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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Sept 21, 2012 0:01:20 GMT
Although term hasn't started there, so that and the poor Green result may suggest a muted turnout in the campus.
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 21, 2012 0:08:15 GMT
Although term hasn't started there, so that and the poor Green result may suggest a muted turnout in the campus. Turnout was only 13.8% but it was just 22.4% in 2011, 18.5% in 2007 and 22.6% in 2003. |
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Sept 21, 2012 0:53:14 GMT
For reference, Neighbourhood statistics has the full time student population of the ward as 2555 in 2001, against a total population of 4677.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 21, 2012 7:26:03 GMT
Nottinghamshire Rufford Lab 1,557 - 58.0% Con 660 - 24.6% Ind 346 - 12.9% UKIP 123 - 4.6% that result is more than satisifying ! |
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Post by greatkingrat on Sept 21, 2012 8:20:42 GMT
Its Our County hold St Nicholas.
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Post by marksenior on Sept 21, 2012 8:43:17 GMT
Scarborough result Con hold
Con 606 Ind 151 Lab 87 UKIP 35 Eng Dem 18
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Post by marksenior on Sept 21, 2012 8:46:15 GMT
Herefordshire results
UA
IOC 604 LD 222 Con 204 Lab 104
City Council
IOC 725 LD 220 Con 188
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Tony Otim
Green
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Post by Tony Otim on Sept 21, 2012 9:05:51 GMT
On a quick calculation, both those last two results show a swing away from Labour since last year (although neither are really targets).
Overall, I'd guess both Labour and the Conservatives would be pretty happy with the week.
Message to self - I've got to learn to stop over-estimating bloody UKIP in the prediction competition.
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Post by anthony on Sept 21, 2012 9:15:06 GMT
Conservative gain Cornwall St Keverne/Meneage Con 585 LD 279 UKIP 141 Lab 52 If you're ever in the division, go to Roskilly's www.roskillys.co.uk/ ;D |
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 21, 2012 9:59:49 GMT
On a quick calculation, both those last two results show a swing away from Labour since last year (although neither are really targets). Overall, I'd guess both Labour and the Conservatives would be pretty happy with the week. Message to self - I've got to learn to stop over-estimating bloody UKIP in the prediction competition. In Scarborough there was something like a 10% swing Labour to Conservative since 2011, Conservative +10% on "average" vote, +8% on "top" vote with Labour down -10% with then a sole candidate. In Herefordshire, Labour share of 9.2% down 6 or 7% on 2011. |
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Sept 21, 2012 9:59:49 GMT
On a quick calculation, both those last two results show a swing away from Labour since last year (although neither are really targets) You could have omitted the "really"....... The Indy in Scarborough also looks to be well down on last year. Were the Tories the only ones who bothered?? |
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Post by markgoodair on Sept 21, 2012 11:49:40 GMT
Nottinghamshire Rufford Lab 1,557 - 58.0% Con 660 - 24.6% Ind 346 - 12.9% UKIP 123 - 4.6% LAB +27.8%% CON -9.6% IND -22.7% UKIP +4.6% |
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Sept 21, 2012 11:58:22 GMT
In Scarborough there was something like a 10% swing Labour to Conservative since 2011, Conservative +10% on "average" vote, +8% on "top" vote with Labour down -10% with then a sole candidate. In Herefordshire, Labour share of 9.2% down 6 or 7% on 2011. Though the Scarborough swing is of course better expressed as Independent to Tory  And looking at the Hereford result compared both with last year and yesterday's concurrent town council poll, there does seem to be some degree of interchangeability between Labour and IOC support. |
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Sept 21, 2012 12:04:56 GMT
On a quick calculation, both those last two results show a swing away from Labour since last year (although neither are really targets) You could have omitted the "really"....... The Indy in Scarborough also looks to be well down on last year. Were the Tories the only ones who bothered?? They were the only ones to have a candidate from the division, and I have to assume that's the sort of area where that matters. Similarly, both the Labour and IOC candidates in Hereford were from outside the city limits, though in the IOC candidate's case that was only just the case and he was at least on the same side of the city as St Nicholas ward. |
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 21, 2012 14:53:25 GMT
Chadsmead ward of Lichfield City Council in Lichfield District.
1 May 2003:
Con 349/313, Lab 340/320/278
Elected: Con 1, Lab 2
3 May 2007:
Lib Dems 422/344/343, Con 368/366/345, Lab 181/173/168, Independent 55
Elected: Lib Dem 1, Con 2
5 May 2011:
Con 397/389/384, Lib Dems 344/222/205, Lab 309/278/277
Elected: Con 3
These by-elections are caused by the resignations of Mick Fryers Jnr (Con) and Mick Fryers Snr (Con) – allegedly before they were disqualified for non-attendance.
20 September 2012:
Lab 203 + 201 = 404 - 34.9%
LD 225 + 158 = 383 - 33.1%
Con 176 + 143 = 319 - 27.6%
NoD 31 + 20 =51 - 4.4%
1 Lib Dem gain from Conservative, 1 Labour gain from Conservative
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Post by andrewteale on Sept 21, 2012 17:59:37 GMT
I've been to Chadsmead ward a couple of times in the last year - the British Quizzing Championships were held in the ward earlier this month. It's pretty much housingestateland.
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Rural Radical
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Post by Rural Radical on Sept 21, 2012 21:14:26 GMT
Nottinghamshire Rufford Lab 1,557 - 58.0% Con 660 - 24.6% Ind 346 - 12.9% UKIP 123 - 4.6% that result is more than satisifying ! Great result. Notts CC next year will be interersting  |
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Post by A Brown on Sept 23, 2012 12:10:29 GMT
that result is more than satisifying ! Great result. Notts CC next year will be interersting I'm not sure it will be that interesting as we all know Labour will gain Nottinghamshire council outright anyway. It was quite a strong result in an area which is trending/has trended away from Labour anyway, I will say that. |
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Rural Radical
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Post by Rural Radical on Sept 23, 2012 12:28:45 GMT
Yes. When you compare Sherwood to Gedling at the last GE.
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