Cypriot Legislative Elections

[Deleted]

Are today. Turnout was around 45% at lunchtime.

[Deleted]

It's a clusterfuck.

[Deleted]

cyprus-mail.com/2016/05/22/first-exit-poll-give-lead-disy-akel/

[finsobruce]

May 22, 2016 15:57:25 GMT cogload said:

cyprus-mail.com/2016/05/22/first-exit-poll-give-lead-disy-akel/

In addition the poll gave DIKO around 12 per cent, EDEK 5 per cent, Solidarity 5 per cent, Greens 4 per cent,

Has Tommy Sheridan been topping up his tan in Cyprus?

[Deleted]

Party system

The radical right: 
National Popular Front (ELAM), Greek ultranationalists, pro-unification (with Greece, that is... ), close ties to Golden Dawn 

The moderate centre-right: 
Democratic Rally (DISY), big tent Conservative/Christian Democratic, pro-EU, pragmatic on reunification 

The radical center: 
Solidarity Movement (KA) (incl. which Evroko has merged into), centre-right, Greek-Cypriotic Nationalists/anti-Turkish, anti-migrant 
Democratic Party (DIKO) SoCon centrists, Greek-Cypriotic Nationalists/anti-Turkish 
Movement for Social Democracy (EDEK), Social Democrats, Greek-Cypriotic Nationalists/anti-Turkish (with an exotic Third World Socialist past)

The nationalist left:
Citizens' Alliance (SYPOL or simply SP), left populists, anti-austerity/ europhile, pro-unitary Cyprus, against federation/confederation

The anti-nationalist left: 
Ecological and Environmental Movement (KOP) watermelon (pinko flesh) Greens, europhile, pro-unification/pragmatic on model 
Progressive Party of Working People (AKEL), (de facto rather pragmatic) Communists, moderately eurosceptic, pro-unification/pragmatic on model 

[Deleted]

Poll from early May to give you an idea about relative strength:

[Deleted]

Cyprus, 94.9% reporting:

DISY 30.77% (-3.6%)
AKEL 25.63% (-7.1%)
DIKO 14.49% (-1.2%)
EDEK 6.22% (-2.7%)
Citizens' Alliance 5.95%
Solidarity 5.23%
Greens 4.79% (+2.6%)
ELAM 3.72% (+2.6%)

[Deleted]

Results:
www.elections.gov.cy/English/PARLIAMENTARY_ELECTIONS_2016/Islandwide

They are at 99.6% now.

[Deleted]

[Deleted]

The fecking neo fascists have a fucking seat.

Reunification goes into reverse.

[greenhert]

cogload, they in fact have two seats. The good news is that the Cypriot Green Party now has three seats.

Seat totals are: DISY 18 (-2), AKEL 15 (-4), DIKO 8 (-1), EDEK 4 (-1), SP 3 (+3), KA 3 (+1), EKOP 3 (+2), ELAM 2 (+2).

Both major parties suffer significant seat losses (remember, there are only 56 seats in the Cypriot legislature; 59 if you count the 3 reserved seats).

[Deleted]

There are supposed to be over 80 seats, however the remaining number are in abeyance as they represent the TC community.

[Deleted]

Seat allocation in Cyprus:

Far right: 2 (+2)
ELAM 2 (+2)

Moderate centre-right: 18 (-2)
DISY 18 (-2)

Nationalist centre: 15 (-1)
DIKO 8 (-1)
EDEK 4 (-1)
Solidarity 3 (+1)

Nationalist left: (+3)
Citizens' Alliance 3 (+3)

Anti-nationalist left: 18 (-2)
Greens 3 (+2)
AKEL 15 (-4)

[Deleted]

Thanks Odo. The Greens are heading to the Election court as they claim that a gerrymandered threshold cost them a seat.

[Deleted]

www.politico.eu/article/elam-cyprus-elections-greek-turkish-golden-dawn-vote-a-worrying-footnote-for-reunification-talks/

[Deleted]

www.politico.eu/article/elam-cyprus-elections-greek-turkish-golden-dawn-vote-a-worrying-footnote-for-reunification-talks/

[greenhert]

On the reunification question itself, @odo ....would it be possible for both sides to accept the split and therefore achieve international recognition of Northern Cyprus and Southern Cyprus as two separate countries from each other? After all, (the People's Republic of) China needs to officially accept Taiwan is separate from it in practice and has been since 1949.

[Deleted]

May 27, 2016 13:13:49 GMT greenhert said:

On the reunification question itself, @odo ....would it be possible for both sides to accept the split and therefore achieve international recognition of Northern Cyprus and Southern Cyprus as two separate countries from each other? 

No. Its a small islands and the division blocks economic development; there are displaced persons, (Greek) property that was never compensated etc. Besides the (quite secular) Northern Cypriots are increasingly feeling alienated from Turkey (AKP, Islamism, migrants) and the current president and the rest of the left (and large parts of the right) are pro-unification. An independent micro-state is undesirable for them. The majority in Southern Cyprus are pro-unification as well (on the right terms..). There needs to be at least a confederation with a joint authority in charge of common matters.

[Deleted]

May 27, 2016 13:13:49 GMT greenhert said:

On the reunification question itself, @odo ....would it be possible for both sides to accept the split and therefore achieve international recognition of Northern Cyprus and Southern Cyprus as two separate countries from each other? After all, (the People's Republic of) China needs to officially accept Taiwan is separate from it in practice and has been since 1949.

There is a lot of common interest on both sides and in some senses the border is slowly being dissolved. However the problem is land.

And the various mafia clans which have a grip on the Island ( headed by the Greek Orthodox Church).

[cogload]

Is today.

Looks like the 3 "establishment" parties are losing ground to an assortment of hunters, the far right and a Liberal party whom I have never heard of.

But not enough to shake the status quo.