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Post by 🏴☠️ Neath West 🏴☠️ on Oct 5, 2019 8:17:33 GMT
Shame it includes Calais.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Oct 5, 2019 9:41:56 GMT
I think we might have had this one before, but it is great
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Post by andrewteale on Oct 5, 2019 20:53:10 GMT
Calderdale 2019. Changes based on 2015: Ind gain from C Ryburn Lab gain from C Elland Luddendenfoot Skircoat Sowerby Bridge LD gain from C Greetland and Stainland Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections): Elland is 2Lab/1LD and the Liberal Democrats are defending in 2020. Hipperholme and Lightcliffe is 2C/1Ind and the Conservatives are defending in 2020. Ryburn is 2C/1Ind and the Conservatives are defending in 2020. Skircoat is 2Lab/1C and the Conservatives are defending in 2020. That completes West Yorkshire 2016 on LEAP. There are now only two metropolitan boroughs from that year outstanding: they are Salford and Trafford.
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Post by andrewteale on Oct 6, 2019 15:17:49 GMT
Salford 2019. Changes based on 2015: C gain from Lab Kersal Ind gain from Lab Irlam Lab gain from C Walkden South Walkden South was a postponed poll. Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections): Irlam: 2Lab/1Ind Kersal: 2C/1Lab Next year is all-up on new ward boundaries plus the mayoral election.
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Post by andrewteale on Oct 13, 2019 16:43:23 GMT
Swindon 2019. Changes based on 2015: C gain from Lab Penhill and Upper Stratton Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections): Eastcott is 2Lab/1LD and the Liberal Democrats are defending in 2020. Lydiard and Freshbrook is 2C/1Lab and Labour are defending in 2020. Old Town is 2Lab/1C and Labour are defending in 2020. Penhill and Upper Stratton is 2Lab/1C and Labour are defending in 2020. Wroughton and Wichelstowe is 2C/1LD and the Conservatives are defending in 2020.
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Post by David Ashforth on Oct 22, 2019 9:36:03 GMT
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yorkshireluke
Lib Dem
I run @polmapsinfoUK, @YorkshireElects and /r/PoliticalMaps/
Posts: 750
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Post by yorkshireluke on Oct 23, 2019 19:31:04 GMT
All wards in Historic Middlesex:
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Oct 23, 2019 19:53:48 GMT
That's a beautiful map
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yorkshireluke
Lib Dem
I run @polmapsinfoUK, @YorkshireElects and /r/PoliticalMaps/
Posts: 750
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Post by yorkshireluke on Nov 1, 2019 23:10:41 GMT
Whilst making some stuff for Twitter I made this base map with all historic Yorkshire constituencies in: Attachments:
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Post by andrewteale on Nov 2, 2019 20:36:11 GMT
Lincoln 2019. No changes based on 2016 when the current ward boundaries were introduced. Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections): Birchwood is 2C/1Lab and the Conservatives are defending in 2020. Hartsholme is 2C/1Lab and the Conservatives are defending in 2020. Minster is 2C/1Lab and the Conservatives are defending in 2020.
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Post by andrewteale on Nov 2, 2019 20:47:58 GMT
Colchester 2019. Changes based on 2016 when the current ward boundaries were introduced: Grn gain from C CastleThe Liberal Democrats also recovered a seat in Shrub End which the Conservatives had gained in a by-election. Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections): Castle is Grn/Lab/LD and the Liberal Democrats are defending in 2020. New Town and Christ Church is 2LD/1Lab and the Liberal Democrats are defending in 2020. St Anne's and St John's is 2LD/1C and the Liberal Democrats are defending in 2020. Shrub End is 2LD/1C and the Liberal Democrats are defending in 2020. Stanway is 2C/1LD and the Conservatives are defending in 2020. Wivenhoe is 2LD/1Lab and Labour are defending in 2020.
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yorkshireluke
Lib Dem
I run @polmapsinfoUK, @YorkshireElects and /r/PoliticalMaps/
Posts: 750
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Post by yorkshireluke on Nov 4, 2019 0:57:28 GMT
I made a map that I believe may be too big for this forum, apologies if your devices struggle to view this.
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Post by David Ashforth on Nov 12, 2019 9:37:48 GMT
Not a pretty map considering the subject matter, but an interesting map.
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Post by andrewteale on Nov 15, 2019 21:09:38 GMT
Reading 2019. Changes based on 2015: Grn gain from Lab Redlands Lab gain from C Caversham LD gain from C Tilehurst Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections): Kentwood is 2C/1Lab and Labour are defending in 2020. Redlands is 2Lab/1Grn and Labour are defending in 2020.
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Post by syorkssocialist on Nov 17, 2019 1:14:44 GMT
I mapped the forum's current predictions for constituencies that have polls attached to their discussion threads.
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Post by andrewteale on Nov 17, 2019 2:26:10 GMT
Exeter 2019. Changes based on 2016 when the current ward boundaries were introduced: Grn gain from Lab St David's Ind gain from Lab Newtown and St Leonard's Lab gain from C Pinhoe LD gain from C Duryard and St James Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections): Duryard and St James is 2LD/1Lab and Labour are defending in 2020. Newtown and St Leonard's is 2Lab/1Ind and Labour are defending in 2020. St David's is 2Lab/1Grn and Labour are defending in 2020.
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Post by bjornhattan on Nov 17, 2019 6:38:22 GMT
I mapped the forum's current predictions for constituencies that have polls attached to their discussion threads.
A friendly suggestion - for the tied constituencies, did you consider using the new option of a striped pattern? It'd also be interesting to combine this map with the expected results from the other "safe" seats - if you don't want to do that I'd be willing to.
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Post by syorkssocialist on Nov 17, 2019 13:04:59 GMT
I mapped the forum's current predictions for constituencies that have polls attached to their discussion threads.
A friendly suggestion - for the tied constituencies, did you consider using the new option of a striped pattern? It'd also be interesting to combine this map with the expected results from the other "safe" seats - if you don't want to do that I'd be willing to. Good ideas - I didn't realise Mapchart had added the option for striped patterns.
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Post by bjornhattan on Nov 17, 2019 13:13:41 GMT
A friendly suggestion - for the tied constituencies, did you consider using the new option of a striped pattern? It'd also be interesting to combine this map with the expected results from the other "safe" seats - if you don't want to do that I'd be willing to. Good ideas - I didn't realise Mapchart had added the option for striped patterns. Yeah, I believe it comes up if you right click on the constituency of your choice. Mind, this is a bit of a sisyphian task - for example since you posted that map Coventry South has moved to a tie. I'm planning to make a spreadsheet showing the marginals from most Labour to most Conservative (and likewise for Con vs LD and Lab vs LD), using the data from the polls. The plan would then be to shade in those marginals as they come in on election night, to see visually how parties are doing relative to our expectations. But I don't know when I'll take the data.
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Post by BossMan on Nov 19, 2019 21:55:39 GMT
I mapped the forum's current predictions for constituencies that have polls attached to their discussion threads. A great effort there. I see striping tied seats has been suggested. Back in 2017, when Andrew_S was doing a spreadsheet of all the prediction polls and was colouring in the seats which we were predicting would change hands, he went with the status quo in the event of a tie.
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