Council by-elections 2010 to 2016

[warofdreams]

I'm all for looking at long-term trends, but "210 to 2016" seems excessive!

[peterl]

Though surely good news for supporters of the Roman Party!

[finsobruce]

Nov 30, 2016 14:16:29 GMT peterl said:

Though surely good news for supporters of the Roman Party!

or the Remain Roman party?

[froome]

Nov 30, 2016 14:21:00 GMT finsobruce said:

Nov 30, 2016 14:16:29 GMT peterl said:

Though surely good news for supporters of the Roman Party!

or the Remain Roman party?

You mean the Romainers?

[peterl]

Or the Romoanars. Still going on about how the rest of the Empire won't trade with us and how no one will understand us when we stop using Latin.

[finsobruce]

Nov 30, 2016 18:04:21 GMT peterl said:

Or the Romoanars. Still going on about how the rest of the Empire won't trade with us and how no one will understand us when we stop using Latin.

The olive oil and fish sauce trade was disrupted for the best part of fourteen centuries.

[middleenglander]

There were 320 seats contested during 2016, with 101 (32%) changing hands.  This is a higher proportion then last year when only 24% overall, and 22% in England, changed hands but is close to the long term level experienced over many years.

This number of by-elections was some 1.58% of all such seats across the UK; the comparable figures were 1.57% in England, 1.47% for Scotland and 1.83% Wales.

There were 20% more by-elections in England than during 2012, the same year within the electoral cycle.   In Scotland the number of by-elections was the same as in 2011, the comparable year of its election cycle,  but this year was well down on 2015 following the SNP successes in the General Election.  Wales has not had a 5 year electoral cycle before recently but the number of by-elections ahead of the 2017 all-out elections was fewer than in 2015 but the second highest in recent years.

	2016	2016	2015	2015	2014	2014	2013	2013	2012	2012	2011	2011	2010	2010
	number	changed	number	changed	number	changed	number	changed	number	changed	number	changed	number	changed
England only:
- January to annual	46	33%	15	20%	46	33%	47	28%	48	40%	22	32%	41	44%
- annual, single contests	51	25%	43	14%	30	20%	114	25%	23	13%	23	17%	38	26%
- annual, multi contests	26	4%	31	29%	40	28%			29	17%	25	36%	45	22%
- other May to August	61	34%	31	29%	44	39%	56	43%	53	13%	30	37%	48	38%
- September & October	55	33%	34	15%	43	35%	53	23%	30	37%	36	17%	58	22%
- November & December	40	33%	30	30%	36	25%	40	33%	49	27%	26	31%	31	32%
England total	279	29%	184	22%	239	31%	310	29%	232	25%	162	28%	261	30%
Scotland	18	72%	38	29%	17	41%	14	43%	3	100%	18	44%	4	25%
Wales	23	30%	29	24%	15	27%	13	8%	8	63%	12	75%	16	38%
GB total	320	32%	251	24%	271	31%	337	29%	243	27%	192	32%	281	31%

The gains and losses by party are given by:

Party	Gains	Losses	Gains	Losses	Gains	Losses	Gains	Losses	Gains	Losses	Net Gains / Losses	Net Gains / Losses
	Jan - Apr	Jan - Apr	5th May	5th May	rMay - Aug	rMay - Aug	Sept - Dec	Sept - Dec	2016	2016	2016	2015
Conservative	2	10	2	11	4	10	9	18	17	49	-32	+16
Labour	1	1	6	2	4	6	5	14	16	23	-7	-3
Liberal Democrat	4	2	2		10		15	1	31	3	+28	0
SNP	1		1		1	1	2	3	5	4	+1	+4
Plaid Cymru							3		3		+3	0
Green	1				1			1	2	1	+1	-2
UKIP		1	3	2	2	3	1	3	6	9	-3	-10
Independent	4	2	1		1	6	7	2	13	10	+3	-2
Resident Groups	3	1			2		1	1	6	2	+4	-4
No Description	1				1				2		+2	+1
Health Concern												-1
Liberal												+1
Total	17	17	15	15	26	26	43	43	101	101	0	0

These figures do not include deferred elections nor Parliamentary by-elections.

[listener]

Wales had a five-year electoral cycle between 1999 and 2004.

[Lord Twaddleford]

Dec 25, 2016 14:36:54 GMT listener said:

Wales had a five-year electoral cycle between 1999 and 2004.

My guess would be that they probably didn't want the local elections clashing with the 2003 Welsh Assembly elections, as was the case in 1999, and would've been again in 2016.