andrea
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Post by andrea on Oct 18, 2021 13:01:31 GMT
Exit polls for Rai TV for run-offs
Rome
Gualtieri (centre-left) 59-63%
Michetti (centre-right) 37-41%
Turin
Lo Russo (centre-left) 56-60%
Damilano (centre-right) 40-44%
Trieste
Dipiazza (centre-right) 48-52%
Russo (centre-left) 48-52%
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Oct 18, 2021 14:18:00 GMT
Trieste looking like a narrow hold by centre-right incumbent Dipiazza
PD candidates in Rome and Turin are at around 59%. In Turin 830 polling stations out of 919 have already reported. Gualtieri is already doing in his victory speech in Rome.
As for the other cities
Varese: incumbent PD Galimberti looks to have been re-elected. 53 to 47% with 75 polling stations reported out of 85. His 6 points lead has been stable since the first 20 polling places reported. Before his win last time, it was a Lega stronghold. So they had lots of stops from big hitters.
Savona: centre-left is winning the run off easily. Gaining it back after their loss 5 years ago. Traditionally it was a left leaning town.
Benevento: Mastella ahead.
Cosenza: centre-left leading with 58% with 2/3 counted
Caserta: very very close. Centre-left won it last time IIRC
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 18, 2021 14:34:54 GMT
Trieste looking like a narrow hold by centre-right incumbent Dipiazza Caserta: very very close. Centre-left won it last time IIRC Yes, Caserta was won by the PD. Trieste is a surprise - the FI-incumbent is popular, it was 47%:32% (albeit the rest admittingly mostly left-wing). |
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Oct 18, 2021 14:45:09 GMT
Cosenza final
Francesco Caruso (centre-left) 57,81
Francesco Caruso (centre-right) 42,19
yes, they have the sane name
Savona final
Marco Russo (centre-left) 62,25%
Angelo Schirru (centre-right) 37,75
Both gains with incumbent not standing again.
Savona was a given based on round 1. Cosenza not so much.
Caserta
With 60 polling stations out of 91 reported
Centre-left has now opened a lead. 52 to 48%
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Post by rcronald on Oct 18, 2021 14:50:51 GMT
Cosenza final Francesco Caruso (centre-left) 57,81 Francesco Caruso (centre-right) 42,19 yes, they have the sane name Savona final Marco Russo (centre-left) 62,25% Angelo Schirru (centre-right) 37,75 Both gains with incumbent not standing again. Savona was a given based on round 1. Cosenza not so much. Caserta With 60 polling stations out of 91 reported Centre-left has now opened a lead. 52 to 48% I’ve noticed that for at least a couple of years the centre-right coalition are underperforming in 2nd rounds everywhere, is there a reason for that? |
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Oct 18, 2021 15:37:02 GMT
Turin final Lo Russo (CL) 59.23% Damilano (CR) 40.77% CL gain from M5S. Historically Turin is a left leaning city. Varese final Davide Galimberti (CL) 53.20% Matteo Bianchi (CR) 46.8% CL hold. Used to be a Lega stronghold until 2016. I’ve noticed that for at least a couple of years the centre-right coalition are underperforming in 2nd rounds everywhere, is there a reason for that? Turnout drops. Usually by a lot in normal years when round 2 is in June. In Italy, leftish voters are more keen to turn out to vote. So low turnout election tends to favour them. Moreover, centre-right parties tended to be more "leadership" parties at national level (Forza Italia being the most obvious case). They struggled a bit in building local political classes. In Round 1 you also vote for the party (for the council chamber). This leads to some right voters to be more inclined to turnout. Then, in run-off, the party lists can't carry the candidate. |
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Oct 18, 2021 15:39:17 GMT
Trieste final
Dipiazza (CR) 51.3%
Russo (CL) 48.7%
CR hold
Isernia final
Pietro Castrataro (CL) 58,72
Gabriele Melogli (CR) 41.28
CL gain
Benevento final
Clemente Mastella (CR) 52,68
Luigi Parafano (CL) 47,32
Mastella hold
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Oct 18, 2021 18:12:59 GMT
Rome final Gualtieri (CL) 60,15% Michetti (CR) 39.85% Caserta final Carlo Marino (CL, *incumbent) 53,65% Giampiero Zinzi (CR) 46,35% Latina final rcronald, this one is for you, in terms of round 1 vs 2 gaps Round 1 - Turnout 61.18% Vincenzo Zaccheo (CR) 30,433 votes - 48.3% Damiano Colletta (CL) 22,469 votes - 35.7% Round 2 - Turnout 52.72% Colletta 30,293 votes - 54.9% Zaccheo 24,888 votes - 45.1% Lists supporting Zaccheo polled 53% 2 weeks ago. So no "winning bonus" for Colletta's lists. Hence, no majority on the council. So likely new election soon unless there will be some defections. |
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Post by rcronald on Oct 18, 2021 18:47:02 GMT
Rome final Gualtieri (CL) 60,15% Michetti (CR) 39.85% Caserta final Carlo Marino (CL, *incumbent) 53,65% Giampiero Zinzi (CR) 46,35% Latina final rcronald, this one is for you, in terms of round 1 vs 2 gaps Round 1 - Turnout 61.18% Vincenzo Zaccheo (CR) 30,433 votes - 48.3% Damiano Colletta (CL) 22,469 votes - 35.7% Round 2 - Turnout 52.72% Colletta 30,293 votes - 54.9% Zaccheo 24,888 votes - 45.1% Lists supporting Zaccheo polled 53% 2 weeks ago. So no "winning bonus" for Colletta's lists. Hence, no majority on the council. So likely new election soon unless there will be some defections. Bloody hell! |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 19, 2021 14:03:13 GMT
andrea , have You found anywhere an OverView, how the parties performed by votes/councillors all in all - so not only those 20 DistrictCapitals, but also the smaller ones?
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Oct 19, 2021 18:50:21 GMT
andrea , have You found anywhere an OverView, how the parties performed by votes/councillors all in all - so not only those 20 DistrictCapitals, but also the smaller ones? I saw totals by mayors elected in municipalities over 15,000 inhabitants. See for instance, here.... elezioni.repubblica.it/2021/elezioni-comunali/Select "comuni superiori". Then you get first column: name fo the elected mayor with the general affiliation below (centrosinistra=centre-left; centrodestra=center-right; Mov. 5 Stelle=M5S; civiche=local lists) second column: name of the municipality third column: region fourth column: % of the vote. Worthless because in some cases it is first round % (when the. mayor got 50%+ in round 1) and in some cases it is the run off's %) .. last column: affiliation of the incumbent. For municipalities below 15,000 it is worthless to check because it is basically "United for [insert name municipality]" vs "Together fo [insert name municipality]" vs "A better [insert name municipality]" |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 19, 2021 22:32:39 GMT
Mayors in municipalities with more than 15.000 InHabitants ("Alt" = before, "Neu" = after this election):  |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 9, 2021 19:47:25 GMT
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 9, 2021 20:00:49 GMT
Naples:   |
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Jun 8, 2022 19:07:04 GMT
Local elections on Sunday. Back to only one day of voting (finally) List of municipalities voting dait.interno.gov.it/documenti/elenco_enti_amministrative_2022.pdf26 head towns of provinces 142 municipalities with over 15,000 inhabitants 829 municipalities with less 15,000 inhabitants 67 municipalities which didn't complete the previous 5 years term 19 municipalities whose administration has been dissolved by Interior Ministry before the end of the natural term Each will elect a mayor and the municipal council. For mayors, to be elected a) 50+% needed in municipalities over 15,000 inhabitants. Otherwise top 2 will advance to round 2 to be held after two weeks. In these municipalities, each mayoral candidate can be supported by more council lists. Voters can vote a candidate for mayor and a list not supporting him/her in the city council. The so-called "split vote". There is only one ballot paper. So it is done by putting 2 crosses over it. b) first placed candidates in municipalities with less than 15,000 inhabitants. In these municipalities, each mayoral candidate can be supported by only one council list. Lists linked to winning mayoral candidate get a bonus in the allocation of seats to guarantee them a majority in the city council. This won't be the case only if in Round 1 a list/coalition of lists goes over 50% but because of split vote, their mayoral candidate is forced to a run off and lose it. It is not a common occurrence but it has happened. Even if directly elected, mayors in Italy need to get everything through the council with majority of Cllrs supporting them. |
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Post by robert1 on Jun 9, 2022 8:48:02 GMT
I have a full set of voting papers on my dining table. The multiplicity involved makes our system look positively paperwork lite.
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Jun 12, 2022 18:10:25 GMT
Referenda on justice issues are going to failed as expected. Turnout at 19 is below 14%. It is miles away from the needed 50% with 4 hours to go.
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 13, 2022 1:10:26 GMT
The mayors will be counted today (monDay). RAI came out with ExitPolls, which are quite good for CentroDestra: www.rainews.it/maratona/2022/06/elezioni-al-via-dalle-7-il--voto-per-amministrative-e-referendum-003a1224-ac5e-47c3-977f-84f3597802ff.htmlGeno(v)a has amusingly become a right strongHold these days (well: nearly) and Bucci's reElection was not in doubt. But Palermo was expected to be close and isn't (according to that ExitPoll). In L'Aquila the FdI-inCumbent is on the verge to be outright elected (as predicted by an internal poll). Catanzaro should once more remain in the right camp. In Verona the 2 CDX-candidates received in theory a broad majority together, but are badly split, what could save in the RunOff the CSX-incumbent. Only Parma would be a success for CSX on these numbers. |
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Jun 13, 2022 7:47:25 GMT
Referendums all failed. 21% turnout. Lowest ever. Previous bottom was 23%. Average turnout for local elections is 54.72%. It was 60.12% last time these municipalities voted. But Palermo was expected to be close and isn't (according to that ExitPoll). I Was it? I saw a poll a few weeks ago with CDX leading by 15 points. However, yes, I think before there was also a more closer poll. All over the place as always for opining polling in Italy. In Verona the 2 CDX-candidates received in theory a broad majority together, but are badly split, what could save in the RunOff the CSX-incumbent. The incumbent in Verona is CDX. The two "tied" CDX candidates are the current mayor and the previous mayor. The CSX candidate a former football player who used to play in Rome FC. |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 14, 2022 3:32:35 GMT
Some stuff, thankfully taken from YouTrend: The municipalities with elections this year are quite indicative for the whole country, cf. comparison of EP-election 2019 in Italy as a whole (right) and only the municipalities up in 2022 (left):  Preliminary results (without Sicily&FVG) in all municipalities with more than 15.000 inHabitants:  In provincial capitals alone:  FdI vs. Lega:  FdI:  M5S:  |
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