire and commute to Cardiff. But it's interesting that Bristolians don't want to move to Wales. Liverpudlians seem to have no such scruples.
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Post by J.G.Harston on Jan 15, 2020 19:47:59 GMT
Those travel-to-work areas look very "tidy", they look like ther are aligned very tightly with local authority boundaries of some sort. The Whitby TTWA is exactly the Whitby Urban/Rural Districts area. Though it does show that, posts passim, Ilkley is "really" "part of" Leeds, and Castleton/Hathersage "really" part of Sheffield.
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