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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jan 24, 2017 23:16:14 GMT
Rockdale GA looks a big one too - 29% lead for Bush in 2000, 25% for Clinton in 2016. Could be the biggest. Pales compared to the swings the other way in the coal counties though of course
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jamie
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Post by jamie on Jan 24, 2017 23:40:58 GMT
Oh, and what's the random Blue spot in the middle of Tennessee - Nashville presumably? Yep, it's been moving Democrat over time. It's a similar story for many other large cities in Tennessee. Knoxville in the east, Chattanooga in the south east, and Jackson in west, have all become much more Democratic relative to the state as a whole. Knoxville in particular should be Democratic soon (it is on a local level) despite having not had a Democratic congressional representative since 1855!
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nitory
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Post by nitory on Jan 24, 2017 23:49:13 GMT
Looks like possibly Travis county Texas or Teton, Wyoming. I hadn;t even realised Bush had won Travis in 2000. He lost there heavily to Kerry in '04. Popular governor I guess.. Also Nader got 10% in Travis, giving Bush a 5% plurality win. Rockdale's quite the odd one out on the biggest swings. The rest are mainly ski-resorts/quinoa liberal areas, Rockdale's due to demographic changes as more African Americans move to the South Atlanta suburbs. Some of the coal county swings are brutal. I was sure Elliott, KY would have the biggest swing, but Gore under-performed there. Biggest 2004-2016 county swing possibly: 2004 John Kerry 2,064 69.80% George W. Bush 871 29.46% 2016 Donald J. Trump 2,000 70.05% Hillary Clinton 740 25.92%
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Sibboleth
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Post by Sibboleth on Jan 25, 2017 0:03:24 GMT
Largest falls in the D vote 2000-2016 were Knott, KY, Mingo, WV and Logan, WV. Not checked for swings. But this is what happens when the historical party of the mining regions suddenly decides to act like Margaret Thatcher.
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Sibboleth
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Post by Sibboleth on Jan 25, 2017 0:14:05 GMT
Why did Pueblo swing more sharply Republican than the other, more rural, Hispanic counties in South Colorado? Pueblo is a steel town.
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Richard Allen
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Post by Richard Allen on Jan 25, 2017 0:27:36 GMT
Largest falls in the D vote 2000-2016 were Knott, KY, Mingo, WV and Logan, WV. Not checked for swings. But this is what happens when the historical party of the mining regions suddenly decides to act like Margaret Thatcher. Logan and Mingo Counties in West Virginia remain staunch democratic bastions at state level. The level of split ticket voting there is quite extraordinary. Just looking at some of the numbers from Logan President: Trump (R) - 80% House of Rep: Jenkins (R) - 82% Governor: Justice (D) - 56% Sec of State: Tennant (D) - 54% Treasurer: Predue (D) - 64% State Senate: Ojeda (D) - 60% The numbers in Mingo are pretty similar.
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jan 26, 2017 20:43:47 GMT
Cook County, Minnesota stands out as an odd one. Touristy area (skiing again) largest town is Grand Marais which is very much an artsy/alternative kind of place. Nader over 10% in 2000. There can also be found an Indian Reservation (7% of the population).
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Post by thedeadflagblues on Jan 27, 2017 6:57:05 GMT
Which county had the biggest Dem swing? Assuming Mingo, WV swung hardest to the Republicans? 60% Gore to 15% Clinton Looks like possibly Travis county Texas or Teton, Wyoming. I hadn;t even realised Bush had won Travis in 2000. He lost there heavily to Kerry in '04. Popular governor I guess.. Travis County's population has grown by nearly 50% since 2000. At this point, it'd be a mistake to compare the Austin of 2000 to the Austin of 2016. In 2000, it had a very large alternative/neo-hippie subculture, as is common in university cities that double as major population centers, but it's now one of the cities for bobos and yuppies under the age of 35-40 and it rivals Brooklyn or San Francisco or Denver in this regard.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jan 27, 2017 8:07:45 GMT
Looks like possibly Travis county Texas or Teton, Wyoming. I hadn;t even realised Bush had won Travis in 2000. He lost there heavily to Kerry in '04. Popular governor I guess.. Travis County's population has grown by nearly 50% since 2000. At this point, it'd be a mistake to compare the Austin of 2000 to the Austin of 2016. In 2000, it had a very large alternative/neo-hippie subculture, as is common in university cities that double as major population centers, but it's now one of the cities for bobos and yuppies under the age of 35-40 and it rivals Brooklyn or San Francisco or Denver in this regard. This is understood - my sister in law is one of these..
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Feb 2, 2017 13:56:25 GMT
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