Witney

[markf]

Oct 20, 2016 20:21:09 GMT Adam in Stroud said:

Yeah, but I'd have to drink northern beer.

(Tin hat)

Northern beer is the proper beer

[Andrew_S]

Oct 20, 2016 21:15:40 GMT Adrian said:

My prediction is Con 16,000 LD 10,000

Any figures for Labour and the other parties? Just wondering whether you expect the Tories to hit 50%.

[Adrian]

Oct 20, 2016 20:08:46 GMT justlooking said:

Oct 20, 2016 20:03:39 GMT AdminSTB said:

A Lib Dem gain would cause me a great deal of befuddlement, given the present overall political climate. If the Tories were as far behind at this point as they were in October 1990, for instance - as opposed to getting the kind of leads they were getting in the run up to the 1983 election - I would have been a great deal more worried about their prospects.

This was until todays by election the Conservatives 32nd safest seat. I would expect a drop, but to lose it would be. Well it would be that sensational that scousers might buy a copy of the sun on Saturday to read all about it.

There have been Lib/LD successes in the past that have gone against the polling grain. I agree that the Tories are probably running too high in the polls for them to lose (because there will always be enough people who don't think about local or current issues when voting) but it would hardly be a miracle if the LDs won. People can want a Con govt but vote for LDs in a by-election to "send a message".

[markf]

my prediction
CON 62%
LDP 16%
LAB 7%
UKIP 7%
GRN 5%
OTH 3%

[Adam in Stroud]

Oct 20, 2016 21:23:30 GMT markf said:

Northern beer is the proper beer

To be serious for a minute (sod all this political malarkey) I'd argue that the proper beer is the local beer, wherever you are.

Now I think of it, I think "proper" originally meant "belonging to" so that is almost a tautology.  And therefore correct.

[greenhert]

My prediction:

Conservative 50
Liberal Democrats 21
Labour 15
Green 6
UKIP 6
NHAP 1
Others 1

[Andrew_S]

Live blog from Oxford Times:

www.oxfordtimes.co.uk/news/14815246.LIVE__Witney_by_election_count_and_results/?ref=twtrec

[Devil Wincarnate]

I agree that the proper beer is the local beer, but only when Joseph Holt bitter (from the handpump not the smoothflow) is not available.

On that note, Arthur Figgis will be delighted to know that the beer in Iceland is brilliant.

[The Bishop]

Oct 20, 2016 21:29:01 GMT markf said:

my prediction
CON 62%
LDP 16%
LAB 7%
UKIP 7%
GRN 5%
OTH 3%

Following my Batley comment, going to stick my neck out here and predict the Tories won't be that high either.

[andrew111]

Oct 20, 2016 22:34:03 GMT The Bishop said:

Oct 20, 2016 21:29:01 GMT markf said:

my prediction
CON 62%
LDP 16%
LAB 7%
UKIP 7%
GRN 5%
OTH 3%

Following my Batley comment, going to stick my neck out here and predict the Tories won't be that high either.

I agree, low turnout rumoured and lots of activity by opposition parties means a much reduced Conservative vote share

[Deleted]

Turnout 47% (provisional)

[The Bishop]

Decent-ish turnout, interesting to see whether it benefits the Tories or their opponents more.

[Sibboleth]

Though this is always a high turnout constituency.

[iainbhx]

Oct 20, 2016 22:56:51 GMT Sibboleth said:

Though this is always a high turnout constituency.

73%ish in the general

[Jack]

Oct 20, 2016 22:32:58 GMT Devil Wincarnate said:

I agree that the proper beer is the local beer, but only when Joseph Holt bitter (from the handpump not the smoothflow) is not available.

On that note, Arthur Figgis will be delighted to know that the beer in Iceland is brilliant.

Is it nice over there? The country, not the beer.

I've wanted to visit ever since I saw the TV show Trapped at the beginning of the year.

[pepperminttea]

Oct 20, 2016 22:51:41 GMT The Bishop said:

Decent-ish turnout, interesting to see whether it benefits the Tories or their opponents more.

I don't know about Labour but the Lib Dems are usually helped by low turnout.

[Arthur Figgis]

Oct 20, 2016 22:32:58 GMT Devil Wincarnate said:

I agree that the proper beer is the local beer, but only when Joseph Holt bitter (from the handpump not the smoothflow) is not available.

On that note, Arthur Figgis will be delighted to know that the beer in Iceland is brilliant.

I used to work in Iceland. The beer was rubbish. Small branch though.

[Devil Wincarnate]

Oct 20, 2016 22:48:28 GMT ArmchairCritic said:

Oct 20, 2016 22:32:58 GMT Devil Wincarnate said:

I agree that the proper beer is the local beer, but only when Joseph Holt bitter (from the handpump not the smoothflow) is not available.

On that note, Arthur Figgis will be delighted to know that the beer in Iceland is brilliant.

Thye best brewery in Manchester in my view is Marble Brewery. Excellent stuff

Marble are excellent but sadly have cut the ginger bitter.

[Devil Wincarnate]

Oct 20, 2016 23:09:46 GMT Jack said:

Oct 20, 2016 22:32:58 GMT Devil Wincarnate said:

I agree that the proper beer is the local beer, but only when Joseph Holt bitter (from the handpump not the smoothflow) is not available.

On that note, Arthur Figgis will be delighted to know that the beer in Iceland is brilliant.

Is it nice over there? The country, not the beer.

I've wanted to visit ever since I saw the TV show Trapped at the beginning of the year.

It's great, even better if you get out of Reykjavik.

[mrhell]

Oct 20, 2016 23:37:44 GMT ArmchairCritic said:

Oct 20, 2016 23:23:56 GMT Devil Wincarnate said:

Marble are excellent but sadly have cut the ginger bitter.

That is bad news because it was the only ginger flavour bitter I ever liked....and I loved it.

Always sold out quickly at beer fetsvials.