Prediction competition for June 2016

[Pete Whitehead]

Jun 8, 2016 20:16:54 GMT petewhitehead said:

Lambeth BC - Gipsy Hill

Lab   61.6%
Con  15.4%
Grn   10.3%
LD       7.7%
UKIP   2.5%
Ind      1.3%
TUSC  1.2%


Southwark LB - Surrey Docks

LD     34.1%
Lab   24.9%
Con  21.7%
Grn     8.1%
UKIP   6.6%
Ind      4.6%


Essex CC - Basildon Laindon Park & Fryerns

UKIP 38.1%
Lab   37.1%
Con   22.7%
Grn     2.1%


NE Lincolnshire UA - South

Lab    50.2%
UKIP  30.9%
Con    12.9%
Grn      3.1%
TUSC   2.9%

[middleenglander]

8 entries this week with Lennon lost on manoeuvres. Mark Senior gets 10 additional faults for adding to 110% in North East Lincolnshire whilst David Boothroyd gets 2 additional faults for adding to 102% in Southwark.

Essex: 6 Labour hold with majority ranging from 1% (Maxque) to 11% (Robert Waller), hedgehog and Pete Whitehead narrow UKIP gain
Lambeth: 7 Labour hold with majority ranging from 38% over Green (hempie) to 51% over Conservative (Maxque) with hedgehog Green gain
North East Lincolnshire: 7 Labour hold with majority over UKIP ranging from 15% (hempie) to 40% (Mark Senior) with hedgehog UKIP gain
Southwark: 100% Liberal Democrat hold with majority ranging from 1% over Labour (Mark Senior) to 13% over Labour (Maxque)

[middleenglander]

Essex, Basildon Laindon Park & Fryerns
hedgehog 12.2 faults, Pete Whitehead 15.8, Maxque 11.9+10, Mark Senior 15.2+10, hempie 17.0+10, Greenhert 18.2+10, David Boothroyd 21.0+10, Robert Waller 23.0+10

Lambeth, Gipsey Hill
hedgehog 26.9+10 faults, hempie 46.2, Mark Senior 58.2, David Boothroyd, Greenhert & Robert Waller 60.2, Maxque 62.8, Pete Whitehead 63.7

North East Lincolnshire, South
Maxque 10.8 faults, Pete Whitehead 13.2, Greenhert 18.9, David Boothroyd & hempie 19.0, Robert Waller 26.9, hedgehog 26.1+10, Mark Senior 32.9+10

Southwark, Surrey Docks
Pete Whitehead 35.2 faults, Maxque 36.0, hempie 36.1, Greenhert 37.4, David Boothroyd 36.8+2, Mark Senior & Robert Waller 42.1, hedgehog 53.4

and for the week:
Pete Whitehead 128.0 faults, hempie 128.2, Maxque 131.6, hedgehog 138.6,Greenhert 144.6, David Boothroyd 149.0, Robert Waller 162.1, Mark Senior 168.2

and for the first two weeks of June:
291.3 Pete Whitehead
305.7 hempie
306.9 Maxque

338.2 Greenhert
349.3 Robert Waller
356.5 Mark Senior

375.3 hedgehog
379.1 David Boothroyd

Objections please by noon Sunday

Just the 1 by-election next week.  Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am Thursday

[Tony Otim]

Jun 10, 2016 6:59:48 GMT middleenglander said:

Essex, Basildon Laindon Park & Fryerns
hedgehog 12.2 faults, Pete Whitehead 15.8, Maxque 11.9+10, Mark Senior 15.2+10, hempie 17.0+10, Greenhert 18.2+10, David Boothroyd 21.0+10, Robert Waller 23.0+10

Lambeth, Gipsey Hill
hedgehog 26.9+10 faults, hempie 46.2, Mark Senior 58.2, David Boothroyd, Greenhert & Robert Waller 60.2, Maxque 62.8, Pete Whitehead 63.7

North East Lincolnshire, South
Maxque 10.8 faults, Pete Whitehead 13.2, Greenhert 18.9, David Boothroyd & hempie 19.0, Robert Waller 26.9, hedgehog 26.1+10, Mark Senior 32.9+10

Southwark, Surrey Docks
Pete Whitehead 35.2 faults, Maxque 36.0, hempie 36.1, Greenhert 37.4, David Boothroyd 36.8+2, Mark Senior & Robert Waller 42.1, hedgehog 53.4

and for the week:
Pete Whitehead 128.0 faults, hempie 128.2, Maxque 131.6, hedgehog 138.6,Greenhert 144.6, David Boothroyd 149.0, Robert Waller 162.1, Mark Senior 168.2

and for the first two weeks of June:
291.3 Pete Whitehead
305.7 hempie
306.9 Maxque

338.2 Greenhert
349.3 Robert Waller
356.5 Mark Senior

375.3 hedgehog
379.1 David Boothroyd

Objections please by noon Sunday

Just the 1 by-election next week.  Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am Thursday

It must be quite rare that the only contestant to back the wrong winner actually has the best prediction

Congratulations to Pete for the week and month to date.

I will be back at some point, but maybe not till after the summer.

[hedgehog]

Kings Lynn- not got a clue on this one, but might as well go first.

Lab 43
Con 27
UKIP 16
Green 9
Lib Dem 5

[greenhert]

King's Lynn & West Norfolk DC, Valley Hill:

Labour 43, Conservative 28, UKIP 18, Green 6, Liberal Democrats 5.

[lennon]

Apologies for missing last week.

King's Lynn & West Norfolk DC, Valley Hill:

Labour 30, Conservative 25, UKIP 35, Green 5, Liberal Democrats 5.

[marksenior]

Kings Lynn - Not a clue

Con 32 Lab 28 UKIP 24 Green 9 LDem 7

[Robert Waller]

Kings Lynn

Con 31 Lab 16 UKIP 20 Green 28 LDem 5

[Davıd Boothroyd]

KING'S LYNN AND WEST NORFOLK Valley Hill: C 40, Lab 25, UKIP 20, L Dem 10, GP 5

[maxque]

Valley Hill:

Con 40.1, Lab 22.8, UKIP 20.8, LD 8.5, Grn 7.8

[hempie]

King's Lynn & West Norfolk, Valley Hill: Con 32, Lab 26, UKIP 26, Green 8, Lib Dem 8

[Pete Whitehead]

Jun 15, 2016 18:22:51 GMT petewhitehead said:

Con   38.8%
UKIP  24.9%
Lab    19.6%
Grn      8.9%
LD        7.8%

[middleenglander]

9 entries this week with Lennon re-appearing.

Kings Lynn & West Norfolk:
- 6 Conservative win with majority ranging from 3% over Green (Robert Waller) to 17.3% over Labour (Maxque) with Greenhert & hedgehog Labour win and Lennon UKIP win.

[middleenglander]

Kings Lynn & West Norfolk, Valley Hill
David Boothroyd 13.6 faults, Maxque 19.2, Pete Whitehead 29.6, hempie 33.6, Mark Senior 35.6, Greenhert 47.6+10, Robert Waller 58.0, hedgehog 49.6+10, Lennon 53.6+10

and for the month to date:

321.0 Pete Whitehead
326.2 Maxque
339.3 hempie

392.1 Mark Senior
392.7 David Boothroyd
395.8 Greenhert

407.3 Robert Waller
434.8 hedgehog
720.8 Lennon

Objections please by 5.00 pm Saturday.

1 by-election next week. Preductions on this thread by 9.00 am Thursday

[hedgehog]

Windsor and Maidenhead
Conservative 40
Lib Dems 29
UKIP 20
Labour 11

[Robert Waller]

Windsor and Maidenhead
Conservative 57
Lib Dems 20
UKIP 13
Labour 10

[marksenior]

Windsor Con 53 LD 22 UKIP 15 Lab 10

[greenhert]

Windsor & Maidenhead UA, Sunninghill & South Ascot: Conservative 51, Liberal Democrats 25, Labour 13, UKIP 11.

[Davıd Boothroyd]

WINDSOR AND MAIDENHEAD Sunninghill and South Ascot: C 52, UKIP 26, L Dem 14, Lab 8