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Post by marksenior on Aug 17, 2016 18:51:56 GMT
Lots this week so starting early
Gravesham Pelham Lab 40 Con 30 UKIP 18 Green 5 Eng Dem 4 Lib Dem 3
Kent Gravesham Lab 38 Con 30 UKIP 21 Green 6 Lib Dem 5
Redcar Ormesby Lib Dem 50 Lab 26 Con 12 UKIP 8 NE 4
Richmondshire Catterick Con 36 Ind 25 Green 22 Lib Dem 17
Thanet UKIP 30 Lab 28 Con 27 United Thanet 8 Lib Dem 4 Ind 3 elected 1 UKIP 1 Lab
Wandsworth Tooting Lab 52 Con 32 Green 7 Lib Dem 6 SDP 3
Waverley Farnham Shortheath Res 37 Con 35 Lib Dem 18 Ind 10
Waverley Farnham Castle Res 39 Con 33 Lib Dem 20 UKIP 8
Surrey CC Farnham South Con 34 Res 29 Lib Dem 16 Lab 10 UKIP 8 Ind 3
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Post by Robert Waller on Aug 17, 2016 22:21:57 GMT
Gravesham Pelham Lab 41 Con 34 UKIP 14 Green 4 Eng Dem 3 Lib Dem 4
Kent Gravesham Lab 40 Con 38 UKIP 14 Green 3 Lib Dem 5
Redcar Ormesby Lib Dem 50 Lab 22 Con 11 UKIP 12 NE 5
Richmondshire Catterick Con 45 Ind 30 Green 5 Lib Dem 20
Thanet UKIP 30 Lab 25 Con 25 United Thanet 10 Lib Dem 5 Ind 5
Wandsworth Tooting Lab 62 Con 23 Green 6 Lib Dem 5 SDP 4
Waverley Farnham Shortheath Res 35 Con 34 Lib Dem 15 Ind 8 UKIP 8
Waverley Farnham Castle Res 33 Con 25 Lib Dem 36 UKIP 6
Surrey CC Farnham South Con 40 Res 23 Lib Dem 20 Lab 5 UKIP 6 Ind 6
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Aug 18, 2016 0:06:23 GMT
GRAVESHAM Pelham: Lab 41, C 37, UKIP 14, ED 3, GP 3, L Dem 2
KENT Gravesham East: Lab 44, C 33, UKIP 15, GP 4, L Dem 3
REDCAR AND CLEVELAND Ormesby: L Dem 50, Lab 26, C 12, UKIP 8, NEP 4
RICHMONDSHIRE Catterick: C 48, Ind 30, L Dem 16, GP 6
THANET Northwood: UKIP 31, Lab 30, C 26, PUT 7, L Dem 3, Ind 3
WANDSWORTH Tooting: Lab 55, C 29, GP 10, L Dem 5, SDP 1
SURREY Farnham South: C 35, RA 30, L Dem 13, Ind 11, UKIP 7, Lab 4
WAVERLEY Farnham Shortheath and Boundstone: RA 39, C 35, L Dem 14, UKIP 7, Ind 5
WAVERLEY Farnham Castle: RA 40, C 37, L Dem 15, UKIP 8
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Post by hempie on Aug 18, 2016 7:40:16 GMT
Gravesham, Pelham: Lab 42, Con 32, UKIP 15, Green 4, LD 4, Eng Dem 3
Kent, Gravesham: Lab 42, Con 34, UKIP 16, Green 4, LD 4
Redcar, Ormesby: LD 45,Lab 26, UKIP 13, Con 10, NE 6
Richmondshire, Catterick: Con 48, Ind 29, LD 19, Green 4
Thanet, Northwood: Lab 31, UKIP 27, Con 23, United Thanet 8, LD 6, Ind 5
Wandsworth, Tooting: Lab 59, Con 23, Green 9, LD 7, SDP 2
Waverley, Farnham Shortheath: Res 35, Con 34, LD 17, UKIP 8, Ind 6
Waverley, Farnham Castle: Res 38, Con 30, LD 25, UKIP 7
Surrey, Farnham South: Con 34, Res 30, LD 20, Ind 6, Lab 5, UKIP 5
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,306 
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Post by maxque on Aug 18, 2016 7:57:58 GMT
Gravesham, Pelham: Lab 42, Con 38, UKIP 8, ED 7, LD 3, Grn 2
Kent, Gravesham: Lab 38, Con 28, UKIP 23, Grn 9, LD 2
Redcar, Ormesby: LD 45, Lab 21, UKIP 18, Con 14, NE 2
Richmondshire, Catterick: Con 46, LD 28, Ind 22, Grn 4
Thanet, Northwood: UKIP 34, Lab 30, Con 29, United Thanet 4, LD 2, Ind 1
Wandsworth, Tooting: Lab 46, Con 30, Green 13, LD 10, SDP 1
Waverley, Farnham Shortheath: FR 36, Con 34, LD 19, UKIP 6, Ind 5
Waverley, Farnham Castle: FR 35.6, Con 32.8, LD 22.4, UKIP 9.2
Surrey, Farnham South: Con 38, Res 28, Ind 13, LD 12, UKIP 5, Lab 4
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Post by greenhert on Aug 18, 2016 8:26:20 GMT
Gravesham BC, Pelham: Labour 40, Conservative 37, UKIP 12, Green 4, English Democrats 4, Liberal Democrats 3.
Kent CC, Gravesham: Lab 37, Con 32, UKIP 19, Green 8, Lib Dem 4.
Redcar & Cleveland UA, Ornesby: Lib Dem 42, Lab 27, UKIP 15, Con 12, North East Party 4.
Richmondshire DC, Catterick: Con 48, Lib Dem 27, Independent 20, Green 5.
Thanet DC, Northwood: Lab 30, UKIP 29, Con 25, Independent 3, Lib Dem 2, United Thanet 1.
Wandsworth LBC, Tooting: Lab 48, Con 31, Green 10, Lib Dem 9, SDP 2.
Waverley DC, Farnham Shortheath: FR 37, Con 33, Lib Dem 18, UKIP 7, Independent 5.
Waverley DC, Farnham Castle: FR 36, Con 33, Lib Dem 23, UKIP 8.
Surrey CC, Farnham South: Con 37, Residents 30, Lib Dem 13, Independent 10, UKIP 5, Lab 5.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Aug 18, 2016 8:30:54 GMT
Wandsworth LB - Tooting Lab 59.2% Con 23.8% Grn 7.6% LD 5.4% UKIP 2.6% SDP 1.4% Redcar & Cleveland UA - Ormesby LD 48.6% Lab 24.4% UKIP 12.6% Con 10.8% NEP 3.6% Kent CC - Gravesham East Con 39.5% Lab 38.3% UKIP 15.2% LD 3.6% Grn 3.4% Surrey CC - Farnham South Con 36.1% FR 23.2% LD 12.2% Ind 11.7% UKIP 8.5% Lab 8.3% Gravesham BC - Pelham Lab 46.1% Con 31.8% UKIP 12.6% Grn 5.4% LD 2.5% ED 1.6% Richmondshire DC - Catterick Con 37.5% LD 31.1% Ind 23.1% Grn 8.3% Thanet DC - Northwood UKIP 35.8% Lab 33.9% Con 24.9% PUT 2.1% Ind 1.7% LD 1.6% Waverley BC - Farnham Castle FR 35.7% Con 31.8% LD 25.1% UKIP 7.4% Waverley BC - Farnham Shortheath & Boundstone Con 38.5% FR 31.9% LD 16.8% UKIP 6.7% Ind 6.1% |
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Pimpernal
Forum Regular
A left-wing agenda within a right-wing framework...
Posts: 2,873
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Post by Pimpernal on Aug 18, 2016 17:10:08 GMT
I would be disappointed if UKIP didn't get over 20% in Gravesend East...
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Post by middleenglander on Aug 18, 2016 19:50:37 GMT
7 entries again this week with Greenhert getting 9 x 5 additional faults for being nearly ½ hour late. He also gets 10 additional faults for only adding to 90% in Thanet whilst Pete Whitehead gets 2.6% for a non-existent UKIP candidate in Wandsworth and David Boothroyd 1 for adding to 99% in Kent. Mark Senior does not have a prediction for UKIP in Farnham Shortheath & Boundstone but this is not faultable.
Gravesham: 100% Labour hold with majority over Conservative ranging from 3% (Greenhert) to 14.3% (Pete Whitehead)
Kent: 6 Labour hold with majority over Conservative ranging from 2% (Robert Waller) to 11% David Boothroyd; Pete Whitehead Conservative gain
Redcar & Cleveland: 100% Liberal Democrat hold with majority over Labour ranging from 15% (Greenhert) to 28% (Robert Waller)
Richmondshire: 100% Conservative gain from Independent with majority ranging from 6.4% (Pete Whitehead over Liberal Democrat) to Greenhert (21% over Liberal Democrat)
Surrey: 100% Conservative hold with majority over Farnham Residents ranging from 4% (hempie) to 17% (Robert Waller)
Thanet: 5 UKIP polling highest average vote with Greenhert & Hempie Labour highest average vote
Wandsworth: 100% Labour hold with majority over Conservative ranging from 16% (Maxque) to 39% (Robert Waller)
Farnham Castle: 6 Farnham Residents gain from Conservative with majority ranging from 3% (David Boothroyd & Greenhert) to 8% (hempie; Robert Waller Liberal Democrat gain
Farnham Shortheath & Boundstone: 6 Farnham Residents gain from Conservative with majority ranging from 1% (hempie & Robert Waller) to 4% (David Boothroyd & Greenhert): Pete Whitehead Conservative hold
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Aug 18, 2016 20:33:18 GMT
Pete Whitehead gets 2.6% for a non-existent UKIP candidate in Wandsworth Probably not much more than the faults I'd have got if there had been a UKIP candidate |
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Post by middleenglander on Aug 18, 2016 23:11:58 GMT
Gravesham, Pelham
Pete Whitehead 15.3 faults, hempie 19.2, Robert Waller 21.2, Maxque 24.8, David Boothroyd 25.8, Mark Senior 26.0, Greenhert 25.2+5
Kent, Gravesham East
Pete Whitehead 23.4 faults, Mark Senior 22.0+10, Maxque 22.5+10, hempie 24.6+10, Robert Waller 26.6+10, Greenhert 22.0+5+10, David Boothroyd 27.6+1+10
Redcar & Cleveland, Ormesby
Robert Waller 50.8 faults, Pete Whitehead 53.6, David Boothroyd & Mark Senior 56.0, hempie & Maxque 60.8, Greenhert 66.8+5
Richmondshire, Catterick
Maxque 18.4 faults, Pete Whitehead 20.7, Greenhert 21.4+5, Robert Waller 34.4, hempie 36.4, David Boothroyd 42.4, Mark Senior 51.9
Surrey, Farnham South
Maxque 17.2 faults, David Boothroyd 19.2, Greenhert 15.2+5, hempie 21.5, Robert Waller 23.5, Mark Senior 29.5, Pete Whitehead 30.6
Thanet, Northwood
Robert Waller 23.2 faults, David Boothroyd, Mark Senior & Maxque 24.8, Pete Whitehead 26.0, hempie 26.1+10, Greenhert 25.7+5+10+10
Wandsworth, Tooting
hempie 12.6 faults, Pete Whitehead 11.6+2.6, Robert Waller 16.6, David Boothroyd 18.2, Mark Senior 22.2, Maxque 26.2, Greenhert 24.2+5
Waverley, Castle
hempie 16.7 faults, Pete Whitehead 21.1, Mark Senior 24.7, Robert Waller 15.3+10, Maxque 26.7, Greenhert 24.7+5, David Boothroyd 32.7
Waverley, Shortheath & Boundstone
David Boothroyd 18.7 faults, Maxque 24.7, hempie & Robert Waller 25.2, Greenhert 22.7+5, Mark Senior 28.1, Pete Whitehead 31.4+10
and for the week
Pete Whitehead 246.3 faults, Maxque 256.0, Robert Waller 256.7, hempie 263.0, David Boothroyd 276.3, Mark Senior 295.2, Greenhert 322.9
and with one week of August to go
473.5 Maxque
481.7 Pete Whitehead
503.1 Mark Senior
518.8 Robert Waller
528.5 hempie
570.0 Greenhert
583.2 David Boothroyd
Objections please by noon Sunday.
Just the one by-election in the last week of August. Predictions on this thead by 9.00 am Thursday,
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Post by Robert Waller on Aug 25, 2016 0:04:03 GMT
Fife, The Lochs
Thomas Kirby (Communist Party of Britain) 4%
Mary Lockhart (Scottish Labour Party) 45
Malcolm McDonald (Scottish Conservative and Unionist) 4
Lea McLelland (Scottish National Party (SNP)) 44
Bradford Oliver (Scottish Green Party) 3
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Aug 25, 2016 0:14:54 GMT
FIFE The Lochs: SNP 41, Lab 38, SGP 9, C 7, CPB 5
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,306
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Post by maxque on Aug 25, 2016 2:55:34 GMT
The Lochs, Fife: Lab 44.2, SNP 39.2, CPB 10, Con 4, Grn 2.6
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Post by marksenior on Aug 25, 2016 6:36:44 GMT
Fife Lab 53 SNP 31 Comm 8 Con 6 Green 2
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Post by hempie on Aug 25, 2016 7:32:04 GMT
Fife,The Lochs: SNP 42, Lab 38, Green 8, Con 6, Communist 6
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Aug 25, 2016 8:19:56 GMT
Fife - The Lochs Lab 53.4% SNP 35.6% Con 6.2% Comm 2.7% Grn 2.1% |
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Post by middleenglander on Aug 25, 2016 19:13:18 GMT
Just 6 predictions this week with nothing from Greenhert.
Fife, The Lochs: 4 have Labour ahead on first preferences, with only Pete Whitehead having over 50%, whilst David Boothroyd & hempie have SNP ahead.
- majority ranges from 1% (Robert Waller) to 22% (Mark Senior).
I believe the winner for August can only be Maxque or Pete Whitehead.
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Post by middleenglander on Aug 25, 2016 23:19:34 GMT
Fife, The Lochs
Pete Whitehead 13.6 faults, Robert Waller 15.5, Maxque 17.1, Mark Senior 22.4, David Boothroyd 23.5+10, hempie 25.5+10
and for the month
490.7 Maxque
495.2 Pete Whitehead
525.5 Mark Senior
534.3 Robert Waller
564.1 hempie
616.7 David Boothroyd
Pete Whitehead's error of having a non-existent UKIP candidate in Wandsworth, Tooting may well have cost him the winner's place this month.
Objections please by 9.00 am Sunday.
New thread for September although we need a few more participants to make it worthwhile. Tony Otim in particular said he would return after the summer.
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