Prediction Competition - April 2017

[yellowperil]

Apr 7, 2017 8:18:23 GMT maxque said:

Apr 6, 2017 10:14:50 GMT yellowperil said:

Hoping that isn't a reference to an unfortunate error in Watford

No, not that Dorothy. Rather the one played by Judy Garland.

Yes I did know, having twice appeared on stage as a friend of Dorothy ( the cowardly lion, of course).

[middleenglander]

Apr 7, 2017 7:51:19 GMT Pete Whitehead said:

Authority	Calderdale	Bath &  NE Somerset	Aylesbury Vale	Tendring	Total week 1
Ward	Hipperholme  & Lightcliffe	Walcot	Elmhurst	St James
Pete Whitehead	6.0	14.7	49.1	13.1	82.9
Robert Waller	6.3	8.5	43.9	27.2	85.9
David Boothroyd	4.3	21.7	47.9	25.2	99.1
Mark Senior	24.8	13.7	40.9	21.3	100.7
Lancastrian	32.9	15.7	38.9	23.3	110.8
Carlton	9.2	23.7	45.9	35.2	114.0
Brianj	40.6	4.8	43.3	27.7	116.4
Ruggerman	17.7	22.5	48.9	33.2	122.3
Hempie	18.8	13.2	60.9	33.3	126.2
Yellow peril	6.3	21.7	68.9	33.3	130.2
Sir Benjamin	20.9	29.7	64.9	31.3	146.8

Apologies for the poor formatting - I think the numbers are right though...

I concur with Pete's figures apart from some minor roundings and I have Lancastrian on 31.9 in Calderdale, not 32.9, and 109.7 for the week.

[hempie]

Middlesbrough, Coulby Newham: Lab 40, Ind 35, Con 22, Green 3
West Dorset, Piddle Valley: Con 74, Green 26

[marksenior]

Middlesbrough Lab 42 Ind 32 Con 21 Green 5
West Dorset Con 69 Green 31

[greenhert]

Middlesbrough UA, Coulby Newham: Labour 44, Independent 30, Conservative 20, Green 6.
West Dorset DC, Piddle Valley: Conservative 62, Green 38.

[yellowperil]

Middlesbrough, Coulby Newham: Lab 40,Ind 37, Con 18, Green 5.
West Dorset, Piddle Valley: Con 63, Green 37.

[Robert Waller]

Middlesbrough, Coulby Newham: Lab 44,Ind 33, Con 20, Green 3.
West Dorset, Piddle Valley: Con 66, Green 34.

[Ruggerman]

Middlesbrough, Coulby Newham: Ind: 34, Lab: 31, Con: 29, Green: 6
West Dorset, Piddle Valley: Con: 63, Green: 37

[carlton43]

Middlesborough Ind 33 Con 30 Lab 29 Green 8

Piddle Con 66 Green 34

[Davıd Boothroyd]

MIDDLESBROUGH Coulby Newham: Lab 41, Ind 32, C 21, GP 6
WEST DORSET Piddle Valley: C 69, GP 31

[lancastrian]

Middlesbrough: Lab 41 Ind 28 Con 26 Green 5
West Dorset: Con 64 Green 36

[brianj]

Middlesbrough, Coulby Newham: Lab 37, Ind 30, Con 26, Green 4.
West Dorset, Piddle Valley: Con 66, Green 34.

[Pete Whitehead]

Apr 12, 2017 19:03:53 GMT Pete Whitehead said:

Middlesbrough UA - Coulby Newham

Lab   42.5%
Ind   31.5%
Con  22.8%
Grn    3.2%


West Dorset DC - Piddle Valley

Con  67.8%
Grn  32.2%

[middleenglander]

11 entries this week with Greernhert returning after last week's absence but nothing from Sir Benjamin after his first entrance last week.
brianj gets 3 additional faults for adding to only 97% in Middlesbrough, Coulby Newham.

Middlesbrough, Coulby Newham: 9 Labour hold, majority over Independent ranging from 3% (Yellow Peril) to 14% (Greenhert) with Carlton 43 & Ruggerman Independent gain.
West Dorset, Piddle Valley: 100% Conservative hold with share ranging from 62% (Greenhert) to 74% (Hempie)

[middleenglander]

Week 2:

Authority	Week 1	Middlesbrough	West Dorset	Weeks 1 & 2	Weeks 1 & 2	Cheshire West   & Chester	Harrow	Month	Month
Ward	faults	Coulby Newham	Piddle Valley	faults	position	Blacon	Kenton East	faults	position
Pete Whitehead	82.9	30.4+10	13.9	137.2	1st
Robert Waller	85.9	36.0+10	10.3	142.2	2nd
David Boothroyd	99.1	34.0+10	16.3	159.4	4th
Mark Senior	100.6	34.0+10	16.3	160.9	6th
Lancastrian	109.7	24.0+10	6.3	150.0	3rd
Carlton	114.0	28.9+10	10.3	163.2	7th
Brianj	116.5	21.0+3+10	10.3	160.8	5th
Ruggerman	122.3	26.9+10	4.3	163.5	8th
Hempie	126.2	32.0+10	26.3	194.5	10th
Yellow Peril	130.2	40.0+10	4.3	184.5	9th
Sir Benjamin	146.8	100	100	346.8	11th
Greenhert	400	36.0+10	2.3	448.3	12th
Total	1,634.3	343.0+110	120.9	2,400.8

Objections please by noon Sunday.

There are two by-elections next week, the last in April.  Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am Thursday.

[brianj]

I'll kick off the week's predictions, if that's fine with everyone:

Cheshire West and Chester, Blacon: Lab 48, Con 29, Ind 13, LibDem 10.
Harrow, Kenton East: Lab 38, Con 37, LibDem 20, UKIP 5.

[carlton43]

Blacon Lab 45 Con 33 LD 12 Ind 10
Kenton Con 36 Lab 35 LD 24 UKIP 5

[Deleted]

Kenton LD 43 Lab 35 Con 19 UKIP 3
Blacon LD 35 Lab 33 Con 30 Ind 2

[lancastrian]

Cheshire: Lab 49 Con 25 LD 15 Ind 11
Harrow: Lab 43 Con 35 LD 17 UKIP 5

[Robert Waller]

Cheshire: Lab 47 Con 25 LD 10 Ind 18
Harrow: Lab 48 Con 40 LD 9 UKIP 3