Prediction Compeition for March 2016

[greenhert]

Broadland DC, Aylsham: Liberal Democrats 46, Conservative 39, Labour 15.
North Kesteven DC, Ashby de la Launde & Cranwell: Con 50, Lincolnshire Independent 37, Lib Dem 13.
Redcar & Cleveland UA, Hutton: Con 48, Lab 24, Lib Dem 17, UKIP 7, Independent 4.

[lennon]

Broadland DC, Aylsham: Liberal Democrats 50, Conservative 35, Labour 15.
North Kesteven DC, Ashby de la Launde & Cranwell: Con 45, Lincolnshire Independent 35, Lib Dem 20.
Redcar & Cleveland UA, Hutton: Con 45, Lab 25, Lib Dem 15, UKIP 10, Independent 5.

[Pete Whitehead]

Mar 16, 2016 20:14:03 GMT petewhitehead said:

Redcar & Cleveland UA - Hutton

Con  46.8%
Lab  26.5%
LD    14.4%
UKIP  8.6%
Ind     3.7%


Broadland DC - Aylsham

LD    41.7%
Con 41.6%
Lab  16.7%


North Kesteven DC - Ashby de la Launde & Cranwell

Con 42.5%
Ind  34.6%
LD   22.9%

[Tony Otim]

Mar 16, 2016 13:20:00 GMT tonyotim said:

Broadland:
Con 41.2
LD 41.0
Lab 17.8


North Kesteven:
Con 40
LD 33
LI 27


Redcar & Cleveland:
Con 48.3
Lab 21.2
LD 16.4
UKIP 9.6
Ind 4.5

[middleenglander]

9 entries this week, with David Boothroyd having 1 additional fault for adding to 99% in Redcar & Cleveland.

Broadland, Aylsham: 8 Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative with a majority ranging from 0.1% (Pete Whitehead) to 15% Lennon whilst Tony Otim has a narrow Conservative hold
North Kesteven, Ashby de la Launde & Cranwell: 100% Conservative hold with majority ranging from 2% (Robert Waller) to 28% (hempie) - only Tony Otim has the Liberal Democrat as runner up
Redcar & Cleveland, Hutton: 100% Conservative hold with majority ranging from 20% (Lennon) to 31% (David Boothropyd

[middleenglander]

Broadland, Aylsham
Greenhert 4.1 faults, hempie & Lennon 5.8, David Boothroyd & Mark Senior 6.1, Robert Waller 10.2, Pete Whitehead 12.7, Maxque 19.8, Tony Otim 14.1+10

North Kesteven, Ashby de la Launde & Cranwell
Robert Waller 31.2+10, Greenhert 37.2+10, Lennon 41.2+10, Pete Whitehead 42.0+10, Mark Senior 49.2+10, David Boothroyd & Maxque 51.2+10, hempie 53.2+10, Tony Otim 57.2+10

Redcar & Cleveland, Hutton
Mark Senior 18.4 faults, Greenhert 20.8, Tony Otim 22.0, hempie & Lennon 24.8, Pete Whitehead 26.0, Maxque 28.7, Robert Waller 30.8,  David Boothroyd 39.8+1

and for the week:
Greenhert 72.1 faults, Lennon 81.8, Robert Waller 82.2, Mark Senior 83.7, Pete Whitehead 90.7, hempie 93.9, David Boothroyd 108.1, Maxque 109.7, Tony Otim 113.3

and for the month to date:

201.9 Pete Whitehead
209.0 Greenhert
211.2 Robert Waller

225.3 David Boothroyd
229.9 hempie

241.4 Mark Senior
248.2 Tony Otim

313.1 Maxque
332.7 Lennon

Objections please by 10.00 am Sunday

3 contests next week.  Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am Thursday.

[Robert Waller]

Congratulations to Greenhert (and Lennon) on the week's results.

[Tony Otim]

Congratulations to Greenhert.

At least I managed to avoid the ignominy of coming last in every prediction.

[marksenior]

Allerdale Dalton Con 40 Ind 25 Lab 20 Green 8 UKIP 7
Allerdale Moss Bay Lab 60 UKIP 22 Con 18
Kettering St Peters Con 44 Lab 26 UKIP 14 Green 10 LD 6

[Robert Waller]

Allerdale Dalton Con 46 Ind 18 Lab 18 Green 8 UKIP 10
Allerdale Moss Bay Lab 74 UKIP 18 Con 8
Kettering St Peter's Con 50 Lab 26 UKIP 7 Green 5 LD 12

[maxque]

Allerdale Dalton Con 40 Lab 27 Ind 18 UKIP 9 Grn 6
Allerdale Moss Bay Lab 64.2 UKIP 25.7 Con 10.1
Kettering St Peters Con 42 Lab 29 LD 12 UKIP 10 Grn 7

[greenhert]

My predictions for this week:

Allerdale DC, Dalton: Conservative 41, Labour 28, Independent (Fitzgerald) 16, UKIP 10, Green 5.
Allerdale DC, Moss Bay: Lab 63, UKIP 22, Con 15.
Kettering BC, St Peter's: Con 44, Lab 28, UKIP 12, Green 8, Lib Dem 8.

[Davıd Boothroyd]

ALLERDALE Dalton: C 45, Lab 26, Ind 12, UKIP 10, GP 7
ALLERDALE Moss Bay: Lab 58, UKIP 29, C 13
KETTERING St Peter’s: C 52, Lab 25, UKIP 11, L Dem 7, GP 5

Is anyone who predicted for a non-existent byelection in Kettering's non-existent St Mary's ward disqualified?

[maxque]

Mar 24, 2016 0:49:51 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

ALLERDALE Dalton: C 45, Lab 26, Ind 12, UKIP 10, GP 7
ALLERDALE Moss Bay: Lab 58, UKIP 29, C 13
KETTERING St Peter’s: C 52, Lab 25, UKIP 11, L Dem 7, GP 5

Is anyone who predicted for a non-existent byelection in Kettering's non-existent St Mary's ward disqualified?

If an penalty exists for that, it should be applied to me, as I'm the one who invented a by-election in that previously existing ward (it existed until 2007).

I am truly and deeply sorry for that error.

[lennon]

ALLERDALE Dalton: C 40, Lab 25, Ind 10, UKIP 20, GP 5
ALLERDALE Moss Bay: Lab 50, UKIP 35, C 15
KETTERING St Peter’s: C 50, Lab 25, UKIP 5, L Dem 15, GP 5

[hempie]

Allerdale, Dalton: Con 42, Ind 22, Lab 16, UKIP 12, Green 8
Allerdale, Moss Bay: Lab 69, UKIP 20,Con 11
Kettering, St Peter's: Con 42, Lab 28, LD 13, UKIP 10, Green 7

[Pete Whitehead]

Mar 24, 2016 0:34:09 GMT petewhitehead said:

Allerdale DC - Dalton

Con  45.9%
Ind   21.5%
Lab  19.3%
UKIP  7.5%
Grn    5.8%


Allerdale DC - Moss Bay

Lab    66.1%
UKIP 19.6%
Con   14.3%



Kettering BC - St Peter's

Con   48.8%
Lab    24.7%
UKIP 14.7%
Grn     6.6%
LD       5.2%

[middleenglander]

9 entries this week with a cameo appearance from jamieredhead but nothing from Tony Otim - any news anyone?

Allerdale, Dalton: 100% Conservative hold with majority ranging from 5% (jamieredhead) to 28% (Robert Waller)
- 5 have Labour second, 3 Independent and 1 both tying in second
Allerdale, Moss Bay: 100% Labour hold with majority over UKIP ranging from 15% (Lennon) to 56% (Robert Waller)
Kettering, St Peter's: 8 Conservative hold with majority over Labour ranging from 13% (Maxque) to 27% (David Boothroyd) with Jamieredhead a narrow Labour gain.

[Antiochian]

The Independent win in Allerdale (Dalton) will blow up the competition this week.. :-)

Tories starting to lose seats like this smells like trouble..

[Robert Waller]

I reckon it's close to a five way tie this week!
I'm very much not among these*, so Pete to retain his lead from Greenhert, with David now in third place.

*Pete, Maxque, Greenhert, Mark, David.