Byelections 16th and 17th February 2017

[Terry Weldon]

Feb 16, 2017 23:15:59 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

Failsworth East

Lab 58.4
C 25.4
UKIP 11.7
GP 3.5
L Dem 1.1

What was that you were saying about a Lib Dem surge in local byelections again?

The surge is clearly running out of steam.  NumbrCrunchrPolitics ‏ notes "

"Terrible result for the Lib Dems in Burton (East Staffs). Vote share only up 5 points on last time..." 

[Terry Weldon]

From Britain Elects

Lydbrook & Ruardean (Forest of Dean) result:
GRN: 35.3% (+27.9)
LDEM: 24.3% (+24.3)
LAB: 22.7% (-2.0)
UKIP: 11.1% (-12.2)
CON: 6.6% (-11.6)

[Terry Weldon]

F of Dean a good result for both Green, and LibDems.

[Adam in Stroud]

Feb 16, 2017 23:28:47 GMT Terry Weldon said:

From Britain Elects

Lydbrook & Ruardean (Forest of Dean) result:
GRN: 35.3% (+27.9)
LDEM: 24.3% (+24.3)
LAB: 22.7% (-2.0)
UKIP: 11.1% (-12.2)
CON: 6.6% (-11.6)

Wow.  That would be classed as a surprise, except that its in the Forest, so it isn't at all really.

Well done the Greens.

[froome]

Feb 16, 2017 23:28:47 GMT Terry Weldon said:

From Britain Elects

Lydbrook & Ruardean (Forest of Dean) result:
GRN: 35.3% (+27.9)
LDEM: 24.3% (+24.3)
LAB: 22.7% (-2.0)
UKIP: 11.1% (-12.2)
CON: 6.6% (-11.6)

Excellent.

[Old Fashioned Leftie]

Feb 16, 2017 23:28:47 GMT Terry Weldon said:

From Britain Elects

Lydbrook & Ruardean (Forest of Dean) result:
GRN: 35.3% (+27.9)
LDEM: 24.3% (+24.3)
LAB: 22.7% (-2.0)
UKIP: 11.1% (-12.2)
CON: 6.6% (-11.6)

Lib Dem and Con wrong way round!

[Ben Walker]

Corrected

[greenhert]

Feb 16, 2017 23:28:47 GMT Terry Weldon said:

From Britain Elects

Lydbrook & Ruardean (Forest of Dean) result:
GRN: 35.3% (+27.9)
LDEM: 24.3% (+24.3)
LAB: 22.7% (-2.0)
UKIP: 11.1% (-12.2)
CON: 6.6% (-11.6)

Even I was not expecting this...but then again with such a close result in that ward in 2015, anything could have happened.

[Adam in Stroud]

Ah.  Slightly less weird.  But still a great performance by the Greens. Another dodgy old night for UKIP.

[Robert Waller]

Nobody has the rest of the Burton result, do they?

Or perhaps they only counted the Lib Dem votes ...

[Robert Waller]

Labour HOLD St Thomas's (Dudley).

[Robert Waller]

Bollington First GAIN Bollington (East Cheshire) from Conservative.

[Robert Waller]

Bollington (East Cheshire) result:
BFIR: 50.6% (+13.4)
CON: 17.2% (-13.4)
LAB: 12.9% (-8.6)
LDEM: 10.7% (-0.2)
GRN: 8.7% (+8.7)

[marksenior]

Dudley

Lab 1466
UKIP 653
Con 249
Green 52

[marksenior]

F Dean

Green 360
Con 248
Lab 231
UKIP 113
LDem 67

[marksenior]

Cheshire East

Boll 1st 939
Con 319
Lab 239
LDem 198
Green 162

[obsie]

Burton
Lib Dem 271 52.7%
Lab 127 24.7%
Con 56 10.9%
UKIP 60 11.7%

[Davıd Boothroyd]

Elsenham and Henham: 2 x Residents4Uttlesford gain from Liberal Democrat

[Foggy]

A genuinely terrible by-election night for the Lib Dems for the first time in ages (Burton aside, I suppose – but they were only up 5% even there)... which is an interesting development, I reckon.

[mboy]

Feb 15, 2017 13:38:43 GMT mboy said:

Ordinarily I'd be worried by the prospect of 3x LD defences...but this week I'm unusually calm... (Pride comes before a fall? We'll see...)

Yep. Pride indeed.

Looks like local factors there, but I wonder if the amount of effort being diverted to the two national by elections is having an effect. The local by election results were very average in the run-up to Richmond also...