J.G.Harston
Lib Dem
Leave-voting Brexit-supporting Liberal Democrat
Posts: 13,728
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Post by J.G.Harston on Apr 30, 2024 22:49:11 GMT
Hmmm. Apparently Dinnet isn't a settlement. Nor are Muir of Foullis, Alford Bridge, Kirkton Trough, Drumlithie, Crathes, Strachen....
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weld
Non-Aligned
Posts: 2,389
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Post by weld on May 5, 2024 12:54:02 GMT
Much Adur about nothing
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Post by finsobruce on May 5, 2024 14:10:38 GMT
On the contrary All's Well that Ends Well.
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Post by johnloony on May 5, 2024 15:49:21 GMT
That map looks like a 2D projection of a 3 D slab of concrete / cake in which the southern bit is the vertical cross-section, the western edge is the end, and the northern bit is the horizontal top surface.
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Post by No Offence Alan on May 5, 2024 16:08:08 GMT
That map looks like a 2D projection of a 3 D slab of concrete / cake in which the southern bit is the vertical cross-section, the western edge is the end, and the northern bit is the horizontal top surface. No, it looks like a multi-coloured handbag being ripped in half.
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J.G.Harston
Lib Dem
Leave-voting Brexit-supporting Liberal Democrat
Posts: 13,728
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Post by J.G.Harston on May 5, 2024 18:34:36 GMT
That map looks like a 2D projection of a 3 D slab of concrete / cake in which the southern bit is the vertical cross-section, the western edge is the end, and the northern bit is the horizontal top surface. No, it looks like a multi-coloured handbag being ripped in half. A handbag? ? ?
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Post by jm on May 10, 2024 10:42:25 GMT
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Post by edgbaston on May 10, 2024 11:01:05 GMT
Norh Warwickshire, East Staffs, Pendle, Darlington & Redcar, all stand out on that map making it look ‘wrong’
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Post by johnloony on May 10, 2024 11:17:03 GMT
The first thing I notice from that ap is that the Labour victory in the PCC election in Norfolk depended entirely on a Labour margin of victory of 11k in Norwich, which was enough to overwhelm the small Conservative margins of a few hundred, or a few thousand, in each of the other districts. The second thing I noticed is that at the macro level, the general pattern and extent of red blobbiness looks similar to the 1997 general election. If it is a predictor of the 2024 general election result, it rather dampens down the hysterical and unscientific projections which some more excitable people in the media like to make of saying that the Labour Party is going to win 500 seatsnwith only 50 for the Conservatives (or whatever)
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,834
Member is Online
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Post by The Bishop on May 10, 2024 11:23:49 GMT
But the PCC elections at least had next to no tactical voting, whereas there was plenty in 1997 and surely will be at the coming GE as well.
At least one mistake spotted on the map too - Labour "won" Hull in these elections, not the LibDems.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 10, 2024 11:32:44 GMT
But the PCC elections at least had next to no tactical voting, whereas there was plenty in 1997 and surely will be at the coming GE as well. At least one mistake spotted on the map too - Labour "won" Hull in these elections, not the LibDems. Not according to the figures posted elsewhere Of the results that look 'wrong' to me Colchester ratehr stands out as well as Wyre
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Post by jm on May 10, 2024 11:34:34 GMT
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,834
Member is Online
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Post by The Bishop on May 10, 2024 11:38:02 GMT
I was going on the figures posted on the Humberside PCC thread on here, which were obviously way out (had Labour winning by over 5k!) EDIT: that's because they were actually the 2021 votes, duh
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Post by alexrichards on May 10, 2024 16:13:48 GMT
Is it summed where both elections coincided? Because the Tories won Newark and Sherwood in the Mayoral but I can imagine they didn't in the PCC.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 10, 2024 16:53:20 GMT
Is it summed where both elections coincided? Because the Tories won Newark and Sherwood in the Mayoral but I can imagine they didn't in the PCC. It's the PCC election. In London, Grtr Manchester and the three Yorkshire's, the PCC powers are exrecised by the Mayor so the results in those areas are those for the Mayor. In Nottinghamshire (Merseyside, Cleveland etc) it is the PCC election.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 10, 2024 16:53:56 GMT
We should have the borough results from London soon hopefully
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Post by jm on May 10, 2024 16:54:13 GMT
Is it summed where both elections coincided? Because the Tories won Newark and Sherwood in the Mayoral but I can imagine they didn't in the PCC. It’s for the PCC elections and combined authority Mayors with PCC powers. Labour were narrowly ahead in Newark and Sherwood in the PCC elections but narrowly behind in the Mayoral.
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ilerda
Conservative
Posts: 1,042
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Post by ilerda on May 10, 2024 20:19:10 GMT
Unitarisation makes this such a less useful map.
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,132
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Post by maxque on May 11, 2024 17:27:00 GMT
The first thing I notice from that ap is that the Labour victory in the PCC election in Norfolk depended entirely on a Labour margin of victory of 11k in Norwich, which was enough to overwhelm the small Conservative margins of a few hundred, or a few thousand, in each of the other districts. The second thing I noticed is that at the macro level, the general pattern and extent of red blobbiness looks similar to the 1997 general election. If it is a predictor of the 2024 general election result, it rather dampens down the hysterical and unscientific projections which some more excitable people in the media like to make of saying that the Labour Party is going to win 500 seatsnwith only 50 for the Conservatives (or whatever) So, the next general election will have a turnout under 20%?
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Post by johnloony on May 11, 2024 18:28:16 GMT
The first thing I notice from that map is that the Labour victory in the PCC election in Norfolk depended entirely on a Labour margin of victory of 11k in Norwich, which was enough to overwhelm the small Conservative margins of a few hundred, or a few thousand, in each of the other districts. The second thing I noticed is that at the macro level, the general pattern and extent of red blobbiness looks similar to the 1997 general election. If it is a predictor of the 2024 general election result, it rather dampens down the hysterical and unscientific projections which some more excitable people in the media like to make of saying that the Labour Party is going to win 500 seatsnwith only 50 for the Conservatives (or whatever) So, the next general election will have a turnout under 20%? No, because you are a hysterically insane nincompoop who doesn’t understand what the word “if” means.
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