Deleted
Deleted Member
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Survation
Nov 2, 2019 12:03:36 GMT
via mobile
Post by Deleted on Nov 2, 2019 12:03:36 GMT
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Post by curiousliberal on Nov 2, 2019 12:22:41 GMT
These are sub-samples so -
- the end.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,600
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Post by The Bishop on Nov 2, 2019 13:13:22 GMT
Sub-samples of a few hundred voters to start with.....
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 15,306
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Post by Sibboleth on Nov 2, 2019 13:20:09 GMT
Some people are just such obvious marks aren't they. Very little else to say.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Nov 3, 2019 18:03:54 GMT
Lib Dem bar charts hace reached sky news
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Post by Andrew_S on Nov 5, 2019 23:00:16 GMT
Survation's polls seem to be out of line with the other pollsters, assuming this is genuine. But I'm very sceptical about its veracity.
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Deleted
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Survation
Nov 5, 2019 23:47:52 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Nov 5, 2019 23:47:52 GMT
What poll's veracity? Nothing for several days. The last one seems to be broadly in line with several other polls there was a fake poll deleted now Lab 33 Con 35
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Survation
Nov 6, 2019 17:12:29 GMT
via mobile
Post by andrew111 on Nov 6, 2019 17:12:29 GMT
Lib Dem bar charts hace reached sky news Excellent. Just keep attacking the bar charts and drawing attention to them
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Deleted
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Survation
Nov 6, 2019 17:53:19 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Nov 6, 2019 17:53:19 GMT
I wouldn't say that's what Sky News were doing here nor Anthony Wells who has issued a statement that YouGov do not do any constituency polls and has disowned any references to yougov as flavible as not yougov
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Post by tonygreaves on Nov 6, 2019 18:43:25 GMT
Lot of people running scared...
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Post by lancastrian on Nov 11, 2019 22:08:25 GMT
Is no one commissioning a regular poll from Survation? Would seem a bit odd given what happened last time.
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Post by curiousliberal on Nov 11, 2019 22:33:55 GMT
The YouGov model appears to have come out with more credit than Survation. Everyone lauds the MRP, and it deserves a fair bit of the credit it gets, but what we tend to forget is that the YouGov polls it was based on were wrong, which in turns suggests the model itself was flawed beyond the results it projected.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 11, 2019 22:42:21 GMT
The YouGov model appears to have come out with more credit than Survation. Everyone lauds the MRP, and it deserves a fair bit of the credit it gets, but what we tend to forget is that the YouGov polls it was based on were wrong, which in turns suggests the model itself was flawed beyond the results it projected. survations turnout weightings were very inaccurate so much so it actually over compensated for itself. The MRP model was nothing to do with yougovs traditional poll which was wrong because of a last minute adjustment to redistributing don't knows
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Deleted
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Survation
Nov 12, 2019 14:34:51 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Nov 12, 2019 14:34:51 GMT
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Post by curiousliberal on Nov 12, 2019 15:18:51 GMT
Brexit means Brexit means Brexit means Brexit... Shades of 2017 all over again.
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Post by afleitch on Nov 13, 2019 20:25:59 GMT
What's interesting is that if you weight Survation by European Election recall in the same poll you get something close to
CON 32 LAB 28 LIB 20 BXP 9 GRN 2
Just interesting to note.
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Post by Andrew_S on Nov 18, 2019 2:07:55 GMT
Survation / Good Morning Britain:
Con 42% (+7) Lab 28% (-1) LD 13% (-4) BRX 5% (-5) Grn 3% (+2) Oth 9% (+1)
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 8,094
Member is Online
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Survation
Nov 18, 2019 4:24:19 GMT
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Post by cogload on Nov 18, 2019 4:24:19 GMT
There has been a methodology change but notwithstanding that is a set of poor numbers for us.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,600
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Post by The Bishop on Nov 18, 2019 12:00:37 GMT
This is where Swinson spending all her time since becoming leader attacking Labour/Corbyn, and giving the Tories/Johnson a virtual free ride, has got you.
Its not too late, just, to change tack.
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Post by liverpoolliberal on Nov 18, 2019 12:24:14 GMT
This is where Swinson spending all her time since becoming leader attacking Labour/Corbyn, and giving the Tories/Johnson a virtual free ride, has got you. Its not too late, just, to change tack. If we attach ourselves to Corbyn, we will absolutely screw ourselves in the LD/Con seats, which are most of our targets. Corbyn is the problem. While he is leader, the number of people who will vote to stop him becoming PM is just too high and the relationship between our two parties makes absolutely zero difference whatsoever to that fact.
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